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So How Was Your Hot Stove League?

Well now that the Dodgers have signed AJ Pollock, what comes next? Maybe something. Maybe nothing. Is JT Realmuto on the horizon. Apparently, the Pads are very much in on JTR, but they are insisting on extension talks before they consummate the deal. Obviously, either Francisco Mejia or Austin Hedges will be going back in a package. The Pads have ML OF’s available as well a bucket load of high-level

By Jeff Dominique7 min readJump to 86 comments

Well now that the Dodgers have signed AJ Pollock, what comes next?  Maybe something.  Maybe nothing.  Is JT Realmuto on the horizon.  Apparently, the Pads are very much in on JTR, but they are insisting on extension talks before they consummate the deal.  Obviously, either Francisco Mejia or Austin Hedges will be going back in a package.  The Pads have ML OF’s available as well a bucket load of high-level prospects.  If the Pads want to outbid the Dodgers, they certainly could. How much do the Dodgers want JTR?  I think like in every situation, AF is not going to get in a bidding war with any team for any player.  He will have his untouchables and will not go over what he believes the value of that particular player should be for the Dodgers.

At the start of the hot-stove league, to many, the Dodgers’ needs were considered to be a RH bat, a 2B, a top line starting pitcher, bullpen help, a catcher, and to help with the apparent OF logjam.  It started with the signing of Clayton Kershaw to a new three-year extension for a cool $93MM.   Most Dodger fans were accepting of the large contract even with his potential injury risk.  Clayton Kershaw should be a Dodger for life, and whatever the cost is should be acceptable.  Kershaw could have looked outside of the organization and found a team willing to guarantee in excess of $100MM, but he is just as happy being a Dodger as the Dodgers are with him.

The Kershaw contract extension was followed by the qualifying offers of $17.9MM presented to both Yasmani Grandal and Hyun-Jin Ryu.  Depending as to who accepted, the winter budget would be set.  Ryu accepted and Grandal did not.  IMO, the $17.9 for Ryu is a bit of a risk, but one that Ryu is more than capable of turning into a positive.

After the Ryu acceptance, the rumors were running rampant.  JT Realmuto has been in the discussion since the beginning, but one that I was very intrigued with was Corey Kluber.  The Indians were looking to drop some payroll, and Kluber seemed like a good player to move.  But the Indians were looking to package Kluber with other costly players like Jason Kipnis and Yan Gomes.  I am one who believes the Dodgers could use another top line starting pitcher.  But the cost had to be reasonable.  Both the Marlins and Indians asking price were way out of line.  Maybe the price would come down, but AF was not going to overpay.  With Kluber many fans were looking at adding Yan Gomes to expand the potential trade.  Unfortunately for some, Gomes was traded individually to the Nats.  

Next, the rumors were centering on FA’s…Bryce Harper, DJLM, and AJ Pollock were the three bandied about the most.  Harper was the favorite for many, but also had a very loud and robust group against him.  The same was true for DJLM.  Many of us liked his RH bat to ball skills, and GG defense, while others were very much concerned about his batting metrics outside of Coors.  AJ Pollock was pricing himself out of the picture early on, so the Dodgers settled on a perceived need and WS hero…RHRP Joe Kelly.  Like AF is prone to do, nobody saw that coming.  Kelly signed for a very reasonable 3 year $25MM contract.

But then on the Friday before Christmas, came the extremely controversial Farmer trade.  Matt Kemp, Yasiel Puig, Alex Wood, and Kyle Farmer are all on their way to Cincinnati while the Dodgers gained some payroll flexibility and a couple of good prospects in SS Jeter Downs (Dodgers #7), and RHP Josiah Gray (Dodgers #16).  Both players are considered genuine prospects, although not yet viewed as potential stars.  I am not going to rehash the Farmer trade, but it certainly generated a lot of loud and differing opinions.

