Why Did Friedman Trade JT for JDM?

Well, he did not actually do that, and it is not my intent to disparage Justin Turner. He will always be a Dodger in my mind, but I think he should have just retired rather than go to Boston. Essentially by not signing JT and signing JDM instead, he made that trade. But like lots of athletes, Justin Turner did not know when to quit as he thinks he can still play.

JT is 38 and has lost a stop (or two). His once superb glove is not all that anymore. He is not the baserunner he once was, and over the past three seasons, he has demonstrated an inability to catch up to upper-90s fastballs. The Dodgers probably would have had him back at something around $8 million, but he got a lot more than that, and you can’t blame him. That is real money!

In the postseason, Justin Turner has been hitting .198 since the start of the 2020 postseason. He has not been the same clutch player in the post-season since 2019. He was certainly not the only problem for the Dodgers, but he was definitely a concern. Cody Bellinger was not good against lefties, and neither was Joey Gallo. By contrast, Max Muncy (who has reverse splits) has OPS’ed .849 against LHP for his career. Andrew Friedman knew that JT was one of the team leaders and yet, was part of the problem in the playoffs. This is the result of that. Also, 2017 was arguably JT’s best season. Let’s look at his OPS since then:

  • 2017 – .945
  • 2018 – .924
  • 2019 – .881
  • 2020 – .860
  • 2021 – .832
  • 2020 – .788

There is no doubt that Turner was (is) is severe decline. Freefall, some may say!

JD Martinez had an off-year in 2022, but he is three years younger than Justin Turner and was not acquired to play the field. He was hired to hit. Reunited with Robert Von Socyoc and back with a winning team, I think JDM might be primed for another great season. JDM is not a good fielder. He never has been, but he takes very good care of himself. It is not like Andrew Friedman to acquire players who can’t pay the field (usually more than one position), so that may tell you what he thinks about getting his offensive game back.

Reverse Splits

In his career, Justin Turner has hit .276 against LHP with a .358 OB%, while JD Martinez has hit .306 with a .377 OB%, but in 2022, Justin Turner hit .275 with a .345 OB% against LHP, but only OPS’ed .734, while JDM hit .319 against lefties and had a .402 OB% against them, while OP’sing .998 against LHP. The Dodgers will be more adept at hitting LHP this season with JDM and Miguel Vargas in the lineup.

Back in October of 2020, Dustin Nosler of Dodger Digest was worried about JT’s inability to hit fastballs over 94 MPH. He was worried it wold get worse. It has! Justin is a cagy hitter and he was able to bounce back from a disastrous first half of 2022, but I think it is going to get worse. The Red Sox are a mess and they are about to get messier! Sorry to see you go JT. I hope you do well… except when the Dodgers play you! Chaim Bloom is presiding over a trainwreck in Boston.

Shortstop

I know what Friedman has said about Lux at SS. Here is exactly what I believe: Andrew is trying to make everyone believe he is ready to roll with Lux at SS so that he will not be at a trade disadvantage. A player the Dodgers are “in on” right now is allegedly Seth Lugo, who is a pitcher not unlike Tyler Anderson. He is a reclamation project to some extent and while people think Friedman is “in” on Lugo, I think he is just making sure the Padres pay as much as possible for him. He doesn’t need Lugo… unless he is going to trade a starter for a SS. That’s what you have to watch for.

I do not think there is a talent evaluator who believes Lux can play SS at a high level. There are a number of people who believe Lux has a fragile psyche and just needs to stay at 2B. When Friedman and Roberts say that Lux will be the SS, I believe they are deliberately putting out a smokescreen. Either way, the truth will come out. Here are the possibilities:

  1. The Dodgers put Lux at SS and he proves me wrong;
  2. The Dodgers put Lux at SS and he proves me right; or
  3. Lux does not play SS and Friedman acquires someone else to do it.

