All Smoke and Mirrors

In case you have been hiding under a rock, we are now engaged in the Baseball Hot Stove League where fans talk about trading everybody and his brother, sister, aunt, uncle, grandpa,  grandma as the family dog. It’s fun and we all engage in it to some degree. But, there are two rules you have to go by:
#1 Believe half of what you see and none of what you hear; and#2 They are building what is to become the World’s Largest Building, so as to house all the  roomers... ‘er rumors.
You are going to hear rumors that the Dodgers are in on just about everyone, but don’t believe all that.  The Dodgers have plans and contingencies and contingenciesto the contingencies.  They have a good idea of what they want, but you can’t always get what you want, especially when other teams or free agents want more than you want to pay.  Depending upon how things shake out, this could be the infield: 1B – Muncy/Freese; 2B – LeMahieu;  SS – Seager; 3B – Turner.  The left side of the infield is set (barring injury) but the right side is the major question.  If I thought that getting Corey Kluber was a real possibility, I would not sign a real second baseman like DJ LeMahieu.  I would save the money for Kluber.It’s quite possible that the Indians are interested in Puig for RF.  It’s also quite possible, they do not want to take any more salary on. I think the Dodgers could trade for Kluber and Gomes by sending Puig, May and Wong to the Indians for them.  The Indians think they have the roatation covered in 2019 without Kluber, so a Power Hitting Right Fielder and two very good prospects should be just about right. They also are able to cut payroll by doing thisWith Kluber, Kershaw, Buehler, Ryu, Stripling and Urias in the rotation, Wood, Maeda and/or Hill are expendable.  The Dodgers could easily move two of the three for a need. or prospects.  I keep hearing rumors (there’s that word again), that the Yankees want Machado and Harper, but they would have to get rid of Stanton to get one or both.  Maybe that’s the deal for Kemp.  The Dodgers trade Kemp and his $21 million salary, along with (pick one) Hill, Maeda or Wood to the Yankees for Stanton.  I think the Yanks would go over the Luxury Tax Threshold for a year.So, why would I trade for Stanton when I don’t want to sign Bryce Harper?  Well, here’s what he is due in salary:
YearAgeSalary Notes
202030$26,000,000May opt out of contract following 2020 season
202131$29,000,000Miami Marlins to pay $30m to New York Yankees if Stanton does not opt out following 2020 season.
202838*$25,000,000$25M Team Option, $10M Buyout.
The contract is biggest in the middle and less at the beginning and end.  Stanton is from LA and could becomebecome an icon by hitting BIG FLIES out of the Ravine.  It’s conceivable that he could break the All-Time HR Record as a Dodger.  He has 305 now. He would almost be Free in 2019,  IFCashman takes back Kemp… and there’s a chance he will,  IFthe Yanks can sign Harper and/or Machado. It’s not clear to me if the Dodgers would get the $30 million owed by the Marlins to the Yankees if Stanton opts out.This leads to a whole another lineup:
  1. Verdugo  RF  (L)
  2. Turner  3B  (R)
  3. Seager  SS (L)
  4. Stanton  LF  (R)
  5. Bellinger  1B  (L)
  6. Pederson/Taylor  CF  (L/R)
  7. Muncy  2B  (L)
  8. Gomes/Barnes  (R)
Subs:  Toles, Kike, Rios, FreeseRotation:  Kershaw, Kluber, Buehler, Ryu, Stripling/UriasThe Bullpen will be fine with internal options and a few unlikely pickups. I like the balance of that lineup.  Muncy will grow into an adequate 2B and Kike can be his caddy.  Lux is in the wings with Kaybear = I wondered why he wasn’t playing the last two weeks of the AFL Season, until I learned this fromJim Callis on, who named him the #9 prospect in the AFL:
9. Keibert Ruiz, C, Glendale (Dodgers No. 2)Ruiz’s Fall League season ended two weeks early when he left to deal with a death in his family, but before he departed he showed why he’s one of the game’s best catching prospects. He’s a switch-hitter who can handle the bat from both sides of the plate, should grow into power and owns solid receiving skills.