In mid-January, the immediate catching concern was addressed with the trade for old friend (at least for Mark), Russell Martin.  While he is certainly a shell of what he once was, he still has enough in the tank to bridge the ascension of Smith or Ruiz.  He could also be a positive mentor for Austin Barnes for 2019.  The trade did not add AAV to the CBT threshold.  He cost a couple of lottery picks in prospects, but in positions of strength for LAD.  It is just losing prospects (any prospect) is hard for some, especially me.

It took more than a month after the Farmer trade, but finally something significant happened.  AJ Pollock was signed to a 4-year $50 MM contract with a 5th year of $10MM option or $5MM buyout.  The contract is structured so that the AAV is $12MM.  The pros and cons of Pollock have certainly been voiced all over the blogosphere.  I am absolutely on the pro side. 

The Dodgers are now within $8MM of the CTB threshold and there are many of us who believe that the Dodgers will not surpass that $206MM threshold.  IMO, there will be no Bryce Harper, Manny Machado, Dallas Keuchel, or Craig Kimbrel wearing Dodger Blue for 2019.  So, the ML FA signings are undoubtedly done. 

There could be trades, but in order to add on salary, salaries are going to need to be moved.  Rich Hill, Joc Pederson, and Josh Fields are the contracts that seem most vulnerable.  All three have exceedingly positive attributes, so the return needs to be positive for the ML team and not the farm system. 

While I do not see any other ML FA’s coming to LA, there will be minor league FA with ST invites.  There could be a couple of name SP who will not get ML contracts, and time is running out.  Clay Buchholz, Doug Fister, Jason Hammel, Jeremy Hellickson, Edwin Jackson, Nate Karns, Erasmo Ramirez, Ervin Santana, James Shields, Chris Tillman, and Josh Tomlin are still unsigned.  How many the Dodgers will need depends on who (if any) get moved in a trade package, and how fast does Brandon Gomes want to push his prospects.

The same goes for RP.  There are more than 35 RP with recent ML experience that have yet to be signed.  Daniel Hudson did a serviceable job for LAD last year.  He is not a difference maker for the playoffs, but he was good depth during the season; 40 games worth.  Others might include, Xavier Cedeno, Jake Diekman, Dan Jennings, Tyler Clippard, Francisco Liriano.  But the two most intriguing that could provide the most benefit for LAD are Greg Holland and Brad Boxberger.  I would love to see 1 or both of those guys get a MiLB contract with an invite to ST.

Position players who might be of interest to AF on MiLB contracts are SS Jose Iglesias (one of my favorites) and utility Derek Dietrich.  Both players are the type of player that AF likes as emergency depth.

Scorecard:

Gone from last year’s WS roster (7): Alex Wood, Ryan Madson, Yasmani Grandal, Brian Dozier, Manny Machado, Matt Kemp, Yasiel Puig.  It could go to 8 depending as to where Julio Urias starts the 2019 season.

Added on to the potential 25 man (7): Corey Seager, AJ Pollock, Russell Martin, Joe Kelly, Tony Cingrani, Alex Verdugo, and Ross Stripling.

More than 25% of the WS roster has turned over from last year, and either 10 or 11 from the 2017 WS roster.  I do think that is substantial turnover.  Without any further trades, the 25 man should look very close to the following:

SP – Kershaw, Buehler, Hill, Maeda, Ryu

RP – Jansen, Kelly, Floro, Alexander, Cingrani, Baez, Stripling, Urias

C – Barnes, Martin

INF – Seager, JT, Muncy, Freese

OF – Pollock, Joc, Verdugo

INF/OF – Bellinger, CT3, Kike’

The one question above right now is Julio Urias.  Other potential relievers already on the 40 man who could find the 25th spot are Fields, Garcia, Chargois, Stewart, and even Jaime Schultz could surprise. 