I think #3 is what happens. I also think Friedman is still trying to pry away Amed Rosario from the Indians… I mean Guardians! Would AF have the balls to trade away Julio Urias in a 3-way deal for Rosario? Julio will be a Free Agent after 2024 and will likely command a $300 Million dollar deal. Borasss is his agent and maybe AF doesn’t see value in a 10 year $300 Million dollar deal. I guarantee you he is up to something and if Lux plays SS, then pigs fly and I will admit I am wrong (unless he is a bad as I think).

Maybe the Dodgers new Centerfielder is their old Secondbaseman… Gavin Lux! Give him all of Spring Training and his speed would play well in CF.

Try this on for size:

  1. Lux CF
  2. Betts RF
  3. Freeman 1B
  4. JDM DH
  5. Muncy 2B
  6. Smith C
  7. Vargas 3B
  8. Rosario SS
  9. Busch LF

With Rosario at SS, Muncy would be somewhat mitigated at 2B and Mike Busch could learn on-the-job in LF. He might just hit 30 HR (albeit with a .230 BA). I am just trying to get you guys to think outside the box… actually there is no box!

Another Reason They Signed JDM

The Athletic has a good read that also might give some insight into Andrew Friedman’s thought process in signing JDM:

Years after a mid-career shift that would make him a poster child for modern hitting development, J.D. Martinez cashed in. His previous time hitting the free-agent market paid him handsomely, as the Boston Red Sox were hopeful he could be the piece that pushed their group of gifted homegrown position players over the top.

Upon his arrival at Fenway Park, he was entrusted with a more specific task.

“They pretty much assigned me Mookie Betts,” Martinez told The Athletic’s Chad Jennings this past August. “They called me into the office and said, ‘This is your project.’ I said, ‘Damn, alright.’”
Betts was the most promising of them all, and Martinez’s soothsaying brought out the best in the All-Star outfielder. Betts’ OPS jumped nearly 200 points, resulting in the AL MVP award. The Red Sox won the World Series, with Martinez’s forceful right-handed bat helping lead the way.

His voice and guidance resonated among a core of All-Stars, a skill set that drew notice from outside the organization as well.”

It’s a good read…

Maybe JDM can carry the Dodgers to a place they want to go!

This article has 72 Comments

  1. anyone signing JT is hoping that he can still play like he did the second half of 2022 where he was one of best hitters for 3 months or so. So he must have been able to hit the fastball then. But how much uninjured time has he have left?

  2. I love JT but I think JDM has a much better offensive year in 23 and it’s time to see what Vargas can do at third. We can also occasionally put JDM in left if Smith needs a day off at dh. Not many giving Outman much love but he could be the big surprise of 23.

  3. What would it take to get Rosario or Adames? And I’d love to know who AF would be willing to give up? He hasn’t come up on the short end of many trades. And I’m not including Alvarez since he never even played for a Dodger affiliate.

    1. SO far the Brewers have said that Adames will not be traded. Same with Reynolds and the Pirates. I am not sure Rosario is on the market either. Guardians seem to be poised to go for it again, so why would they trade him.

    1. Yeah, I think authors of baseball blogs are tempted to do a little spitballing to generate discussion. I don’t even think Rosario is that good. Lux was better offensively and defensively than him last year.

  4. Speaking of precipitous declines, let’s compare JT and JDM.

    JT’s wRC+, HR values since 2016
    2016 – 123 27
    2017 – 151 21
    2018 – 154 14
    2019 – 131 27
    2020 – 138 4
    2021 – 136 27
    2022 – 123 13

    JDM –

    2016 – 143/22
    2017 – 167/45
    2018 – 170/43
    2019 – 139/36
    2020 – 76/7
    2021 – 127/28
    2022 – 119/16

    We’ll toss out 2020 for both players. Looking at their numbers side by side, it seems as if anyone is in a freefall, it’s JDM. JT was fairly close to his historical values last year. His HR numbers were down by a lot, and his defensive numbers dropped off a cliff – and there was his futility against playoff pitching.

