All Smoke and Mirrors
In case you have been hiding under a rock, we are now engaged in the Baseball Hot Stove League where fans talk about trading everybody and his brother, sister, aunt, uncle, grandpa, grandma as the family dog. It s fun and we all engage in it to some degree. But, there are two rules you have to go by: #1 Believe half of what you see and none of what you

In case you have been hiding under a rock, we are now engaged in the Baseball Hot Stove League where fans talk about trading everybody and his brother, sister, aunt, uncle, grandpa, grandma as the family dog. It’s fun and we all engage in it to some degree. But, there are two rules you have to go by:
#1 Believe half of what you see and none of what you hear; and
#2 They are building what is to become the World’s Largest Building, so as to house all the roomers... ‘er rumors.
You are going to hear rumors that the Dodgers are in on just about everyone, but don’t believe all that. The Dodgers have plans and contingencies and contingenciesto the contingencies. They have a good idea of what they want, but you can’t always get what you want, especially when other teams or free agents want more than you want to pay. Depending upon how things shake out, this could be the infield: 1B – Muncy/Freese; 2B – LeMahieu; SS – Seager; 3B – Turner. The left side of the infield is set (barring injury) but the right side is the major question. If I thought that getting Corey Kluber was a real possibility, I would not sign a real second baseman like DJ LeMahieu. I would save the money for Kluber.
It’s quite possible that the Indians are interested in Puig for RF. It’s also quite possible, they do not want to take any more salary on. I think the Dodgers could trade for Kluber and Gomes by sending Puig, May and Wong to the Indians for them. The Indians think they have the roatation covered in 2019 without Kluber, so a Power Hitting Right Fielder and two very good prospects should be just about right. They also are able to cut payroll by doing this
With Kluber, Kershaw, Buehler, Ryu, Stripling and Urias in the rotation, Wood, Maeda and/or Hill are expendable. The Dodgers could easily move two of the three for a need. or prospects. I keep hearing rumors (there’s that word again), that the Yankees want Machado and Harper, but they would have to get rid of Stanton to get one or both. Maybe that’s the deal for Kemp. The Dodgers trade Kemp and his $21 million salary, along with (pick one) Hill, Maeda or Wood to the Yankees for Stanton. I think the Yanks would go over the Luxury Tax Threshold for a year.
So, why would I trade for Stanton when I don’t want to sign Bryce Harper? Well, here’s what he is due in salary:
| Year | Age | Salary | Notes | |
| 2019 | 29 | $26,000,000 | ||
| 2020 | 30 | $26,000,000 | May opt out of contract following 2020 season | |
| 2021 | 31 | $29,000,000 | Miami Marlins to pay $30m to New York Yankees if Stanton does not opt out following 2020 season. | |
| 2022 | 32 | $29,000,000 | ||
| 2023 | 33 | $32,000,000 | ||
| 2024 | 34 | $32,000,000 | ||
| 2025 | 35 | $32,000,000 | ||
| 2026 | 36 | $29,000,000 | ||
| 2027 | 37 | $25,000,000 | ||
| 2028 | 38 | *$25,000,000 | $25M Team Option, $10M Buyout. | |
The contract is biggest in the middle and less at the beginning and end. Stanton is from LA and could becomebecome an icon by hitting BIG FLIES out of the Ravine. It’s conceivable that he could break the All-Time HR Record as a Dodger. He has 305 now. He would almost be Free in 2019, IF Cashman takes back Kemp… and there’s a chance he will, IF the Yanks can sign Harper and/or Machado. It’s not clear to me if the Dodgers would get the $30 million owed by the Marlins to the Yankees if Stanton opts out.
This leads to a whole another lineup:
- Verdugo RF (L)
- Turner 3B (R)
- Seager SS (L)
- Stanton LF (R)
- Bellinger 1B (L)
- Pederson/Taylor CF (L/R)
- Muncy 2B (L)
- Gomes/Barnes (R)
Subs: Toles, Kike, Rios, Freese
Rotation: Kershaw, Kluber, Buehler, Ryu, Stripling/Urias
The Bullpen will be fine with internal options and a few unlikely pickups. I like the balance of that lineup. Muncy will grow into an adequate 2B and Kike can be his caddy. Lux is in the wings with Kaybear = I wondered why he wasn’t playing the last two weeks of the AFL Season, until I learned this from Jim Callis on MLB.com, who named him the #9 prospect in the AFL:
9. Keibert Ruiz, C, Glendale (Dodgers No. 2)
Ruiz’s Fall League season ended two weeks early when he left to deal with a death in his family, but before he departed he showed why he’s one of the game’s best catching prospects. He’s a switch-hitter who can handle the bat from both sides of the plate, should grow into power and owns solid receiving skills.