There is still a little more than 2 weeks before pitchers and catchers are to report, so there is still time to make that trade and/or sign some pretty decent players to minor league contracts with a ST invite.  Problems addressed – Relieve OF logjam, RH bat, C, bullpen.  Not specifically addressed were top line SP and 2B.  AF always believed the 2B was solvable in-house.  The SP was going to need to be addressed via trade and the Dodgers only legit potential trade was for Corey Kluber.  I have always believed he would be a huge addition, but not at any price, and certainly not at a Chris Sale price.  So, the Dodgers are going to need for Clayton Kershaw to step up and return to be the uber-Ace he once was.  What is not to like about that? 

NL West Division champions?  Yes.  NL Pennant?  Maybe.  WS Champs?  You have to get there to win it, and then get hot.  Is the team as strong as NYY or Boston or Houston?  Not in my opinion, but the team plays Boston and NYY during the season, so we can see where they stack up against those juggernauts.  Then there is always the trade deadline pickup potential which has not been kind to the Dodgers lately.

Not to be outdone, there have been scores of coaching and front office changes, but I am concentrating only on the players at this time.

There are still moves to make, but at what level and when remain to be seen.

Discussion (86)

Disagree, not disagreeable

Be civil — moderation is real. Links may need a moment of review.

  1. KennethJanuary 28, 2019

    Harper will probably sign with national or a 7- year deal with several agreements. I don’t see him signing with the Phillies. I also have two thought.

    1. If a BIG IF, the Dodgers do end up signing Harper. Would you see Cleveland accepting this offer from the Dodgers. Verdugo, Santana, Stripping or Hill, jeters, Fields for kulber?

    2 . Ruiz or Smith, Barnes, Muncy, May, Toles, for JT.

    Then get a middle level bullpen pitcher. Probably a bad thought, but their it is. I know this won’t happen, but it would be awesome.

  2. SCDodgerFanJanuary 28, 2019

    Going back to the opening post, where does Ferguson fit? Are you expecting him at OKC? He wasn’t mentioned.

  3. MJJanuary 28, 2019

    Bum

    You are losing it!

    I thought you would get the words I expressed above.

    You are usually so good with that stuff!

  4. Mark TimmonsJanuary 27, 2019

    Here’s what I see, right now:

    C – Martin/Barnes

    1B – Bellinger

    2B – Muncy

    SS – Seager

    3B – Turner

    LF – Platoon of Pederson and Taylor

    CF- Pollock

    RF – Verdugo

    Subs – Kike, Freeze, Toles

  5. 59inarowJanuary 27, 2019

    Wow, everyone is so pumped up today! I love it. Everyone is getting really passionate as the season is drawing nearer. I have a couple of points after watching the Fan Fest reruns all morning and some others as well…

    Don’t get too caught up in RISP. If a particular stat varies wildly from year to year, it is unreliable. Believe it or not, we had the top offense in the NL last year, but we sucked at RSIP. What does RSIP tell me? Nothing. It probably has more to do with hitting philosophy than hitting ability. They addressed this by changing philosophies. Done.

    Yahoo – The Dodgers are cheap! No they aren’t, they just aren’t being stupid about spending money anymore. Yahoo is fake news. Use it for entertainment value, not as a source of information.

    This is what I got out of watching the interviews.

    AJ Pollock is a dude, absolute stud when healthy, and he wanted to be here. These are the best kind of signings because it doesn’t damage you long term with finances. He’s going to look grossly underpaid in a couple of years. Chase Utley type of guy is a good comparison for his demeanor. He can be our Jim Edmonds.

    Max Munchy and Kenly Jansen are in shape! Max might be able to handle second base after all. If Joc is still on the team, he might just be the left fielder (mostly due to crushing right handers), moving Belli back to first and Muncy (he might earn his real name back to me) at second. Or, Chris Taylor goes back to the 2017 version and no one will keep him off the field. These are great problems to have. The team is very deep with talent.