    JDM’s numbers dropped off by an even wider margin last year and in the two years prior, especially if you compare him to his peak years in 2017 and 2018. If you’re looking at JT’s freefall, I wouldn’t bank my hopes on JDM being in any less of one. He’s old, too, and his stats are definitely trending in the wrong direction.

    You could make the argument that, if the Dodgers really wanted to give Vargas 3rd base, why not keep JT and use him as the DH? He’s at least an insurance policy in case Vargas falls on his face. JDM cannot touch the field at any position. He’s a terrible fielder.

    Was it years? Maybe the Dodgers didn’t want to give him a two year deal. Maybe, as the Athletic article suggests, the Dodgers liked JDM’s makeup. Maybe that will translate to a little more clutchiness in the playoffs and grittiness in the clubhouse? JDM’s offensive ceiling was definitely higher in his peak years – and he’s three years younger. He’s potentially a better middle of the order batter.

    I see the “trade” as a bit of a wash, actually. Maybe the offensive potential is marginally better with JDM, and I generally like the move, I think it was more of just a way to fill the loss of a couple of right handed bats.

    Now, if Vargas can actually hit, then I think it might be a net gain – even with the loss of TT’s bat.

    1. Good points Patch.

      In general, this moves looks a lot like swapping spit. They traded one player for the same player according to OPS+.

      From my point of view, it seems like the Dodgers are also consider other factors not referenced by the Stat Sheet in Baseball Reference.

      * JD is younger than JT
      * JD had injuries the last two season that the Dodgers may thing are behind him
      * The Dodgers think that RVS can revive JD to some extent
      * JT played just 66 games at 3B last season with limited range and a 961 fielding percentage, making him basically a DH.
      * JD is cheaper
      * JD can still hit a fastball.
      * They are going to give Vargas plenty of playing time, in the field.

        1. Yes and yes …and yes to B&Ps observation about RVS. JDM responded very well to his tutelage years ago.

  5. Urias for Rosario? Bahahahahahahahahahaha.

    Mark, Kiss! Keep it simple stupid! Or, Occam’s razor. Don’t try to overcomplicate things. Let me break it down for you.

    1) Rosario is not an upgrade over Lux, so you aren’t going to trade a borderline Cy Young candidate and best pitcher for him especially when Rosario will be a free agent after this season and doesn’t provide you with anything that Lux can’t provide.

    2) Lux will be 25 this season, two years younger than Rosario. He’s ready to take over at Shortstop and the only reason he wasn’t already the Shortstop is because they got the Nats to stupidly throw Trea into a trade to land K-Bear and Gray.

    3) The Dodgers top three position player prospects are a 3rd baseman, 2nd baseman and a Center Fielder. Max can play 3B and 2B and will no longer DH with JDM on the team and Smith also getting ABs at DH. They have a shortstop, they don’t need to trade for one and they showed little interest for one on the free agent market. Like Lux, Vargas might have to learn a temporary new position, but that doesn’t mean he’ll stay at the position forever with bloggers inventing stories why he can’t return to his original position.

    4) I thought you were done talking about this.

  6. I will miss JT. He was like a Dodger Captain. An experienced professional who conducted himself with class. He and his wife were great for the Dodgers and community. He certainly had his moments in the sun for the Dodgers. He will always be a Dodger to me and I hope we see him after he retires again in Dodger Blue in a coaching role. I think he is a manager in the making. It’s tough watching his skill to hit a fastball or throw the ball across the diamond decline. But it was time to move on and AF made a hard but wise choice. Best of luck JT and I hope to see you again in the organization.
    Interesting call Mark on JDM perhaps helping the Mookster find himself. Also trading Urias before he becomes a free agent and not dealing with Boros. I hadn’t thought of either.

