Who’s the Best?

Full disclosure: Mark asked me to write earlier this year, but the strike, errr… lockout came and I might have used it as an excuse to not get going with it. That and I find it very comfortable to read Mark’s take in the morning and use my time writing as a warm-up to get my brain going in the morning. I don’t put much thought into my posts. My fingers just start moving and there I go.

I’m very comfortable contributing in that manner. It’s out of my comfort zone to pick a subject, write it out, format it, add some graphics and links and quotes, and all the good stuff that Mark and OldBear do to put a product on the site for everyone to consume.

I said something to Mark the other day about making sacrifices for other people, so I’m gonna back up what I said and take a little pressure off Mark driving the offense, like Mookie, out of the leadoff spot. I probably won’t be a Trea or a Freddie, but hopefully, I’ll put up at least Belli numbers on this site and occasionally hit one out or at least sacrifice one home. I doubt I’ll K as much. So here goes.

Intro

I make the most out of my time talking people off the ledge or adding insight on why some stats are “unreliable” as I like to put it. A stat is unreliable because it can’t do what it’s supposed to do and that is to tell you if a player is any good. Talking people off the ledge is a specialty of mine because I don’t think everyone puts a lot of time to look around the league to compare our players against their peers. It’s also unfathomable to think you can build a team with all-stars at every position or a team that doesn’t get injured. I like to think outside the box by testing to see if a narrative is merit-based. In general, I question everything I read and if I think something doesn’t look right, I research to see if what I’m seeing is true and to what degree. After all, like building an all-star lineup, having every position in a particular publication to be true, without bias or influence is a lot to ask of any human.

Is Tony Gonsolin the Best Pitcher in Baseball?

Tony G, or “The Cat Man” is one of my favorite players on a team full of favorite players. He meets a lot of checkboxes for me. Yes, he’s from California, but unfortunately, he’s from Northern California. He’s from Vacaville which is one of my Wife’s old stomping grounds as she spent her formidable High School years in Napa, just 26 miles from Vacaville. He played college ball at St. Mary’s which is my niece’s alma mater. Another checkbox, I suppose. I have an affinity for players that went to schools that friends or family went to.

I followed him pretty closely through his fairly quick rise through the minors (less than 3 years) and rumors of a 98 mph fastball (another checkbox) got me really excited. He had great K rates, just about 11 per 9 checking yet another box. In that 2019 season, a little shy of his third year in the minors he was really good, with a sub 3.00 ERA. I’m not sure if I ever saw that 98 MPH heater, but I fell in love with the splitter!

So, here we are today and he’s got a perfect winning percentage and a league-leading ERA and WHIP and very stingy league-leading hits per 9 at just 4.8! Those are very lofty results after just about halfway through the season. He’s just one of 3 qualified pitchers to have a sub-2.00 ERA so far this season. But, out of those three, he also has the least amount of innings pitched and strikeouts.

Justin Verlander’s ERA is just above the 2.0 mark and almost half a run more than Tony’s but has thrown just over 16 more innings in the same number of games. His strikeout numbers have taken a bit of a hit with just an 8.3 K rate per nine. He’s still averaging 94.9 MPH on the 4 seam which is actually a tick or so up from his last Cy Young season when it was 94.6. Most likely the K rate has something to do with the diminished spin rate, or maybe he’s just deciding to get quicker outs with fewer pitches. Time will tell.

The Marlin’s Sandy Alcantara is a current member of the sub 2.00 club and has pitched a whopping 115 innings across 16 starts. He also has 2 complete game shutouts to his credit. He’s doing it much like Verlander and Gonsolin with just 7.6 K’s per nine. He’s getting a ton of weak contact mostly on his two fastballs, a 4-seamer that averages 97.7 MPH that he couples with a 2-seamer at 97.5. Most of his K’s come with a change and slider and he throws all of his pitches pretty evenly.

While 3 out of the top 4 ERA leaders are getting it done with less than 9 K’s per nine. The 4th, Shane McClanahan of the Rays, is doing it with 12.2 K’s per nine! He’s leading MLB in K’s and WHIP and has a ridiculous 7.82 SO/W ratio. He’s second in MLB in ERA, sitting at 1.74.