    Kelly is the dude we needed. This is a visionary move that MT likes to allude to. A lot of the FA relievers that people point to were not going to sign up with Jansen on the team. We had to sign a guy that doesn’t need to be a closer. Kelly was a perfect signing. – 1st, he wasn’t that expensive, 2nd he will pitch multiple innings and doesn’t care which innings. 3rd, he throws absolute gas! Our pen is so deep with quality guys, there was room to bring on more that 1 guy. Jansen, Kelly, Alexander, Floro, Baez, Fields, Cingrani. After them you still have Garcia, Chargois, Stewart, Santana, Ferguson, McCreery and at least 5 other dudes that will be ready to contribute this year. Prediction – our pen will be historic this year!

    Kike is a ding bat, a wing nut. He needs to settle down a little bit, he’s always way to jittery and excited. This is why he’s not an every day player. He should be happy to be one the best Super Utils at a time where their value couldn’t be higher and he’s clutch off the bench because he can manage to focus in short spurts.

    This team is gonna be great this year. I’m super pumped. I hope we win the JTRM sweepstakes. Still holding out hope for Harper too.

  6. Always CompeteJanuary 27, 2019

    Remaining FA RP – Craig Kimbrel, John Axford, Tony Barnette, Matt Belisle, Joaquin Benoit, Brad Boxberger, Blaine Boyer, Santiago Casilla, Xavier Cedeno, Tyler Clippard, Tim Collins, Jorge de la Rosa, Jake Diekman, Zach Duke, Greg Holland, Daniel Hudson, Dan Jennings, Jim Johnson, Shawn Kelly, Casey Kelly, Francisco Liriano, Aaron Loup, Ryan Madson, Brandon Maurer, Peter Moylan, AJ Ramos, Sergio Romo, Fernando Salas, Tony Sipp, Drew Storen, Junichi Tazawa, Nick Vincent, Adam Warren, Alex Wilson, Blake Wood.

    .

    For those that do not think the Dodgers have done enough in the bullpen, which of the above FA RP should the Dodgers sign to improve? If you think it should be Kimbrel, how much would you pay him? Would you be willing to pay him close to $18MM AAV for 3-4-5 years?

  7. Mark TimmonsJanuary 27, 2019

    RUIZ WILL NOT BE TRADED!

    Write that down!

  8. RichieFJanuary 27, 2019

    From Jason Reed(Fansided): Three-team trade that would win the World Series:

    Dodgers get Realmuto and Abreu

    Marlins get Ruiz, Barnes, Santana and Jeter Downs

    Chisox get Pederson, Rios and Josiah Gray

    I would do that in a NY minute if I could substitute Smith & Wong for Ruiz.

    Reed also predicts JT will play 155 games this year, win the batting crown and the NL MVP.

  9. Mark TimmonsJanuary 27, 2019

    DodgerRick,

    You don’t have to believe what I do. Your takes are well thought out and articulate, even if they are wrong 😉

    I think a lot of your reason is based upon what you do for a living (I am not trying to be funny or disparaging). You look at history and that is how cases are made. You can’t sue someone for what they will do in the future… only what they have done and those facts are the only thing of relevance.

    In many respects, we are polar opposites. I have spent my whole life in building something that did not exist. Birthing it, so to speak. History is important to me but that last product launch that was a miserable failure does not stop me from trying to create.

    Two years ago, I wanted to launch a new product that our entire board was against. In a very heated meeting, I told them I was going to do it anyway and that said “is this a dictatorship?” To which I responded “It is today.” None of them quit over it and that product is now our most profitable line.

    I am not always right. I look at history, but I love the mystery of tomorrow. I don’t document history. You have to to win cases. My job title is “Visionary” (our board gave it to me) and history helps shape that, but I live for the mystery. I love going to work with a blank canvas and creating. I look at history (stats), but I also try and use vision. “What if …?”

    We will probably never agree on lots of stuff, but I don’t question your love of the Dodgers. In our last board meeting, I said something to the effect that “It’s better to ask forgiveness than ask permission.” Our CFO said: “I fire guys like you!” I suspect Rick and I will never see eye-to-eye, but sometimes a dissenting opinion is good. Keep it up!