    1. The first I heard of Turner couldn’t hit the faster fastball was after he signed with Boston.It seems like our players,the day they leave us they are not nearly half the players as before.That’s bullshit ,guy.Example,any player . Trea turner was awesome 85 percent of the time.Top 10 player but we won’t miss him.Shit you wait and see.Open your eyes.The young guys will do good. But we are going to miss these guys.

  7. All good things eventually come to an end. That includes Justin Turner’s incredible stint with the Dodgers. One of the more fun players to watch. The red beard and the red hair flowing out from under his cap or helmet — looking more like a Viking raider than a baseball player. I will miss him, his charisma, his flair for the dramatic and how much he did for people in the Los Angeles area. When the Dodgers honored a vet or military person at the stadium, there was Turner at the end of the dugout to shake hands and hand out a signed ball.

    Whether it was helping with feeding the homeless, children in hospitals or veterans programs, there was JT out front.

    I have no idea who the Dodgers will get to do the same, filling in for the receipient of the Roberto Clemente award for community service. The fact he lived in the LA area helped him make a connection with the fans that few players can achieve.

    Stats and data tell a very limited story about a player’s true value. This is a huge loss for the Dodgers, the community and fans.

  8. Someday I expect JT will return in the role of coach or, at least, a community relations guy.
    I’m guessing he really wanted more than a one-year commitment and AF wouldn’t give it to him. Same with Tyler Anderson.
    Perhaps Thor and JDM were willing to take one-year deals expressly because they believe that Dodger coaches will help get their careers back on track. Maybe it works out.
    At any rate, we’ll be able to compare JDM and JT during the coming season and judge whether AF made the right choice.
    Seems like a lot of folks here are expecting AF to swing some sort of big deal to get Adames or some other proven player–a deal that really defines the offseason for the Dodgers.
    I have my doubts. AF seems content to play small ball and bring the payroll down….and maybe hold off on an impact until mid-season.

  9. Joc, Kike’, Justin, Cory, Cody, AJ Ellis, Pollock, Kenley…

    Muncy will soon become a member of this club.

    1. This is Muncy’s last year. I would be surprised if he doesn’t play it out withe the Dodgers.

  10. After losing Corey, none of this hurts so much. Breaking up the “Almost Dynasty” one player at a time. Can we please say goodbye to Doc next?

    1. You have to DISCOUNT ALL OF THIS (not just part of it) if you want Roberts gone:

      1. Nobody in major league history has managed more games with a better winning percentage.
      2. If not for the COVID-SHORTENED SEASON, Dave Roberts average (I SAID AVERAGE) season is over 100 wins a year!
      3. Roberts has made the playoffs every year.

      You want to dump Roberts who has the best record EVER, and yet are ready to anoint Gavin Lux (who has started 50 games at SS) as the GUY?

      No matter how much you say it, Gavin Lux has not shown he can play SS – he has not earned it.

      On the other hand, Doc has shown that he is the best manager in baseball – he HAS earned it and you want him gone?

      I guess facts have no bearing on your decisions.

      Doc choked! The Dodger players didn’t! The Astros never stole a series, and even though his record is the best in baseball EVER, Doc is a chump. We should never believe our lying eyes, or stats.

      1. 1). How is this relevant? A monkey can manage the team with that talent to that record.
        2) See 1)
        3) And lost every year except once.

        Better than anointing a 32 year old that only has 217 games over 9 seasons as the guy.

        No matter how much you say it, Gavin Lux has NOT shown he CAN’T handle shortstop. He’s earned his shot by playing defense as good as the last two guys, while being much younger and not having the opportunity to play full time…

        Lux Career Fielding Pct at SS. 968
        Seager 970
        Turner 972

        Mattingly was pretty good until he went to the Marlins. If you really think Doc is the best manager in baseball, you need to see a shrink or join “The Program”.

        Gavin Lux can’t play shortstop, but his fielding pct is right there with the last two shortstops? You don’t want to believe the stats that a player puts up, but you want to believe that a manager’s winning percentage makes you the best manager ever?