New Hitting Coach

Now with the hiring (allegedly) of Robert Van Scoyoc as the Dodgers Hitting Coach… well I almost don’t know what to say…  I said “ALMOST.” I do know what to say and I say: “This is a high risk, high reward hire.” This could be a stroke of genius or a fling at insanity! I tend to be a risk taker.  My Controller says “I hate guys like you”  (we are good friends anyway). I am also an iconoclast, so this is right up my alley.  Many oldtimers hate change.  I embrance it.  How can you go against Andrew Friedman anyway?  His track record in LA speaks volumes.  Nuff said… Maybe he can finish what Turner Ward started.  I have a feeling this move is going to be radical.  I mean REALLY, REALLY RADICAL! (If I offended anyone with the use of exclamation marks, just know that no animals died).Yes, baseball is changing, but let’s not forget it had been around for for over 50 years, when some guy with a woman’s name (Ruth, I think it was) re-invented the game with his laptop with launch angles, fly balls and the like.  OK, I made that part up, but he sure changed the game… for the better, I think. In 1918, Ruth tied for 1st in HR with 11.  In 1919, he hit 29 – next was a player with 12. In 2020, he hit 54 and George Sisler was 2nd with 19. It took a few years for them to figure it out – maybe they hacked his laptop to figure out his launch angle, but evidently, every 100 years change occurs… or not!P.S. Yesterday, someone suggested I needed sensitivity training.  Well, I’ll have you know, I have taken that class.  However, it was cut short because I beat up the instructor!!!!!!  Any complaints?  I think not!!!!

This article has 54 Comments

  1. I am old, so I do not like the signing of Van Scoyoc. But, more importantly, what do the players think. I think it would be very hard to take instructions from someone who has hardly played any baseball. Just my opinion. I realize that a great player does not often make a good coach. However, there has to be some experience at the major league level. I am a risk taker, but this is beyond what I would do. When I was Superintendent of Schools, we went to the four day school week. It works for smaller schools.

  2. I suggested a trade for Stanton a while back but I was including the Dodgers used to trade for Kemp. The Yankees have outfielders and need to lose one to fit in Harper unless they accept his defense at first base. I don’t think the Yanks would add Kemp to their 25 so if they do take Kemp, they would probably release him like Atlanta did Gonzales. The Dodgers could get him back for around $500,000.
    Seattle is a mess. Last in minor league system rankings and have a few bad contracts. They are trying to dump Cano. They need players. It would seem that Edwin Diaz could be had with low cost volume more than elite talent. Mun cy and Wong come to mind plus White, Alvarez types.

    1. Nothing is ever set in stone, but Jerry Dipoto has gone on record that everyone is available EXCEPT Mitch Haniger and Edwin DIaz. They have 4 years of control, and that is who they are going to build around. I would not trade either one if I were Dipoto.

  3. This would be awesome, make it happen!
    Except, Taylor plays second, Muncy 1B and Bellinger CF. Can we trade Verdugo instead of Puig???

    Taylor 2B (R)
    Seager SS (L)
    Turner 3B (R)
    Stanton LF (R)
    Bellinger CF (L)
    Puig RF (R)
    Muncy 1B (L)
    Gomes/Barnes (R)

  4. I could see the team making Van Scoyoc a minor league roving instructor or even an assistant batting coach, but to hire him as the main guy? Time will tell, I guess.

  5. Coaching is an interesting phenomenon. Here in Sacramento, we remember a swimming coach named Sherm Chavoor. He coached swimming at a local country club. He also coached a couple of swimmers you may have heard of – Mark Spitz and Debbie Meyers. Oh – and Sherm Chavoor couldn’t swim.

    I am usually a believer that only a guy who has actually performed the thing that he is trying to teach can really teach it. It’s not always true however. Some like Chavoor are expert motivators and come up with a new angle (so to speak – pun intended) that he can convey to help lead to success. (In Chavoor’s case, he had his swimmers swim longer distances while training, according to the NY Times.) So the question is, whether Van Scoyoc has the ability to motivate, to teach, and to bring the “new angle”, and whether he can earn the players’ trust and get them to listen. Mark me down as one who has his doubts, but I guess time will tell.

    I only hope that we won’t suffer through another year of poor situational/clutch hitting, inordinate strikeouts, the inability to adjust with everyone trying to hit another HR.