The Verdict

We touched on many different stats here. WHIP, ERA, K’s, etc. You can’t just pick one and say he’s the best, at least I can’t. That’s not what I do. I have a good idea of which pitcher is the most dominant of the three. That’s Shane McClanahan. He just gets so many K’s on his fastball, curveball, and changeup and he walks practically no one. But, is he the best pitcher? To me, wins mean a lot. After all, if your team wins the games that you start, you’re getting the job done. Tony and Verlander are tied for the league lead with 10 a piece. One more than Shane and two more than Sandy. But, no one rests their bullpen like Sandy Alcantara who averages 7.19 innings per start vs. 5.41 innings for Tony. Resting your pen makes the whole team better so I hold this in high regard.

For me, Justin Verlander is the best pitcher in baseball. He’s got a little higher ERA, but is getting the job done with 10 wins. He’s also got the pedigree and he throws a full inning more per game than Tony. His K rate is a little better and…

Just kidding. Our own Tony G is the best pitcher in baseball right now. The only knock on Tony is that he has a manager with an itchy trigger finger. As long as that splitty is working, it’s the best pitch out of all the guys on that I’ve compared. He leads all of baseball in ERA, WHIP, and hits per 9 which means you just can’t do anything against this guy. His 10-0 record is perfection. This can all change through the course of the season, but no one wants to face Tony G right now.

Cheers! I hope it was everything you imagined it would be.

Future Dodgers Down on the Farm by MT

  • Las Vegas Beat OKC 12-4
    • Zach McKinstry was 2-3
    • Mike Busch was 2-4 with his 21st HR and 2 RBI
    • Hunter Feduccia was also 2-4
    • Garrett Cleavinger pitched a perfect 9th inning, striking out the side.
  • NW Arkansas Beat Tulsa 7-6 i 10 innings
    • Andy Pages was 2-4 with a double and 2 RBI
    • Leonal Valera was 2-4 (.323 BA)
    • Clayton Beeter went 2.1 Innings: 3 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 2 K – His first 2 innings were clean, and then he ran into problems in the 3rd. I think he belongs in the bullpen along with Landon KNack who has the same issues. Both guys could be awesome relievers.
  • Lansing Beat Great Lakes 7-4
    • Eddys Leonard was 2-4 with 2 RBI, including his 8th HR
    • SS Alex De Jesus was1-3 with 2 BB and 2 RBI I (.301, ,886)
  • Inland Empire Beat Rancho Cucamonga 4-3
    • Jake Vogel has his BA up to .22 as he went 2-4
    • Damon Keith was 1-3 as he begs for a promotion. (.303, .954)

This article has 81 Comments

  1. Good post B & P. I am glad you took up the opportunity to become a writer in some part to take the load off of Mark and Bear. You will do just fine and I look forward to more articles from you.

    Nice win last night. Nice to win the 1st game of the series. Couldn’t touch Freeland for the first 4-5 innings. Didn’t get to see the late innings live but saw the highlights. Looks like it got a little tense in closing it out in the 9th inning.

    Have a good day all. Back to work after the long holiday weekend.

  2. B&P, welcome aboard! I was so excited to see your name in the byline and then you had to go and compare yourself to Bellinger! But with my newfound positive attitude with him all is good! You can’t possibly strike out as much as him! Great first article and do you think there’s a place for Kersh on the all star team this year. What a hometown moment that would be for him!

    1. Honestly speaking, CK should absolutely be in the All-Star game this year along with Julio and Tony. If Clayton qualified for the ERA title, he would be tied for the 5th in the league in ERA alongside teammate and fellow lefty, Julio.

      There might be some pitchers that are more deserving, but not by much. Being that this game is a friendly and it’s at Dodger stadium, I think you have to lean towards Clayton making it over other pitchers who are close.

      Last year, the NL team had 16 pitchers, 12 of them were starting pitchers. The AL team had 15 pitchers, 8 starters. If you look at ERA leaders this year, Mikolas, Wheeler, Fried and Rodon are 6-9 on the list. It’s hard to argue that you would rather have any of them facing Clayton and the Dodgers on a any given day.

      So, give the fans what they want and give Clayton the ball for at least three hitters.

      BTW – Clayton has made 10 starts this year. He’s allowed more than 1 run in just 3 of them. If you threw out that clunker at Coors field, he would have a 1.73 ERA. How’s that for All-Star worthy?