        Cherry Pick!

        I find it amusing that a single sentence can send you on such a tirade. You got nothing until Doc wins a couple more rings.

        1. So because Doc has players who obviously choked and other teams cheated, he is a bad dude?

          1. No, Doc just sucks as a baseball manager and makes stupid decisions that have cost us championships.

        2. Mattingly over pitched Kershaw in the playoffs for years. I don’t care how talented your roster is winning 100+ games year after year is tough.

  11. Dodger target Lugo signs with the Pads, two years 15 mil with an opt out after year one. He will be stretched out to join the Pads rotation. Doc has a new three-year deal, he is going nowhere. nor should he.

        1. 2 years/15 mil with an opt out isn’t exactly breaking the bank.

          I guess if we hadn’t been involved, Lugo would have had to pay SD to play for them.

  12. When the players perform the credit goes to them and when they don’t the blame goes to Roberts.

  13. If the Vargas at 3rd base doesn’t pan out there might be an alternative road to take at tread line. According to certain mlb insiders the Red Sox and the Devers camp are light years apart on working out an extension. Devers will be a free agent after the 2023 season. Devers and Ohtani at the deadline would be surreal.

  14. The best manager in baseball: (a) is good for a win or two in the playoffs; and (b) would have sniffed out that the Astros were cheating.

    A minor league manager could match Robert’s wins given the Dodger roster.

      1. Why don’t you say what you mean, Mark?

        “With absolutely no respect, that is one of the dumbest things I have ever read!”

          1. “false, silly, dumb ….”

            You know, I was almost persuaded … but I think you might make a more compelling case if you use the ALL CAP feature next time.

            Yes … sarcasm. So, what point am I trying to make through sarcasm?

      2. Actually, I thought it was a pretty astute comment. Between your response and Bluto’s, it’s pretty apparent that the both of you don’t like the comment for reasons that are more visceral than rational, but don’t really have an answer to it, so it’s “dumb, silly, false” – empty ad hominems.

        (a) all things otherwise equal, if you have two quality teams meeting in the playoffs, and if we accept that in a short series (small sample size), it is key events that have an outsized impact on the overall outcome, I think it’s fair to say that a particularly astute manager who makes all the right tactical decisions during games may account for about two wins over the course of the playoffs. Remember, it was Robert’s stupid decision to leave Kershaw in to pitch against Soto that resulted in the Dodgers going home and the Nats winning the WS. During a 162 game season, it wouldn’t have mattered. It mattered in that moment.

        (b) I think this is an interesting point. I can’t say whether it’s true or not. We can’t say for certain whether Roberts would have sniffed it out, but I’ve used this example a couple of times in the past, but Billy Martin would’ve probably smelled a rat. Old school managers noticed EVERYTHING. They reacted to the game and remembered past events in minute detail, and used it to their advantage. It was more poker playing. Roberts is of the new school. There is a certain game plan that it is hashed out beforehand, and is the product of scouts and the cubicles full of 20 something stat geeks. Roberts manages a process. He can’t fathom something outside The Process.

    1. Well, there it is. Doc is good for a loss or two in the playoffs. Why was Wood able to sniff it out and yet the others weren’t? Because Doc isn’t good at his job.

      This isn’t quite as dumb as saying the Dodgers would trade Urias for Rosario. With all due respect, of course. And that was just today on this same site.

      Rosario’s career fielding PCT at SS is .972. Not much of an upgrade.

      1. Well, if you go back and read what I said, only a dumbass would think I said I would trade Urias for Rosario, but many lack reading comprehension.

        1. I also think Friedman is still trying to pry away Amed Rosario from the Indians… I mean Guardians! Would AF have the balls to trade away Julio Urias in a 3-way deal for Rosario? Julio will be a Free Agent after 2024 and will likely command a $300 Million dollar deal. Borasss is his agent and maybe AF doesn’t see value in a 10 year $300 Million dollar deal. I guarantee you he is up to something and if Lux plays SS, then pigs fly and I will admit I am wrong (unless he is a bad as I think).