  6. I’m warming to the idea of Muncy at 2b. He can be moved to 1b late in the game if needed and Bellinger can shift to CF. Playing Muncy at 2b solves a lot of problems for us: it gets his bat in the lineup; it lets Bellinger stay at 1b; and it potentially opens up an outfield spot for Verdugo.
    If I ran the zoo, I would be hoping that Taylor could reclaim the starting CF job. When he was at his best–the year he won the NLCS co-MVP–he played CF everyday and used his hustle, speed, and slashing bat to win us games. I’d like to see if he’s still capable of being that player. He’s also RH which is a plus in our LH-heavy lineup. Put him next to Puig in RF for one more go-around and let’s have some fun out there.
    That would essentially leave LF as the only true battle. Joc, Kemp, Verdugo, & Toles could fight for three jobs. Keekay would go back to being our #1 utility option, especially in the IF, where he would be joined by Freese and possibly a revigorated Barnes. Assuming no new additions, our lineup and bench would be set with the extra outfielder either traded or heading to AAA as insurance. That’s eight starters and five bench players.
    The rotation is where I see some problems. We need to find a home for Wood. Carrying him as a reliever is not an option to me and, at best, Wood is looking like our #5 starter right now, pushing Maeda, Stripling, Urias, Santana, & Ferguson to the pen. Not ideal. We can’t force trades on other teams but imagine a big part of our GM-less offseason will be waiting out the market and calling teams that miss out on free agent signings. Wood is no Corbin and Kemp is no Cruz, but we have some talent to spare.
    I’m getting eager for some moves but time is in our favor. As it stands we have enough talent right now to contend. It’s clear to me we’re targeting massive contracts unless they can traded for money we want off the books. The quieter we are, the more I think something major is being worked on. A tremor shifting underground that could alter the makeup of the terrain. A sound without cognate or origin. Either that or a cheap crappy back-up catcher.

      1. MJ–I guess my list of “What exactly are they?” teams would be the Rangers, White Sox, Mets, Reds, and Angels. Not terrible and not necessarily rebuilding. Just kinda there. Like water in the sea. Maybe the White Sox are rebuilding and I don’t know it.

        1. Dionysis

          I know what you mean.

          The way some baseball analysts are talking, the Giants are another one of these teams, that seems to be in limbo too.

          1. Giants are good example of being caught in between. They have some foundational pieces and could easily add to them but then again their farm system is pretty bad and it’s hard to see this current group winning it all. If I were the GM, I’d give Bumgarner an extension as a thank you for what he’s helped accomplish. Trading him now would likely not bring much back in return. Like in LA the past few decades, a rebuild is hard to do when you’re selling out every game and fans are looking for a good time at the park. On a related note, I’d be furious if I were an M’s fan, as they have some experienced talent and a puncher’s chance to compete. I think the so-called “super teams” have scared a lot of AL teams into rebuilding, which if done right is a lengthy process that involves totally bottoming out and slowly turning around the entire organization. There is no way to do it halfway [although the Yankees kinda did a few years ago].

  7. Taylor had 42 more strike outs then hits, last year.

    He also struck out almost 31 percent of the time, when runners were in scoring position.

    Taylor struck out more then any player in the National League last year too, and he isn’t exactly a power hitter.

    Taylor only hit 17 HRs, with all of those strike outs.

    Muncy had 26 more strike outs then hits, but he also hit 35 HRs.

    Let’s hope this new hitting instructor can fix Taylor, because what Taylor did last year, is not good for any hitting instructor’s resume.

    I wonder who the Red’s hitting instructor was last year?

    1. What was most bothersome about Taylor was that he lost control of the strike zone. He chased out of the zone too much and most frustrating of all was how many times he looked at strike 3. No batting coach is the solution or problem there. I could live with the k rate he had in 2017 if his .OBP was the same.

      1. Hawkeye

        I don’t think Taylor’s swing is easy to repeat, so I can’t see him being as consistent as he was, in 2017.

        Also how can he have any bat control, with a swing like he has?

  8. The Athletic has an interesting piece today. In part, it says:

    As the Dodgers explore a variety of moves, one rival executive notes the team rarely has been burned by trades of prospects since Andrew Friedman took over as president of baseball operations in October 2014….

    The lesson, according to the rival executive, is to proceed with caution when dealing with L.A. Friedman generally moves the right guys.