        1. To myself, the ASG means nothing. But it does to the players. So with that Kershaw deserves more than any other player to pitch in that game. I don’t think he’s been getting the credit he’s earned with what he’s done for how long. He’s represented the Dodgers for 14 seasons with nothing but class and this ASG is at Dodger Stadium. If there is any class in fans voting he should definitely represent the Dodgers at their home park.

  3. B&P, Just like our Tony G, your first post was perfection and I look forward to reading your posts in the future. I’m hoping for an offensive outburst from the “Good Guys” in blue tonight.

  4. I agree, more of BP would be nice….let the 3 super stars split time.

    Who the heck is Trayce Thompson? I know who he is, but look at all these big hits he has already given us. Of course, none bigger than the Braves “surprise” hit, just because they are the world champs. Is it possible at age 31 he has finally learned how to hit, or is this a temporary moment soon to revert to oblivion? Well, at least for today, he is now firmly in my heart with very fond thoughts.

    Oh, one quick note on Kimbrel. Not trying to be his apologist (BP can do that), but why isn’t anyone discounting the fact that he did get hit in the back by a baseball? Don’t you think that counts for something? In other words- give him a pass on that blown save! (Put your rocks down….be nice.)

    TM

    1. The problem with Kimbrel is that one can keep making excuses. The other day he got hit, a week or so ago the game was delayed or there was light contact. Bottom line his numbers don’t look good. So the question is; is he snake bit ( small sample size), or is who he is now what he has been for roughly a year now. I e elect he will continue to close, at least until the trade deadline.

    2. At this point I’ll take Trayce Thompson over Chris Taylor. Anyone in agreement?

  5. Superb First Blog, B&P!
    One slightly correction on Pages: Hit a Game tying HR in the 9th while going 2-4 at AA.
    His power stroke continues

    Go Dodgers!

  6. BP my man! Nice job on the Catman. I am also of the mind that wins mean something. Always have been. You get the win, it means you kept your team in the game. I doubt Bellinger will ever again be the player he was in 2019. But here is the thing, the guy is 26, one of the better athletes on the team and possesses some really impressive baseball skills. Speed power, and a great arm. Now, if he can finally start using the entire field instead of trying to pull every pitch completely out of Dodger Stadium, he will be a much better hitter. I put a lot of blame for his struggles on coaches who have the philosophy of trying to hit the ball in the air instead of just meeting it squarely. Taylor will be out a couple of days, so the lineup is thin again. By the way, he has struck out 101 times in 252 at bats. That is close to or above 40% of the time. Someone needs to help him cut down on his K rate.

  7. I had missed out on the July 3rd comments and caught up with that conversation late yesterday. I have been saying for a long time that the information provided to us about the Dodgers is better than anything else in the media. The Times sucks and is almost unreadable. They had a special last year for the online edition at $1 for six months. After a few months I felt I was being overcharged. Lol. Them along with other media outlets are in it for clicks and $$ and not informing their readers. So, I’m thankful to have Mark provide LADT. It was nice to see many of the readers who don’t post much or not at all respond. There were some strong appreciation for what Mark has provided to us over the years. It was good to see. And, to those who are reluctant to post, don’t be. It doesn’t have to be daily or overly long (ex B&P). There is a wide spectrum of opinions here. I can’t imagine yours would be outside of that spectrum or more controversial than has been written in the past. Give it a try. It can be cathartic.

    When I read that Mark was looking for some help with the daily lead articles, B&P came to mind. I mean let’s be real here. He is a blog within a blog. I mentioned to him several weeks ago that I appreciated his recent content because he had eliminated much of his attacking approach with those who initially wrote a comment or responded to one of his musings. He does offer a lot good opinion and “facts”. It was his mean spirited, know it all responses that were a reason not to interact with him. Well, that for the most part has gone away. So, his reward for being more respectful is to get his material pushed up to the top of the blog. Congrats and well deserved. And the hell with Belli numbers. Let’s shoot for Freddie numbers! Very consistent offensively and play nice defense.

    Back to the game of baseball. I was somewhat amazed the criticism of Lux on the ball Voit hit off the top of the wall. That would have been a unbelievable play it he had caught it. To blame it on his inexperience in the outfield might be misplaced. I’m sure there’s a place to find the odds of an outfielder making that play and if there is it had to be pretty low. Anyway, Lux is playing where he is told to play. I agree with those who think he should be at 2B everyday. If not, then keep working with him in the OF. It’s been one thing that I disagree with the FO in their obsession with player versatility in the field. It’s a nice aspect to have available to the team, but it’s the cause for many of the errors or misplaced balls committed by the players. Lux is a example. Chris Taylor is one of the few exceptions in that he can excel in both the infield and outfield. This is why Taylor should be a role player. That and his 40% strikeout rate. Damn he is hard to watch lately. Same with Mr Muncy.