          So who else did we get in your trade. I only see Urias and Rosario mentioned. What’s wrong with my reading comprehension?

          1. Here’s the part that I noticed –

            “I also think Friedman is still trying to pry away Amed Rosario from the Indians… I mean Guardians!”

            “still trying to pry away…?” I haven’t read this. Is this fake news?

  15. Rafael Devers and Red Sox lightyears apart on contract extension talks. If the Vargas experiment at third doesn’t work out Devers at the trade deadline would be awesome.

  16. Rosenthal from The Athletic:

    How is it possible Turner signed a contract for more than twice as much as Martinez, considering both offer minimal defensive value at this stage of their respective careers?

    Martinez’s agent, Scott Boras, pointed to the slugger’s relationship with his former Red Sox teammate, Mookie Betts, and Dodgers hitting instructor Robert Van Scoyoc, who helped Martinez revamp his swing after the 2013 season.

    1. So JDM came for the relationships and a chance to win. The money was secondary.

      JT left for the money, and winning was secondary.

      In fairness to JT, he has only made $107 Million in his career, while JDM has made $131 Million.

      As good of a clubhouse guy as JT was, JDM may be even better.

      Rosenthal went on:

      “(Dodgers president of baseball operations) Andrew Friedman and Mookie were like college coaches seeking the big recruit,” Boras said. “J.D. was fully aware of the recent signings and took $6 million to $7 million below his value.

      “He wanted to win and he wanted to (optimize his ability). He felt the Dodgers were the best team to help him achieve those goals. He made them fully aware he has every intention to play well and seek his true value in the seasons ahead.”

      So, JDM came in for a “makeover.”

      1. I think JDM will be a good fit for the Dodgers. He also is very very good in the playoffs.

        If you dont listen to Dodger Talk, do yourself a favor and podcast the episode a few days ago with Evan Phillips. I knew he had great makeup but he seems to be a really great dude and was a great interview.

        I look for him to continue to get better.

      2. I had a feeling that’s what happened here. JT didn’t care that the Dodgers wanted to stay below the cap and was holding out for a few dollars more. (Intentional Clint Eastwood Reference).

        JD’s prior relationships with Mookie and RVS sealed the deal. RVS will get him on track and he’ll have a bounce back season hitting in the middle of the order. I’ve always thought JD was a great hitter, but I can say the same about JT. JT’s lack of production against fastballs is a sign that he’s at the end of his rope and is why I wanted the Dodgers to move on from him.

        I love this signing! Even more after reading that quote.

        Speaking of quotes, the Noah Syndergaard one was almost a good. “Everything they touch turns to gold”. Mark Prior is due for a raise.

        1. I know The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly is more the magnum opus of that trilogy, but I was always fond of a Few Dollars More, and it might be my personal favorite. Enjoyed the friendly rivalry with Lee Van Cleef.

          I think JT gave the Dodgers a generous team discount on his previous contract, so I don’t think he’s greedy at all. I don’t begrudge him for signing with the Sox, and the money isn’t that far off from JDM. I think the Dodgers indicated they just wanted to go in a different direction and give Vargas a shot at 3rd. JT just believes he has a couple of years left as a starter. Good luck to him.

          1. Patch,

            I’m all over the place in this reply, so bear with me.

            Once Upon a Time in the West for Leone westerns IMHO.
            One Upon a Time in America, for Leone et al.

            As for managers being responsible for at least one playoff win? This cannot be a serious opinion. The average winning margin in a playoff game is what? 3-4 runs??!?!? You think there are constantly singular managerial moves that can move (ugh) the needle that much? Obviously we are dealing with barely tangible stuff here, but most studies with managers indicate they have a direct bearing on like 3-4 games over a 162 game schedule. There’s less than 10% of that in the playoffs. And much fewer variance.