New Hitting Coach
Now with the hiring (allegedly) of Robert Van Scoyoc as the Dodgers Hitting Coach… well I almost don’t know what to say… I said “ALMOST.” I do know what to say and I say: “This is a high risk, high reward hire.” This could be a stroke of genius or a fling at insanity! I tend to be a risk taker. My Controller says “I hate guys like you” (we are good friends anyway). I am also an iconoclast, so this is right up my alley. Many oldtimers hate change. I embrance it. How can you go against Andrew Friedman anyway? His track record in LA speaks volumes. Nuff said… Maybe he can finish what Turner Ward started. I have a feeling this move is going to be radical. I mean REALLY, REALLY RADICAL! (If I offended anyone with the use of exclamation marks, just know that no animals died).
Yes, baseball is changing, but let’s not forget it had been around for for over 50 years, when some guy with a woman’s name (Ruth, I think it was) re-invented the game with his laptop with launch angles, fly balls and the like. OK, I made that part up, but he sure changed the game… for the better, I think. In 1918, Ruth tied for 1st in HR with 11. In 1919, he hit 29 – next was a player with 12. In 2020, he hit 54 and George Sisler was 2nd with 19. It took a few years for them to figure it out – maybe they hacked his laptop to figure out his launch angle, but evidently, every 100 years change occurs… or not!
P.S. Yesterday, someone suggested I needed sensitivity training. Well, I’ll have you know, I have taken that class. However, it was cut short because I beat up the instructor!!!!!! Any complaints? I think not!!!!
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Discussion (54)
Disagree, not disagreeable
A proper stride separation. Short to and long through followed by finishing high. Put those together you have both a good baseball swing and when you put the computer to it you will come out with a good attack angle and launch angle, but if you aren’t short to and long through your bat isn’t in the zone long enough.
Miggy was JD’s friend, neighbor and work out partner, when they were both on the Tigers.
Mark and AC,
I just googled JD Martinez and Miggy Cabrera and three articles popped up, how Miggy taught JD.
One article was David Price talking about how Miggy helped JD.
Remember Price was on the Tigers with both guys.
Several points that I want to respond to from above:
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But if not Stanton, who? I understand people want Harper, and I am not sure why. Harper has had one absolutely phenomenal year (10.0 WAR), and then one at 5.2, one at 4.7, and one at 3.8, with three at 1.5 or below. Stanton has three at 5.4 to 7.6, two above 4.0, 1 at 3.8, and three at 2.6 to 2.8. None below 2.6.
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For a 162-game average: Harper – .279/.388/.512/.900 – 32 HR & 91 RBI. Stanton – .268/.358/.548/.905 – 43 HR & 109 RBI. 2018 Defensively – Harper DRS -26 & -14.4 UZR. Stanton DRS 5 & UZR 7.3. The cost of Harper will be more in total and AAV than Stanton.
Someone tell me again why Harper is better than Stanton?
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Well, here’s what we (evidently) know about the Dodgers hiring Robert Van Scoyoca as hitting coach:
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Well, there you go – The Friedman Bashers have spoken (out of their a________ , as usual).
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I have no idea how this might work, but unless the world is flat, I think there is a possibility it could end up good.
Considering the Braves and Mariners are the most active teams this off-season, maybe they should match up for a trade.
did we pay this hitting coach with the million we saved from reworking freese’s contract?
I think we would all agree that if Van Scoyoc gets Austin Barnes to hit like JD Martinez or 2017 CT3, we could give a rat’s rear as to how he did it or that he didn’t play baseball beyond the JC level. As a long time Dodger fan, I still hold on to the fact(hope?) that Friedman, et al, know a whole lot more about what they’re doing than I do. Although, I must admit, there are times when I’m sitting in my recliner, with the remote in my right hand, enjoying a cold drink, watching a game, where I’m absolutely convinced that I know more about what’s going on in the game than those in the dugout do.
Funny to see these guys on MLBN talking about Robinson Cano like he has any real value left. Yes, he’s probably still a decent hitter but the combination of suspension stigma, aging, and ridiculous contract makes him someone teams would only target as a clear arbitrage play.
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I do wonder whether our front office has any “yes or no” player evaluation system or if anyone is in play at the right price.
This hitting instructor was a hitting consultant for the Dodgers for two years, before becoming the Dbacks instructor.
So the players probably already know this guy.
The Athletic has an interesting piece today. In part, it says:
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As the Dodgers explore a variety of moves, one rival executive notes the team rarely has been burned by trades of prospects since Andrew Friedman took over as president of baseball operations in October 2014….
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The lesson, according to the rival executive, is to proceed with caution when dealing with L.A. Friedman generally moves the right guys.
Taylor had 42 more strike outs then hits, last year.
He also struck out almost 31 percent of the time, when runners were in scoring position.
Taylor struck out more then any player in the National League last year too, and he isn’t exactly a power hitter.