    With Cody I’ve resigned myself to the fact that he is a GG defender with excellent speed and average at best with the bat. I had high hopes for him this year with the way he ended his season last year. What a waste of talent.
    Here’s his rankings with the top 22 CF in MLB:
    Avg – 12th
    SLG – 11th
    OPS – 12th
    HR – 8th
    RBI – 12th
    Resign Cody? I would, but for a AAV of $15-$17M. I know that Taylor resigned for $15M, but looks like that was a huge overpay right now.

    Mark reports to us almost daily on how the Dodgers are #1 or #2 in offense in MLB. I think that’s more of a reflection on the poor offensive output with the rest of baseball. We have JT (although recent indications of a turnaround), Bellinger, Taylor, and most of all Muncy underachieving right now. That’s over 40% of the lineup sucking. And yet the team is one of the tops offensively in baseball. It doesn’t make much sense.

    I kind of defended Kimbrel the other day. After his last performance it’s going to be hard to continue that backing. I mean four blown saves in the last seven save opportunities. Not good. I thought it was a head scratching decision to leave him the game after he was hit in the right upper back/shoulder. Again, when one of the few times Roberts has to make a pitching decision without the help from the front office he fails. Of course, if the offensive had taken advantage of many scoring chances earlier in the game then Kimbrel probably wouldn;t have been in the position to be hit. I would hate to lose Phillips for the eighth inning, but he has to be considered for the closer role. He has the stuff and has earned the chance to close. To think of bringing up and using a rookie to close games is a mistake in my mind. What are the odds of that working out. I don’t think the FO would do something that foolish.
    Carry on

    1. I don’t blame it on Lux, I blame it on the powers that be to have him out there in the first place
      The ball hung up in the air for a long time, so any experience outfielder most likely would have caught it. You get back to the wall and time your jump. Lux is a fine athlete, but he’s not an experienced outfielder
      He’s turned into a nice second baseman let him play there

    2. tedraymond, what a great post. I agree with you so often and that includes everything here. I’m particularly fond of your comment on player versatility. Because guys can play other positions doesn’t mean they need to. Put Lux at 2nd and leave him alone. CT3 in his utility role and cutting down on strike outs. No urgency for Muncy to move players around and weaken our defense, like Lux to left, to find him a position and AB’s.
      Keep em coming.

  8. Nice work B&P. I look forward to your future posts.

    So JT is batting .386 over the past 2 weeks, proving you can recover from old age easier than you can from injury (Max) or stubbornness (Beli) .

  9. Good writing B&P, good luck now as a writer.
    I agree that currently the best pitcher is Gonsolin, the only record says so, just as currently the best team is the Yankees, we don’t know how it will be at the end of the season, but at least today they are the best.
    And don’t worry about Kimbrel, Roberts already said that he will continue to be the closer.
    And I am somewhat surprised to see that it is no longer just me who believes that Bellinger is not a superstar, in fact he never was, and I agree that it is a waste of talent and a lot of stubbornness

  10. Jansen Kimbrel
    ERA 3.58 ERA 4.78
    WHIP 0.95 WHIP 1.52
    K/BB 5.0 K/BB 4.0
    SAVES 20 SAVES 14
    Converted SAVES % 83.3% Converted SAVES % 82.4%
    IP 32.2 IP 26.1
    W/L 4-0 W/L 1-4

  11. B&P –

    Great first byline article! IMO, you accurately identified the top three pitchers in baseball and I agree with your synopsis of their unique skill sets. I also have a couple of random thoughts of my own to add.

    First, I am amazed at Verlander’s successful return to form at his age after Tommy John surgery. Even though he plays for the Astros, my respect for him has grown for accomplishing the comeback he has had.

    Second, Gonsolin has been a real revelation to me this year. I remember his first MLB start a few years ago against the Diamondbacks. He has always been touted as having great stuff but did not seem to perform at that level – until this year! My respect for him has grown for developing that talent to such a high level this year.