            See:
            https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-sense-behind-ripping-the-manager/
            https://www.si.com/more-sports/2010/08/26/managers-impact
            https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/most-managers-are-headed-to-the-hall-of-mediocrity/

            As for not detecting the Astros cheating. This is even sillier.

            1. Many teams had SERIOUS belief that the Astros (and other teams, including LAD) were cheating. Proof is/was extremely hard to come by.
            2. The Dodgers DID take measures to try and deter the Astros cheating.
            3. Every manager is in the exact same boat as Roberts if you really believe the inane point that he had no clue the cheating was going on. How can you single him out for it?

        2. I was reading a story on yahoo news about all the little cookies in the Back to the Future movies. Eastwood gets a lot of play in those. For instance, when Marty goes to the movie theater in that ridiculous cowboy outfit, he says Eastwood would never wear this. And he says his name is Eastwood when he arrives back in the old west. But one really obscure cookie that only true Eastwood fans would catch is the marquee on the side of the building is advertising two old horror movies, one is Revenge of the Creature from the Black Lagoon and the other is Tarantula. Eastwood’s first movie role was in Revenge. He played a lab assistant, and in Tarantula, he was a fighter pilot who helped kill the spider. Both were uncredited parts.

  17. Even considering our off season up till now we’re still 2nd or 3rd in odds to win WS 2023 just released. So the betting experts still think this is a pretty good team. We return 3 starters with sub 3?era’s plus a healthy Dustin May and possible big rebound season from Thor if Pryor can work his magic. In addition some very good young starting talent and another strong bullpen. So I still like our chances even if the offense doesn’t produce like last year.

    1. https://realsport101.com/sports/mlb-world-series-2023-winner-odds/

      Number 2 according to this. No problem. The Astros are the defending champs.

      To answer Mark’s question. This a great team, not merely a good one. I’m very excited for next season. I think the offense will be better than last year. No more three black holes. I also think JDM is a better fit in the lineup than Trea Turner and I think Miggy Vargas is going to surprise a lot of people.

      1. Their pitching is deep, they have the capability to be very good offensively. My preference is strictly that they are more consistent offensively this season. Last year, they would have some games where they just looked flat.

  18. Chris Taylor got hitched in Hawaii. Some of his former and current teammates were in attendance. Congrats and best wishes for a long life together. And to all of you who are happily married, I wish you nothing but happiness and a full life.

  19. I’m in Vegas right now, and as of last night, the Dodgers over/under on wins in 2023 is 101.5.

    I did not expect it to be that high!

  20. Someone asked me when I stated Swanson would end up signing a bargain deal compared to Turner, Bogaerts and Correa deals.

    Although, at the time it was unknown what the Correa and Swanson deals would look like, here is what each respective contract looks like:

    Carlos Correa: 13-year $350M contract ($26.92M AAV) through age of 41
    Trea Turner: 11-year $300M contract ($27.27M AAV) through age of 40
    Xander Bogaerts: 11-year $280M contract ($25.45M AAV) through age of 41
    Dansby Swanson : pending 7-year $177M contract ($25.28M AAV) though age of 35

    While the AAV is somewhat comparable between the four players, Dansby’s contract is clearly less of a liability when compared to the other three, as it can be reasonably expected for Swanson to remain productive through the age of 35.

    While not a bargain when comparing AAV, Swanson’s deal is much more palatable when considering the superior defense he brings to the table.

    I hope the Dodgers are right about Lux’s ability to play SS, because Swanson ended up signing a deal that fits Friedman’s mortis operandi. Shorter term deal with a higher AAV.

    1. Mortis??? is he dead??? Modus operandi. And it is clearly known the Dodgers are not spending huge amounts of money until they know what is happening with Bauer. Lux will be fine.

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