      1. The trade deadline chapter of “Moneyball” is one of my favorite reads ever. It really gets into the nitty gritty of what happens when teams talk to each other. I’m fascinated by the actual mechanism of trades and would love to know even more details [after the fact] of how certain guys are decided upon or debated. I’m a believer in an honest deal so I hope we’re not trying tricks to get ahead. Exchange value for value and hope that you come out ahead. Or don’t make a deal at all.

  9. This hitting instructor was a hitting consultant for the Dodgers for two years, before becoming the Dbacks instructor.

    So the players probably already know this guy.

    1. Well, wer know that JD Martinez and Chris Taylor know him.

      If you have JD Martinez on your list of credits, I’d say you have their attention.

      “Oh, you don’t want to listenm to me… you must be better than JD.”😉

      Maybe he does the voodoo that he dooo on CT3 again.

      1. Mark

        To tell you the truth, I think JD really learned how to hit, when he was on the Tigers, with Miggy.

        But I do think he is a student of hitting, so he is always trying to get better.

          1. The other two most ridiculous deals currently out there [imo] belong to Chris Davis and Albert Pujols. Chris Davis, whose batting average last year is close to my highest bowling score, is still signed for 4 more years and $92 mil. The good news, I suppose, is that $42 mil of his overall deal is payable upon retirement, which means he’ll be getting multi-million dollar checks from the organization into his 50’s. Somewhere Bobby Bonilla is smiling. The other deal that stands out is the Albert Pujols contract, which is so confusing I can barely summarize it. Basically, he gets paid as much as he wants, gets to do whatever he wants, and probably gets to keep the franchise as a souvenir when’s he’s done hitting baseballs with a bat for a living. It’s a colossally bad deal and the Angels should be ashamed they ever outbid the Cardinals. The Cardinals, in turn, should thanks their lucky stars they escaped this vortex of a contract and managed to save face at the same time. Some of the best deals dot dot dot.

  10. Funny to see these guys on MLBN talking about Robinson Cano like he has any real value left. Yes, he’s probably still a decent hitter but the combination of suspension stigma, aging, and ridiculous contract makes him someone teams would only target as a clear arbitrage play.
    I do wonder whether our front office has any “yes or no” player evaluation system or if anyone is in play at the right price.

  11. I think we would all agree that if Van Scoyoc gets Austin Barnes to hit like JD Martinez or 2017 CT3, we could give a rat’s rear as to how he did it or that he didn’t play baseball beyond the JC level. As a long time Dodger fan, I still hold on to the fact(hope?) that Friedman, et al, know a whole lot more about what they’re doing than I do. Although, I must admit, there are times when I’m sitting in my recliner, with the remote in my right hand, enjoying a cold drink, watching a game, where I’m absolutely convinced that I know more about what’s going on in the game than those in the dugout do.

    1. Everyone is judged by the worst mistakes they have made. For all the hundreds of smart decisions Dave Roberts has made the ones that flop completely are best remembered. I’m not saying that’s right or wrong but it’s close to the truth. I just hope he learns from his experiences and eventually leads us to the promised land. Maybe it’s on the players too, though, to make decisions easier to make. There’s a reason why Max Scherzer gets left in a game so long; he’s good. Or why Andrew Miller gets called on in the 4th inning. Make your own luck and you don’t have to live with the consequences of other’s decisions. I would love it if Wood and Maeda demanded a move to the bullpen so they could shut down the 6th-8th innings every night. At some point somebody has to step up and do more than his share. Kershaw, Jansen, Turner, & Joc have come close but not quite gotten there. I vote for a going-away MVPuig in 2019. And no more softees acquired at the deadline. Hard-asses only.

  12. Considering the Braves and Mariners are the most active teams this off-season, maybe they should match up for a trade.

  13. Well, here’s what we (evidently) know about the Dodgers hiring Robert Van Scoyoca as hitting coach:

    1. [He] could be instrumental in making the Dodgers even more infuriatingly swing and miss in 2019
    2. …what a frickin’ joke.
    3. …more unwatchable and far from entertaining product.
    4. … one of the things I really dislike about Friedman. You would think there is someone in the organization that is well qualified to be the hitting coach.
    5. ….a 90+ loss season just might get ownership to change some direction as far as this FO goes.
    6. …. he’s going to ruin Bellinger.
    7. This is great! It will cost Friedman his job.
    8. This team will be lucky to win 50 games.
    9. No baseball player will respect him.

    Well, there you go – The Friedman Bashers have spoken (out of their a________ , as usual).