  10. 2demeter2January 27, 2019

    Watched a rerun of the FanFest last night. Couple of things stood out:

    .

    1. I’m happy to have AJP on the Dodgers. I readily admit that I was ambivalent towards signing him initially. He seems to be a very high character individual (in the Utley, Turner mold). He also expressed a strong desire to play for the Dodgers, because of their culture and the players. Also, both Friedman and Doc alluded to the fact that they wanted the team to have more of AJP types of players. Neither of them made any reference to Puig, Kemp or Woods, but indirectly seemed happy they were gone. Mind you that is just my impression from a 10 minute interview.

    .

    2. Muncy looks to be in better shape and stated that his favorite position is second base.

    .

    3. Alex Verdugo appears to have grown up. He seemed more mature in his interview. Let’s hope that carries over to the field. He was interviewed at the same time as Keibert Ruiz and they appear to have a good friendship. I will add that I’m ready to see more of KayBear .

    .

    4. Brock Stewart shared that he had an injured knee last year that affected his mechanics and that those issues have been straightened out. He was interviewed at the same time as Josh Sborz, who seemed to be a very solid young man. I’m going to follow him more closely this year.

    .

    5. Kike did not seem to be as excited about the AJP signing as the others. He has his mind set on being an everyday player.

    .

    6. If anything, Joe Kelly is going to be a fun addition to the team. He has a great sense of humor. He also is highly intelligent and seems to take getting better at his craft very seriously. His description of how he evolved to the pitcher he is today was very fascinating.

    .

    7. Joc Pederson needs to work on his interviewing skills. Albeit, in his defense, he was being interviewed by David Vassegh, and a little of him goes a long way.

    .

    8. Andrew Friedman indicated that the off-season was not yet completed and while he was happy with the “balance” of the club as presently constructed, that there were still conversations ongoing that could better the team. Whatever that might mean. I hope it means Kluber, while most of the fans in attendance were hollering for Realmuto and t a lesser extent, Harper.

    .

    9. Austin Barnes did not look to comfortable being interviewed. Nor would I, if I had a 1000 or more people hollering for another player to be acquired to take my job.

    .

    10. Fan Fests are mostly team hype, but there were some interesting things to take away.

  11. dodgerrickJanuary 27, 2019

    Interesting article by Craig Calcaterra:

    https://sports.yahoo.com/banality-cheap-baseball-teams-132510424.html

  12. dodgerrickJanuary 27, 2019

    I looked at the Dodgers’ offseason needs a little differently. Last season, Pythagoras predicted 11 more wins than they achieved. The problem? The Dodgers were the least “clutch” team in baseball. The big issues were hitting RISP and relief pitching, as the bullpen was 2nd in blown saves and often did not pitch well in close games.

    The other big issue for me was the way that the Dodgers had committed $$ to roster construction – too many OF, too many SP. That money could be better spent elsewhere.

    The Dodgers “solved” their RISP problem 2 ways. They traded players away/lost players to free agency and replaced them with others. And they signed a new hitting coach.

    Here are the RISP stats for the guys they lost:

    Dozier – BA .355/OPS 1.147

    Kemp – BA .353/OPS .971

    Machado – BA .309/OPS .910

    Puig – BA .245/OPS .792

    Grandal – BA .238/OPS .747

    Here are the new players:

    Pollock – BA .253/OPS .716

    Martin – BA .200/OPS .601

    They get Seager back and he is a superior hitter RISP, but we don’t know if he will be the “old” Seager until he is. Meanwhile, they traded the guy who was the team’s best clutch hitter all season (Kemp). They have replaced (at least for now) the #2 offensive catcher in the league with a 36 year old who hasn’t been good in 4 or 5 years.

    At first blush it doesn’t look to me that the Dodgers have solved their biggest offensive problem from last year.

