I have cautioned everyone (over and over) that we really know very little about what is going on. Andrew Friedmanplays his cards pretty close to the vestand I’m guessing that the Dodgers Front-Office Employees have some pretty stiff, iron-clad Confidentiality and Non-Disclosure Agreements, because there are very little leaks from the Dodgers’ inner circle. We hear Bryce Harper, Corey Kluber, AJ Pollock and other names banded about in connection with the Dodgers, but we really don’t know what we don’t know! That, ladies and gentlemen is our biggest problem.
The Dodgers are “in on” Bryce Harper to the extent that it makes sense to them and also to drive the price up to whoever signs him other than the Dodgers. If Scott Borass insists on “breaking the bank” on Harper, the Dodgers will not be his team… but Bryce can choose where to go. He doesn’t have to listen to the Devil. As I have said before, there is interest here, but a lot has to happen before THIS can happen. Don’t hold your breath.
The Marlins are still asking too much for him and I don’t think his value will be any higher than now, because whoever trades for him will have two full seasons of control. At the trade deadline next season, he will be worth less because you will have him for less time. The Dodgers won’t say who the Marlins are asking for, but we have heard Bellinger. We have also heard that the Marlins were asking for Kyle Tucker AND Forrest Whitley, the Astros #1 and #2 Top Prospects. They are both MLB Top 10 prospects and the Dodgers Top Two Prospects are Verdugo and Ruiz at #32 and #39. The Astros won’t give up their Top Two Prospects and neither will the Dodgers.
The Astros better get real on Realmuto of they will get ZERO, ZILCH, NADA. After trading Stanton, Ozuna and Yelich, the Marlins still do not have any TOP 100 Prospects! We are talking about a really, really bad managed organization. Derek Jeter is the new Michael Jordon of baseball as an owner. If the Marlins did not get ANY TOP 100 prospects for Stanton, Ozuna and Yelich, how on God’s green earth do they expect to get two for Realmuto? I think the Dodgers would give them Smith or Ruiz, Dustin May and another prospect for Realmuto… shoot they should get Puig to put some butts in seats. He would certainly do that. I have no clue how this will play out but you don’t want to play poker with Andrew Friedman.
Injury concerns aside, Corey Kluber is not going anywhere UNLESS what the Indians get back makes them better NOW and in the FUTURE. That’s a trick. I have an idea: The Indians trade Corey Kluber to the Dodgers and the Dodgers give them Mitch White, Alex Wood, Conner Wong, Joc Pederson and Matt Kemp…. along with $10 million dollars. The Indians need a RH outfielder and Kemp has excellent splits against LH and RH pitching. He can DH occassionally when Santana plays 1B. White and Wong give them two good prospects. This deal could be expanded, if necessary.
If the Dodgers could get him for 3 years/$60 million, I think it is something they should think about, only if they trade Puig and Pederson. The only problems is the Draft Pick the Dodgers would lose. I would put him in LF where the wear and tear on his body would be less. He is a very solid RH hitter with good power, but is an injury risk. That and the Draft Pick loss may cause the Dodgers not to stomach this signing.
Low risk and high reward. He costs the MLB minimum and has the ceiling of being an MVP… and a floor of being in a wheelchair! Other than fans mentioning it, I see no connection with the Dodgers, but at age 35 (which he well be in October), he may want to try and win one in his career. 1B or 2B would be ideal for him, as his glove should play anywhere. If he could stay healthy for 140 games, you would have a driving force in your lineup. But, if chickens had lips, they would be people. Again, I don’t know what I don’t know. However, this could be a move Friedman likes: Low risk, high reward!
It is apparent to me that GM’s aren’t making the dope-fiend moves they have in the past. Going over the salary cap a few or $20 million is not a big deal, because it only costs 20% the first year. but you don’t want to get into Luxury Tax Hell and pay 50% like the Dodgers did AND lose draft picks. Losing draft picks may be the biggest issue of all. Harper and Pollock will cost the Dodgers a pick. Friedman is loathe to do that. I think Miami will come down on what they are asking for Realmuto (or may they really are that dumb).
There are so many moving parts to all of this and not only do we not know what we don’t know, but we don’t even have a clue.