    I have no idea how this might work, but unless the world is flat, I think there is a possibility it could end up good.

        1. Thank you for reading those comments so we don’t have to

          Not only do I appreciate the intelligence of the LADT contributors but the intelligence of the commentators as well.

  14. Several points that I want to respond to from above:
    1. JDM and CT3 is not a resume for me. We have no idea what or how he adjusted JDM’s swing. I have a tendency to agree more with MJ on this and that Miggy probably helped out quite a bit. Nothing to base it on, except it was in Detroit where JDM began to pound the ball. Mark is constantly pointing to JDM as an example of how someone might improve later in their career, when trying to boost Kike’s projection. A more clear picture would be how poorly the DBacks offense was last year. That might be more reflective as to how the “strategy” worked.
    2. If JDM and CT3 are Scoyoc’s resume, then my son should be a ML hitting coach. He has helped a significant number of ML hitters through his career, including one potential HOF hitter who called him out of the blue for help. And no I will never tell who the players were, so please do not ask. My son was asked by multiple teams to continue his baseball career as a coach including one manager who went to a recent WS. As a catcher, my son had an eye for what every batter was doing; studied trends in their swings. He knew what what was different in their swing, and players would quite often come to him to analyze their swing. He knew how to get batters out and went to pitchers. My son does not know the first thing about computer imaging. What he knows he learned by doing and observing at the top professional levels. He only had 14 ML PA but he spent a lot of ST games playing against ML players, including some of the best pitchers in the game at the time.
    3. I grew up an age group swimmer, and knew of Sherm Chavoor. I competed against Mark Spitz in 3 different nationals. He kicked my *** every time. I do not know how Chavoor’s club worked, but our club had a head coach for the workouts and motivation, but we also had stroke technicians, who were all former national team swimmers. Yes they studied the newest stroke/kick techniques. But they knew what it was like to swin at the highest level. Swimming is more of a science, while IMO, hitting a baseball is an art. Not everybody does it the same way. What works best is what comes most natural. What is even more natural and cannot be taught at the professional level is hand/eye coordination. Sure JT changed his mechanics, but his big change was the lifting of his front leg which helped with his timing. But JT has outstanding hand/eye coordination and gets to the ball quick. Last year CT3 swung on a consistent plane, and if the ball was not in that plane he was not going to hit it.
    4. All that being said, I am going to reserve judgement on Mr. Scoyoc. As a Dodger fan, I can only hope and trust that Andrew & Co. has made the correct decision. He has a track record that is pretty darn good (again IMO). OTOH, my son has made up his mind. He would never go to Scoyoc for advice. He would go to other players and ask them. Hard headed and stubborn? Absolutely. However, he would have listened to Turner Ward as they were teammates in the Phillies organization.
    5. Last week I wrote about Giancarlo Stanton and devised a scenario that might get Stanton to LA without putting the team over the CBT threshold. I did not then and do not now believe that Andrew & Co. will make that trade for Giancarlo. It is just not who they are. What I left on the cutting room floor was:
    But if not Stanton, who? I understand people want Harper, and I am not sure why. Harper has had one absolutely phenomenal year (10.0 WAR), and then one at 5.2, one at 4.7, and one at 3.8, with three at 1.5 or below. Stanton has three at 5.4 to 7.6, two above 4.0, 1 at 3.8, and three at 2.6 to 2.8. None below 2.6.
    For a 162-game average: Harper – .279/.388/.512/.900 – 32 HR & 91 RBI. Stanton – .268/.358/.548/.905 – 43 HR & 109 RBI. 2018 Defensively – Harper DRS -26 & -14.4 UZR. Stanton DRS 5 & UZR 7.3. The cost of Harper will be more in total and AAV than Stanton.
    Someone tell me again why Harper is better than Stanton?
    6. While I am an advocate for Kluber, it appears that it is going to be Trevor Bauer who is more likely to be traded. I am all on board for Trevor Bauer. He has two more years before FA He is from the Santa Clarita Valley, so he would undoubtedly like to stay home. He is a UCLA Bruin, and learned from an outstanding coach, John Savage. With Gerrit Cole, they formed a fantastic Friday/Saturday pitcher combo for UCLA on their WS championship run. He had the same HS coach as my son, and coincidentally as the Dodgers new hitting coach. He had a breakout year last year, and I think he could be on that proverbial ledge to becoming an Ace. He is a competitor that knows how to win. To me, Trevor is similar to Zach Wheeler in progress, except he has 2 years control remaining while Zach has 1.