    Third, I have only seen Alacantara pitch in brief stints and he sure seems to be dominant. What I respect about him is that in 2021 he signed a new contract with the MLB team that gave him his first big league opportunity. Also, I love his first name – “Sandy”; the best pitcher I have seen in my lifetime is named “Sandy” too.

    B&P congrats again on your success with in your first byline appearance!

  12. Last night was a blast, quite literally. Huntington Beach is a great place to celebrate the birth of our nation. We boast the “Biggest Parade this side of the Mississippi”. And the longest continuously running parade, before “The Vid” cancelled us for the previous two years.

    The festivities start early with a 5 K on the beach sometime before the parade, which begins at 10AM. Most everyone is friendly and having a good time. Lot’s of block parties and day drinking and the smell of BBQ all around the neighborhoods. Plenty of beach goers beating the summer heat and the ocean is a refreshing cool off with plenty of sun on your back.

    This year was no exception. We had some family in town as house guests and spent most of the weekend in the backyard under the Pergola. We had Micheladas flowing and equally refreshing Mojitos with mint grown from the backyard.

    The fireworks start early, as in all day early. But, I held out for the most part until just about dark. The Dodgers had a safe leaf, so I didn’t mind not giving the game my full attention. In between mortor reloads, I caught some of the ninth inning. Wow, that wasn’t so easy, was it? Moronta made Kimbrel look like Hader. Yency saved the day and the game in the end, but it certainly wasn’t a walk in the park like most of you think it should be.

    Reyes has been solid, but less than spectacular this year. His ERA was sub 2 for most of June and hadn’t allowed more than 1 ER in any outing so far this year. But, in the 9th, he gives up 2, got into more trouble and had to be bailed out. So, while Patch thinks the save is arbitrary, Moronta proves otherwise just a couple of days later. Saves are recorded for a reason, just like wins. They are meaningful, and you can’t just think that any effective reliever will thrive in that role like the active all-time saves leader.

    As I’ve said many times, watch the games with your eyes instead of the box score and you might feel a little differently. As far as Kimbrel goes, he still throws very hard, just not as hard as he used to. His curve is still deadly. He K’s hitters at an elite rate. He’s just a little off. Kinda like Walker before he went down, or Julio before his fastball climbed back up to 95. Or, Kershaw when his fastball sits above 90.

    There’s a fine line between great and average in this game. The subtle difference is 1 hit in every 20 AB which is the difference between batting 250 and 300. Or a half a run every nine innings is the difference between a sparkling 2.75 ERA vs a less eye-popping 3.25. I don’t buy that luck is non-existent and it’s just a matter of physics. The ball that Lux didn’t catch was about a foot from being an out on the warning track and was the deciding factor in a close game. The way the balls are made, it could have been the difference between a tighter wound ball and a looser one.
    One with a centered core, or one with a core that’s a couple of millimeters off center.

    When you have a string of bad luck, you start to have some doubts about yourself which leads to discouraging results. After all the game is 90% half mental as the great Yogi Berra puts it.

    Kimbrel will get a couple of days off and will try again to get a little more right. The grass isn’t always greener on the other side of the fence and it might not be so easy to think you can replace an experienced closer with the flavor of the month. We know how fickle relief pitchers are. A couple of bad outings is the difference between an All-Star and a chump.

    Great article B&P, hope to see more of you! 😉

  13. Kudos BP. , you have a knack for sifting through stats and coming to informed opinions.
    I don’t always agree with you but your takes are always well thought out

  14. Nice to see the good guys come back with a win last night after what could have been a devastating last inning loss to the Pads.

    Also nice to see SD, who could have used that victory as a stepping stone to a nice winning streak, get blown out by the Mariners. Losing pitcher in that one was Manaea, whom a number of us thought might be a good addition to our staff. His ERA is now over 4.00 and he has a losing record for a team that is well over .500.

  15. You can’t compare Jensen against Kimbrel, they don’t play on the same team, or the same stadium, or against the same rival, or on the same day, or at the same time, or with the same umpires, or with the same schedule. ..

    1. I can if I want to. The Dodgers are mine and I’ll play with them any way I want!

  16. If Muncy doesn’t turn things around would AF go big at the trade deadline and try to pry Devers away from Boston? 11 mil with another arb year. And would you give up Pepiot, Vargas and Busch to get him?

    1. Replace “and” with “or” and you might be on to something. When have you ever seen #3, 5 and 6 go for anyone in the same trade, much less a journeyman having a nice season like Drury. I think we gave up less for Trea and Scherzer, both are better players than Drury.