    But, we are told, the new hitting coach will solve everything, and the Dodgers will stop all of the platooning, stop trying to hit HRs every time up, will try to go the other way to beat the shift.

    I have not read anywhere that Farhan Zaidi was the sole designer of last season’s offense. Many seemto assume it. And we were told last season that they had to play the way that they did because of their personnel.

    Last season’s K% – guys that stayed

    Freese – 34%

    Taylor – 29.5%

    Barnes – 28.2%

    Muncy – 27.2%

    Bellinger – 23.9%

    Pederson – 19.2%

    Hernandez – 16.9%

    Turner – 12.7%

    Guys who left –

    Grandal – 23.9%

    Kemp – 22.7%

    Puig – 19.6%

    Dozier – 19.4%

    Machado – 17.9%

    If personnel was the reason for the Dodgers’ high strikeout, hit a HR every time offense, they kept most of the worst offenders.

    To solve the bullpen problem, they have signed one guy, who always walks 4 or more per 9 innings pitched and say that he is going to get high leverage innings. Wild Man Kelly is a 7 year veteran who is 30 years old and walked 4.4/9 IP last season. It’s not like Rick Honeycutt can wave a magic wand and turn him into a strike thrower. As I have commented before, Dodger fans were upset with Scott Alexander last season – he walked 3.7/9 IP and was thought to be unreliable in the late innings because of that.

    The Farmer trade did solve part of the roster construction issue. They have essentially replaced Wood with Kelly, Kemp with Pollock and I assume Puig with Verdugo. They have gotten cheaper. (They have also replaced Machado with Seager, if he is healthy and Grandal with Martin.)

    I do not think that this team is better than last year’s squad. The recent signing of Pollock doesn’t fix things. They haven’t really solved the RISP or bullpen issues.

    They should win their division by default. The NL West will be the 2nd weakest division in MLB and the Rockies really aren’t all that good – but they ended last season tied with the Rox and they weren’t that good last year either.They aren’t as good as the Astros, Yankees, or Bosox. We will see if they are as good as the Brewers, Cardinals, Cubs, Nationals or Braves.

  13. Bill RussellJanuary 27, 2019

    I’m just wondering why Verdugo is only ranked as the 35th best prospect in the minors? K Ruiz was ranked 36th. I thought Verdugo ranked higher last year. It was the MLB Networks rankings so maybe we can’t put much stock in it. CT3 ranked 5th and 2nd base by the shredder and we are still putting Muncy at 2nd.

  14. SbuffaloJanuary 27, 2019

    Some interesting tidbits from yesterday’s Fan Fest at Dodger Stadium. During a TV interview, Andrew Friedman, when asked about how he views the roster at this point, said he was happy with current team, but quickly pointed out that they are currently active on several fronts (free agents/trades) in an effort to improve the team further. The clear indication was that the Dodgers are not done. He also said that people shouldn’t look at the trades of Puig and Kemp and the signing of AJ Pollock as a simple trade off. The Dodgers have a lot of corner outfielders and they signed Pollock to play center.

    Team President Stan Kasten weighed in on the Dodgers “lack of spending” this winter and stories about LA’s refusal to go over the the cap, pointing to a lot of advantages with being under, and it’s not all about the tax. He said the Dodgers rank either first or second in the NL in terms of money spent on scouting and player development. He also said the organization has been very transparent in terms of being a development organization first, saying fans like homegrown kids, noting the Dodgers are still at the very top in terms of payroll. He also emphasized that there is no ownership directive to remain below the cap and the team may very well exceed it this year.

    Friedman also said he believes the Dodgers are better than the 92 win team of last year, adding the team is better balanced than the 2018 version.

    Beyond Realmuto, it sounds like the Dodgers are in active talks regarding additional trade opportunities and possible free agent signings. Doubtful that Harper fits into that picture.