    1. J.D. Martinez’ transformation beginBEFOREhe went to Detroit. According to the Boston Globe:

      Martinez sputtered in his second year, getting demoted to Triple A in August after his average dropped to .235/.308/.373. His approach further unraveled in 2013, when he hit .250/.278/.378 for the Astros. His performance suggested little more than a depth player, someone who could be shuttled between the big leagues and the minors. But Martinez did not accept that fate.

      After the 2013 season, Martinez sought out Craig Wallenbrock and Robert Van Scoyoc, private hitting instructors in Southern California who’d worked with Brewers slugger Ryan Braun as well as Martinez’s Astros teammate Jason Castro.

      Rather than taking a piecemeal approach, Martinez was open to a fundamental overhaul of everything he was doing with his hitting mechanics. With Wallenbrock and Van Scoyoc, he essentially entered a hitting sweat lodge that inspired a vision of his future.

      Martinez embraced a philosophy and mechanics that permitted him to turn raw materials into game production. He created a timing mechanism with his front foot that synced his stance to the motion of a pitcher. He lowered his hands so that, instead of swinging down at the ball, he could quickly get the barrel working up through the strike zone on the same plane as the pitch, driving the ball in the air. He focused on letting fastballs travel deep and driving them to the opposite field, something that allowed him to pull breaking balls. Martinez returned to South Florida that winter as a different player.

      This is fascinating story and you can read it here:

      MJ suggested that Miguel Cabrera helped JD, but I can find no eveidence of that anywhere. Maybe she can share where she saw that. Otherwise, it just seems to be another back-handed shot to discredit Van Scoyoc.

      Look, this may end up being a bad idea, but Babe Ruth changed EVERYTHING and sometimes change just happens. Maybe what we all learned is the correct way and this is blasphemy…. or maybe this is a quantum shift in the game. I am not predicting either, but it will be fun to watch it play out.

      1. “I am not predicting either, but it will be fun to watch it play out.”Not if CT3 continues his trend and strikes out 200+ times.

        1. AC,
          As an aside, I went to Junior High (Campbell Hall) with a son of legendary USC swim coach, Peter Daland.

        2. I agree with that, BUT Van Scoyoc worked with CT3 in 2016 and 2017 – he was in AZ for 2018. Maybe there is hope. I love stories like this… no matter how they end.

          1. One final retort…with Van Scoyok in AZ last year, how did that work out? Looking at the results, not too good. Maybe he is good one on one, but not so good with a team.

            We will see! I am hoping for the best.

          2. Seems like Arizona’s hitting has always been mostly affected negatively by who they can and can’t keep healthy. When Pollack and Peralta are healthy they hit when they aren’t they don’t. They lost Lamb last season too. I’m sure the Van Scoyoc’s history with the Dodgers gives them a good idea of what he can and can’t do. I have to believe some of the players haves strong opinions about him already.

          3. Mark

            My comments about Taylor was more about Taylor then this coach.

            I do hope this coach can help Taylor.

            I have no big feelings either way about this coach.

            I am going to wait and see, before I make any judgments.

      2. Mark

        My comment about Miggy, had nothing to do with this instructor.

        I have always felt that way.

        Because of the same reason AC said.

        Because Miggy was one of the best right hand hitters, in all of baseball.

        And by the way, Miggy was very good at driving the ball to rightfield, and that happens to be one of JD’s biggest strengths.

        And I wouldn’t be surprised if Miggy took JD under his wing, just like JD did, with his Red Sox teammates, this year.

        And I am sure JD, asked Miggy more then a few questions when he was playing side by side with him, in Detroit.

        He would have been crazy not to ask Miggy!

  15. Mark and AC,

    I just googled JD Martinez and Miggy Cabrera and three articles popped up, how Miggy taught JD.

    One article was David Price talking about how Miggy helped JD.

    Remember Price was on the Tigers with both guys.

  16. A proper stride separation. Short to and long through followed by finishing high. Put those together you have both a good baseball swing and when you put the computer to it you will come out with a good attack angle and launch angle, but if you aren’t short to and long through your bat isn’t in the zone long enough.

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