    2. Two potential problems, the first being that the Red Sox are still very much in the hunt for a playoff spot and would never give up their best hitter, possibly best player, for three prospects in the middle of a pennant race.

      From the Dodgers point of view, you’re giving up 3 of your top 10 prospects for a guy you’ll only control for 1.5 years.

      I think both teams probably say no, although on paper it’s probably a pretty fair trade.

  17. I post this every July 5th:
    Coming in 2nd usually isn’t worth much in the good ole USA. Tell me who finished 2nd in a competition and I will guess it either happened in your city or someone who lived there. Everyone knows Jackie Robinson and his story. How Jackie integrated Major League baseball through all of the verbal abuse and nonexceptance. Jackie’s story is well documented in articles, books, documentaries, and movies. His #42 is a sacred number in baseball, worn now by every player on April 15th, the date Jackie broke in. It’s retired and displayed in every ballpark.
    Most casual baseball fans might struggle with the question “Who is Larry Doby”. See Larry came in 2nd. And until recent years, Doby got almost zero recognition for being 2nd. Doby was the 2nd player to break the color barrier. And the 1st in the American League.
    On July 5, 1947, 11 weeks after Jackie integrated baseball, Doby integrated the American League. He undoubtedly experienced much of the same adversity that Jackie experience; both with class and dignity. Doby integrated all of those American League ballparks where Jackie never appeared. Doby was a 9 time all-star for Cleveland, teamed with Sacheal Page to be the 1st black players to win a World Series and was the 2nd black Manager in baseball. Interestingly, Jackie was inducted into the Hall of Fame in 1962. It took Larry Doby until 1998 to be inducted.
    Despite being forgotten, Larry harbored no jealousy or ill will toward Jackie and all of his recognition. Larry was a pall barrier at Jackie’s funeral.
    Jackie Robinson deservers all of the recognition he has recieved. But Larry Doby deservers recognition as well.

  18. BulldogsandPenguins

    I’ve always liked reading your posts and I’m glad you are now a writer for this blog.

    You compared 3 guys to Gonsolin and here are all 4 of their OPS against stats for 2022.
    McClanahan .510
    Gonsolin .514
    Verlander .527
    Alcantara .561

    McClanahan and Gonsolin are basically tied, so looking at their splits McClanahan has a .071 difference between facing RHB vs LHB. Gonsolin has a 0.23 difference between facing RHB vs LHB.

    I’ll take Gonsolin.

    I’ve had my eye on Gonsolin since he put up a .580 OPS against in 2019 and I figured he would become a good pitcher. But he has exceeded my expectations.

    Now on to my general commenting:

    If OPS is one of the best stats to look at for position players and offense then why isn’t it the same for pitchers? This isn’t directed towards anyone here, it’s directed towards the TV directors or whatever their title is, who put up on the screen pitchers stats and also the TV announcers.

    Believe it or not the Dodgers, after yesterday’s games have now become number 1 in team batting OPS in all of baseball. And are number 3 in team pitching OPS in all of baseball.

    Justin Turner is about to crack the .700 OPS mark. He’s sitting at .699

    Hanser Alberto who I never liked is sitting at a .576 OPS, the worst OPS on the team right now. He has a .245/.245/.321/.566 slash line vs LHP, so much for him being a so called lefty killer. He had 1, out of this world year against LHP and another very small sample year.

    With that bad outing yesterday Reyes Moronta’s OPS against jumped to .755, a little worse than average for the year so far. He has great career OPS stats against both sides of the plate. He was out of baseball in 2020 and 2021, I’m curious if whatever kept him out of baseball for 2 years is still bothering him.

    1. No one stat is the best at telling what a player is. OPS is good though, but the basic defect is that it treats OB% the same as SLG%. All things being equal, would you rather have a guy with a 300 OB% and a 600 SLG? or a guy with a 400 OB% and 500 SLG?

      A pitcher’s primary focus is to prevent runs. Let me give you an example. 1 out and man on second, you’re a righty pitcher and the 3 hole lefty is coming to the plate with a righty cleanup hitter behind him. More often than not, you pitch around the lefty with little regard to walking him. I throw it near the plate and let him get himself out, or walk him and setup a double-play and see if I can get the righty to ground out, pop or k. The pitcher is trying to prevent a run and it really doesn’t matter if his OPS goes up as a result.