Taylor only hit 17 HRs, with all of those strike outs.
Muncy had 26 more strike outs then hits, but he also hit 35 HRs.
Let’s hope this new hitting instructor can fix Taylor, because what Taylor did last year, is not good for any hitting instructor’s resume.
I wonder who the Red’s hitting instructor was last year?
Does anyone know the point of the Texas Rangers?
I’m warming to the idea of Muncy at 2b. He can be moved to 1b late in the game if needed and Bellinger can shift to CF. Playing Muncy at 2b solves a lot of problems for us: it gets his bat in the lineup; it lets Bellinger stay at 1b; and it potentially opens up an outfield spot for Verdugo.
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If I ran the zoo, I would be hoping that Taylor could reclaim the starting CF job. When he was at his best–the year he won the NLCS co-MVP–he played CF everyday and used his hustle, speed, and slashing bat to win us games. I’d like to see if he’s still capable of being that player. He’s also RH which is a plus in our LH-heavy lineup. Put him next to Puig in RF for one more go-around and let’s have some fun out there.
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That would essentially leave LF as the only true battle. Joc, Kemp, Verdugo, & Toles could fight for three jobs. Keekay would go back to being our #1 utility option, especially in the IF, where he would be joined by Freese and possibly a revigorated Barnes. Assuming no new additions, our lineup and bench would be set with the extra outfielder either traded or heading to AAA as insurance. That’s eight starters and five bench players.
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The rotation is where I see some problems. We need to find a home for Wood. Carrying him as a reliever is not an option to me and, at best, Wood is looking like our #5 starter right now, pushing Maeda, Stripling, Urias, Santana, & Ferguson to the pen. Not ideal. We can’t force trades on other teams but imagine a big part of our GM-less offseason will be waiting out the market and calling teams that miss out on free agent signings. Wood is no Corbin and Kemp is no Cruz, but we have some talent to spare.
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I’m getting eager for some moves but time is in our favor. As it stands we have enough talent right now to contend. It’s clear to me we’re targeting massive contracts unless they can traded for money we want off the books. The quieter we are, the more I think something major is being worked on. A tremor shifting underground that could alter the makeup of the terrain. A sound without cognate or origin. Either that or a cheap crappy back-up catcher.
Coaching is an interesting phenomenon. Here in Sacramento, we remember a swimming coach named Sherm Chavoor. He coached swimming at a local country club. He also coached a couple of swimmers you may have heard of – Mark Spitz and Debbie Meyers. Oh – and Sherm Chavoor couldn’t swim.
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I am usually a believer that only a guy who has actually performed the thing that he is trying to teach can really teach it. It’s not always true however. Some like Chavoor are expert motivators and come up with a new angle (so to speak – pun intended) that he can convey to help lead to success. (In Chavoor’s case, he had his swimmers swim longer distances while training, according to the NY Times.) So the question is, whether Van Scoyoc has the ability to motivate, to teach, and to bring the “new angle”, and whether he can earn the players’ trust and get them to listen. Mark me down as one who has his doubts, but I guess time will tell.
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I only hope that we won’t suffer through another year of poor situational/clutch hitting, inordinate strikeouts, the inability to adjust with everyone trying to hit another HR.
I could see the team making Van Scoyoc a minor league roving instructor or even an assistant batting coach, but to hire him as the main guy? Time will tell, I guess.
I predict that in 2019 the Dodgers will hit .354 as a team with a .411 OB% and 407 HR!
This would be awesome, make it happen!
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Except, Taylor plays second, Muncy 1B and Bellinger CF. Can we trade Verdugo instead of Puig???
Taylor 2B (R)
Seager SS (L)
Turner 3B (R)
Stanton LF (R)
Bellinger CF (L)
Puig RF (R)
Muncy 1B (L)
Gomes/Barnes (R)
I suggested a trade for Stanton a while back but I was including the Dodgers used to trade for Kemp. The Yankees have outfielders and need to lose one to fit in Harper unless they accept his defense at first base. I don’t think the Yanks would add Kemp to their 25 so if they do take Kemp, they would probably release him like Atlanta did Gonzales. The Dodgers could get him back for around $500,000.
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Seattle is a mess. Last in minor league system rankings and have a few bad contracts. They are trying to dump Cano. They need players. It would seem that Edwin Diaz could be had with low cost volume more than elite talent. Mun cy and Wong come to mind plus White, Alvarez types.
I am old, so I do not like the signing of Van Scoyoc. But, more importantly, what do the players think. I think it would be very hard to take instructions from someone who has hardly played any baseball. Just my opinion. I realize that a great player does not often make a good coach. However, there has to be some experience at the major league level. I am a risk taker, but this is beyond what I would do. When I was Superintendent of Schools, we went to the four day school week. It works for smaller schools.