  15. 59inarowJanuary 27, 2019

    In regards to Hou, Bos, and NYY. I think we stack up just fine if our guys play to their potential. None of those teams can match our rotation. If we improve against lefties, even more so. Last year’s 4-1 drubbing was much worse than it should have been. All those inherited base runners scoring because of Madson. Puig making sure we had no chance in game 1. Puig playing on the warning track in Boston. Kike hitting 3rd.

    We fixed a lot of last year’s deficiencies. The biggest one that we didn’t address is Roberts. Maybe Roberts will grow a pair, or at least give them a tug this year. Maybe he was scared of Farhan? Maybe he won’t keep Clayton in too long or pull Hill too early. He will almost definitely have a better pen than last year. Why the hell did they leave Ferguson off the roster in favor of Wood? We would have 2 WS if it weren’t for inexperience. Our players are a little older now and our manager has 2 years of management experience now. Remember that we didn’t have any production from catcher in either post season the last two years, so there’s really no where to go but up. In the field and on the hill, I honestly think we’re better than we were the last two years. Pray for good health at season’s end.

    Boston is a little worse, they lost a huge bullpen piece and maybe another. Maybe JD will return to being a mere mortal. Yankees are up and comers, but their Starting Pitching is still suspect. Boston’s pen is nowhere close to what is was last year. Houston lost a lot of key pieces. Out of those three teams, only the Yankees are as good or better than last year.

    Prediction – the Dodgers are the best team in the NL and easily win 100+ games again. This is not going out on a limb because the East and Central will have to battle very good teams for most of their schedules while the Dodgers cleanup on the likes of the D-Backs without their two best players, the Padres who will improve, but aren’t ready to complete, the last place Giants with Farhan at the helm and the Rockies who will run away with a Wild Card. Over the last two years, our biggest losses are Grandal, Puig and Morrow. This year’s WS team will feature healthy Ryu, Bueller, Urias, Kelly, maybe some surprises in the pen. Pollock instead of Puig. With a little luck maybe a productive catcher at the end of the season. Grandal’s loss will be felt during the regular season, but he really screwed us in the post season two years in a row. I’m rambling now. But, I’m very optimistic about the upcoming season. Great pitching, great defense, great baserunning, improved hitting. Kershaw reporting himself healthy as ever, same with Kenley. We will look like the 2017 Dodgers again.

  16. OC DodgerJanuary 27, 2019

    Kudos on the post! I read where Kenley lost 25 pounds by changing his diet. That bodes well because I’m sure he’s lifting and staying strong. I can only go by my gut, my gut says don’t chase Realmuto and give up Kay Bear. I have not seen even one at bat but if KB is what folks say he is, let’s be patient! I’d rather bring up the kid and roll the dice. I saw so many catcher AB’s last year that sucked and dropped and passed balls that the kid can’t be that much worse! Let’s focus on our future and not overpay for Realmuto. Let’s the Padres overpay! I will light a candle in the church!…..

  17. Mark TimmonsJanuary 27, 2019

    I see that MLB.com has ranked Mike Trout as the TOP CF in MLB. #2 is a surprise: Cody Bellinger! I would not have ranked him that high, but maybe they are right. Pollock is ranked #7. So the Dodgers have two of the TOP 7 centerfielders in all of baseball?

    https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-network-2019-best-players-at-each-position/c-264680678

    CT3 is ranked as the #5 best 2B in MLB (ahead of Scooter Gennett, Ben Zobrist and DJ LeMahieu) which may be shocking to Dodger fans and Justin Turner is ranked the #2 thirdbaseman ahead of Arenado.

    The Dodgers are a very talented team… even if you disagree with those ratings. If no more trades are made, this is what I see:

    1. Pollock will start in CF, and Cody will play 1B except when he spells AJ.

    2. Martin and Barnes will share time at C. Who the starter is doesn’t matter.

    3. Kike, CT3 and Muncy are candidates to play 2B, but Muncy will play 1B when Bellinger plays CF.

    4. SS and 3B are set with Turner and Seager… barring injury. CT3 and Kike are Plan B.

    5. LF could be a platoon of Joc and CT3, but Toles gets consideration and Kike as well.

    6. RF is up for grabs with the Dodger hoping Verdugo seizes the day. If not, CT3, Tolesy and Kike are candidates.

    That’s what you call “depth.” Lux and Ruiz are in their last minor league season as is Will Smith, if he shows he can hit at AAA. How many teams can rest their CF and bring in the #2 CF in MLB to play backup?