      That is why we primarily use ERA to evaluate a pitcher. It tries to tell you how many runs he gives up per nine and not how many walks and hits because they only matter if somebody scores.

      As you know, knocking in a run has as much to do with the guy that hits you in as it does with you scoring and has a lot to do with where you hit in the lineup. That’s why you see mostly leadoff hitters leading in runs scored, so it doesn’t accurately reflect the player’s contribution to the win. The same can be said about RBI. Hitter are close to the league lead and usually have guys that can get on base and score hitting immediately in front of them.

      There isn’t one stat that completely and accurately measures a ball player’s performance. Don’t get stuck on 1 stat being the cure-all for evaluation purposes.

      1. I’ll take both of those OBP and SLG examples.

        ERA is a bad stat because the next pitcher in can affect the previous pitcher’s ERA.

      1. Oops that decimal point in this sentence in my post above is in the wrong place. “Gonsolin has a 0.23 difference between facing RHB vs LHB.” It is suppose to be .023

  19. I love JT but if he cracks .240 BA and .700 OPS then he’s out of the Black Hole Gang! Sorry JT

    1. That is an interesting prediction.

      I like it.

      I would not bet against it!

  20. Very Good Writeup, B&P. There is maybe some karma in the Lux play. Many said that if CTaylor had been in left, he would had caught the ball. The very next day, CTaylor was in left, a flyball went to the wall, is not caught and CTaylor reinjured his foot.

  21. Bulldogs I’m glad you’re getting a chance to write articles here. I hope it works out for you. I really enjoy reading your perspective.
    I’m thinking Muncy recovery is going to that more time. I’m hoping by the time we get into September he will find his stroke. The same for Bellie and JT. Batting averages are down in the .233 range from what I gather from ESPN.
    The Catman has arrived. I hope he can pace himself so he will be effective in the playoffs!

  22. How about benetendi from kc? Love Taylor but needs to be super utility. Sooner or later max needs to sit, and after kershaws performance Sunday he deserves to start all star game. Remember! It doesn’t count now!

  23. Dodgers News: LA Flamethrower Trending Towards Return from 60-Day IL
    The Dodgers got some great news on pitcher Dustin May over the weekend.
    The Dodgers are edging closer to getting some notable names back this summer. For the second year in a row, injuries have plagued the LA roster, but despite the injury bug running wild yet again, the Dodgers enter play on Tuesday with the best record in the National League. They should get even better from a pitching standpoint once Dustin May is ready to return.
    May has been out since last May after undergoing Tommy John to fix a torn UCL. The hard-throwing righty has been steadily working his way back from injury and has recently thrown off the mound and pitched to live hitters.
    This week, Dodgers manager Dave Roberts noted that May is quite close to heading out on a minor league rehab assignment. At the moment, D-May is at the Camelback Ranch facility in Arizona ramping up for his rehab.
    It’s been previously reported that he’ll need as many as four rehab assignments before rejoining the Dodgers, but whenever he comes back, he’ll provide a beleaguered pitching staff with a much-needed boost.

  24. I love it when a well touted Rookie debuts and you can immediately see the the hype wasn’t misplaced.
    Congratulations B – great start. Looking forward to you letting the handbrake off over the upcoming weeks and months.
    Be cool if Patch could be persuaded to do an occasional piece – he’s a real wordsmith.

    Good to see this place doing so well.

    Mark – if you have Peter’s Email could you either reach out or send it over and I’ll give him a nudge – I know he’s been recovering from a back op?

    Cheers

  25. Great when a much hyped Rookie comes up and immediately lives up to the hype. We done B – cracking start. Looking forward to you letting the handbrake off over the coming weeks and months.

    Be great if Patch would do an occasional article – he is a proper wordsmith.

    Mark could you forward Peter’s Email or reach out yourself please – I know he was recovering from a back op but hasn’t posted in ages – which is most unlike him.

    Cheers – and thanks for all you do.

  26. Great article, B&P, and glad you’re writing for this blog for real. Writing a blog is work and, as you mentioned, finding the images and the captions and the other things that go into making an article is not easy. Credit to Mark for doing it for so long and for you for stepping up to help him out.

    With being an author of this blog, now you get to experience what it’s like to get comments from the peanut gallery.