    Fearless Prediction: Alex Verdugo will run away with the ROY, hit .300 and shock Dodger Fans with 20 Big Flies! He is working hard, getting stronger and most importantly, he has been using mental floss to clean out the tartar around his brain!

  18. Bill RussellJanuary 27, 2019

    It scared me for a minute when I didn’t see Bellinger’s name in the infield or outfield. I agree that another top tier starter would be nice by the time the playoffs roll around. We will see about JT Realmuto, it would be nice to balance out the batting lineup. If the Pads really do want him (and are not just running up the price) they will out bid us. When I look at the Pad’s current team it seems they still aren’t ready to compete for the Western title yet so it doesn’t make sense why they would trade for 2 years of Realmuto. I still think we will end up with him.

  19. peterjJanuary 27, 2019

    Great post AC…

    As Mick would say, “Time is on my side”.. Lets just get to ST and see where were at!!!

    Some pieces can be picked as necessary during that time… And then there’s the Trade Deadline and a prayer…

    Like what I saw in A.J.’s interview and really think he’ll be an asset on the field and the clubhouse…

    Let me preface the following with I don’t like the Padres and never have…

    They are a year or two away from being a bona fide contender… Their Minor lg. system is stacked..

    Right now the NLW is a mess and yes we can/should win there..

  20. Mark TimmonsJanuary 27, 2019

    For a team to get to the World Series, let alone win it, a lot of good things have to happen.

    In Houston’s case, they went from the highest strikeout team to the lowest. They traded for an aging vet who some thought was finished and he turned into Superman. Their closer couldn’t cut it but bullpen-by-committee was the answer. They stayed relatively injury-free, role rlayers stepped up and they got hot at the end.

    In Boston’s case, three players allegedly had “career years” (Betts, Martinez and Bogarts), others had good seasons (Benintendi), while role players like Pearce, Moreland, Nunez and Holt all had their moments). A pitcher many thought was washed up got his mojo back and a couple of fireballers (Kelley and Eovaldi) got hot at the end.

    I said before the offseason, that Harper and Machado would not get anything close to what they were asking. MLBTradeRumors predicted that Bryce Harper would go to the Dodgers for $420 million and 14 years. Maybe it was a typo: I could see the Dodgers paying $240 million for 7 years. 14 years? What were they smoking?

    Morons like Plaschke, who is a gifted writer, but has no idea how to run or build anything should just shut their pieholes. They love to incite the Dodger fan base. I’m not predicting the Dodgers will sign Harper, but if he falls in their lap, they very well could. That’s the only way they will justify going over the LT.

    For the Dodgers to win it all, they are going to have to have two or three players have career years. There are plenty of candidates: Pollock, Bellinger, Turner, Seager, Taylor, Hernandez. They all don’t have to have career years, but a few do.

    A starter that some think is washed up will have to come back. The starting pitchers will have to live up to their expectations as the best staff in baseball and the bullpen led by a rehabilitated Kenley Jansen will have to clean up.

    It may take a comeback from a worn-out old catcher and Rookie of the Year to make it so. Yes, a lot has to go right for the Dodgers to win it all and it will take an unprecedented third trip to the Series to make it possible. Realmuto and/or Harper are still possibilities, but only at the Dodgers’ price… and that’s the way it should be.

    I believe the talent is there for a return to the Series, but a lot of things have to happen, including vast improvement in situational hitting. That’s why RVS is in LA. Will it happen? That’s the part we wait and see. I happen to believe!

  21. baseball1439January 27, 2019

    Letś see what happens.

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