    Speaking of which – the contrarian take: Gonsolin is lucky

    He has been the beneficiary of an unusually low BABIP. The assumption is that anything average here that deviates too far from the norm of .300 is due for either a progression or a regression. He walks too many and doesn’t strike out enough.

    He’ll be back in AAA by September. 😉

    1. Yep, you can add Verlander to that same club. Both have very low BABIP and don’t get me started on FIP as both sit in the threes. They’ll both be pitching out their respective bullpens by year-end, obviously.

      Why can’t the Giants be good? Probably because they don’t have very good players.

      1. Rodon is BY FAR the best pitcher in the NL this year. No question. Period! End of story. The end.

        1. You are just joking here, right? But I have to tell you, I wasn’t laughing. I found that comment very disrespectful to our Tony Cat Man Gonsolin.

  27. David Vassegh
    @THEREAL_DV
    Craig Kimbrel is undergoing a CT Scan on his right scapula. #Dodgers
    The scapula, or shoulder blade, is a large triangular-shaped bone that lies in the upper back. The bone is surrounded and supported by a complex system of muscles that work together to help you move your arm.

  28. DODGERS RECALL RYAN PEPIOT

    LOS ANGELES – The Los Angeles Dodgers recalled right-handed pitcher Ryan Pepiot and optioned right-handed pitcher Reyes Moronta to Triple-A Oklahoma City.

    Pepiot, 24, joins the team for the fourth time this season and will make the start tonight. He has pitched in three games for the Dodgers, tossing 11.1 innings, allowing four runs with 11 walks and 13 strikeouts. He is 6-0 with a 1.94 ERA (12 ER/55.2 IP) and 76 strikeouts in 12 games (11 starts) for Triple-A Oklahoma City. The Indiana native has spent parts of three seasons in the minor leagues with the Dodgers, going 11-9 with a 3.44 ERA (69 ER/180.1 IP) and 234 strikeouts in 51 games (43 starts). He was originally drafted by the Dodgers in the third round (102nd overall) of the 2019 First Year Player Draft out of Butler.

    Moronta, 29, pitched last night, allowing two runs on two hits in 0.2 innings. In 13 games with the Dodgers this season, he is 0-0 with a 3.68 ERA (6 ER/14.2 IP) and 15 strikeouts. He is in his fifth Major League season, and he is a combined 8-9 with a 2.76 ERA (45 ER/147.0 IP) and 177 strikeouts against 77 walks with San Francisco (2017-2021) and Los Angeles (2022). He was signed as a minor league free agent with the Dodgers on March 12, 2022.

  29. 10:10 PM ET

    Rockies (35-45)
    Dodgers (50-29)

    SP Ryan Pepiot R
    0-0 3.18 ERA 11.1IP 13K

    Confirmed Lineup
    RF Mookie Betts R
    SS Trea Turner R
    1B F. Freeman L
    C Will Smith R
    3B Max Muncy L
    DH J. Turner R
    LF Jake Lamb L
    CF C. Bellinger L
    2B Gavin Lux L

    Clear-day
    0% Rain
    73° Wind 8 mph Out

  30. The Mariners beat the Pads again today. (6-2)
    M’s had 3 guys hitting below .200 and 5 guys below .220 in their starting lineup.

  31. CT3 diagnosed with a foot fracture. Looks like more playing time for Thompson.

  32. Picked a great couple days to get super busy with work and family and not pay attention to this blog.

    Mark almost quit.

    I’m glad you didn’t, Mark.

    This is one of the few places (actually the only) where people discuss baseball who actually know what they are talking about. We all don’t agree, frequently. But we know baseball. Facebook, Twitter… those are black holes of hyperbole and Neanderthalic rants (yes, I do believe I invented that word. Just now).

    I’m glad you’re sticking around. With Bear. And Penguin (let me know if you’d rather be called Bulldog, I ain’t typing all that shit out every time.).

  33. Max is heating up! JT has left the gang! Only one left in the BHG is the lifetime member. I really like Pepiot. His change is nasty and the fast ball plays. If he gets a little more bite on his slider then he’s got a spot in the rotation next year! He’s legit!

  34. Wondering why one of the worst relievers on the team Bickford was pitching in a close game.

  35. Kimbrel for the ninth? Pepiot, do not see the end of the game, you could lose your possible first win

  36. If Kimbrel loses tonight,I am coming to LA and personally having a hard talk with our front office.Would anybody like to join me.

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