And Then There Were 10

It took 50 games, but the Dodgers are the first team to qualify for the playoffs.  They marched into San Diego with a precarious 2.5 game lead and not playing very well at all.  Game 1 in SD was a match up of probably the team’s two Aces, Clayton Kershaw vs. Dinelson Lamet.  The Dodgers broke on top first with a walk, double and ground out to score a run.  The 1-0 lead held up for 5+ innings before Trent Grisham sent a Kershaw fastball into the Right Field stands for his 9th HR on the year.

And then the 7th.  Kershaw allowed a couple of ground ball singles (one infield) and was lifted by Dave Roberts.  I think everyone has voiced their opinion as to how they felt about the move.  I am also sure that Clayton let Doc know how he felt about it.  It sure would have been nice to see Clayton work out of the inning, but Pedro Baez???  Just off the IL???  Against perhaps the hottest team in MLB that leads MLB in late inning wins???  Some questionable pitching and even more questionable defense and the game got out of hand.  The Pads scored 5 in the 7th and win Game 1, 7-2, and move to within 1.5 games of the Dodgers.

Grisham certainly got a lot of flak for his apparent “showboating” after his HR.  Muncy has had his share of slow trots and memorable quotes after his HRs.  Puig had his share of bat flips, and sometimes they didn’t even reach the seats. So I did not have a problem with it.  Let the Kids Play!! There was some discussion that he was showing disrespect to Kershaw.  When Grisham was asked about it, he indicated that it was his biggest hit in his biggest game, and it came against CLAYTON KERSHAW.  He did not feel he was disrespecting CK.  He was genuinely ecstatic for his team.  I do not know Grisham, so until he shows his word cannot be trusted, I will take him at his word.

The Padres were feeling great.  They just beat the best team in baseball for their 8th consecutive win, and 9 out of their last 10.  They beat the Dodgers Ace.  They had Zach Davies as the Game 2 SP, who pitches very well against the Dodgers. The Dodgers were reeling having lost 5 of their last 8 and playing some very bad ball.  They lost two out of three to the Rockies for their first series loss all year, and very easily could have been swept.  They did win two of three against the DBacks, but it took extra innings against the 2nd worst team in the NL for the two wins.  They split with the Astros after blowing a 5-2 lead in the 9th against the Cheaters.  And now have lost Game 1.

Game 2 featured Zach Davies against the Dodgers Tony Gonsolin.  The last time Tony pitches was as a long reliever when Dustin May was shelved after being hit in the foot by a batted ball from the DBacks DH, Josh Rojas.  May was able to finish the 1st, but could not start the 2nd.  The game became a bullpen game with Gonsolin finishing the final 5.0 innings allowing 3 runs on 6 hits (including a 2 run Carson Kelly HR).  Would Gonsolin be able to come back after that outing?  Would the Dodgers be ab.le to figure out Zach Davies?

While the Dodgers didn’t exactly own Davies this game, Gonsolin went on to pitch perhaps the best game in his life, in maybe the biggest game of his life.  Gonsolin pitched a brilliant 7.0 innings allowing 1 run on 4 hits, with ZERO walks.  He did not have many swing and miss pitches, but he was efficient.  He threw 90 pitches and looked like he could have gone another inning.  But as Roberts so often wants to do, he summoned the bullpen.  Early on in the season, this was an automatic.  But lately…???  Caleb Ferguson entered the 8th and after striking out Jurickson Profar, he left the game with an apparent arm injury (more later).  Blake Treinen comes in and retires Greg Garcia and Trent Grisham on 4 pitches.

There was no reason for Treinen not to come back out for the 8th except Doc wanted KJ to be able to come in and shut down the Pads for his 11th save.  It wasn’t pretty.  After KJ retired Tatis, Jr. on a ground out, Machado and Mitch Moreland both singled putting the tying runners on base.  He then walks Austin Nola to load the bases with one out and a hot hitting Wil Myers coming to the plate with the winning run on 1st.  KJ strikes Myers out on 3 pitches, and finally punches out Jake Cronenworth on 6 pitches to notch his 11th save, and put the Dodgers back to 2.5 games ahead of the Padres.  It also took a little swagger away from the Pads. 

Game 3 was supposed to feature Dustin May against a SD bullpen game.  But Doc apparently changed his mind and decided to start The Bazooka, Brusdar Graterol, and bring in Dustin May later in the game.  A four pitch lead off walk to Grisham was not how the game was drawn up.  But a slumping Fernando Tatis, Jr. grounded into a double play, and Graterol struck out Machado on three pitches.

AJ Pollock got the Dodgers a 1-0 lead with a 2-out HR to CF in the 2nd inning.  Graterol allowed a one out double to Wil Myers and was replaced by LHRP Adam Kolarek.  Kolarek got Moreland to ground out with Myers moving to 3rd.  Unfortunately, Kolarek walked Jorge Ona and that brought up LH hitting catcher Jason Castro.  Bellinger was holding the runner on and Castro stroked a double to tie the game.  After a Profar walk, Kolarek got Grisham to ground out.

The Dodgers got a gift with a Jake Cronenworth error on a Gavin Lux ground ball.  After a fielders choice, a walk, and another fielders choice, the Dodgers had runners on 1st and 2nd with 2 outs and a badly slumping Max Muncy coming up.  On a 3-2 pitch, Max lined a double to left field scoring one run and putting the Dodgers in front 2-1.  This was a great AB for Muncy.  He stayed back on a pitch to the outside, with head down and went with the pitch for the line drive double.  With a runner on 3rd, Will Smith got an infield single when the pitcher fell down.  That gift hit help make up for some of his hard hit balls that went for outs earlier on the season.

In the 5th, the Dodgers scored 3 more on a Will Smith double to left center that was deep enough to score Mookie and JT from 1B, and Cody Bellinger line drive single to left field.  With a 6th inning HR by CT3, the Dodgers seemed to be breezing with a 7-1 after 6 innings and Dustin May cruising. 

In the 7th, the never quit Padres got a break of their own with a Gavin Lux error to lead off hitter Mitch Moreland.  May struck out Ona and Castro and looking to get out of the inning unscathed.  However, Jurickson Profar hit a bomb of his own to get the Pads closer at 7-3.  May allowed a one out solo HR by Machado and that was all for May.  Victor Gonzalez came in and finished off the Pads in the 8th.  After one out in the 9th, Gonzalez made his one mistake with a 2-2 HBP to Jorge Ona.  That brought in Pedro Baez.  I would think that as important as this game was that Blake Treinen would have been a safer choice after only throwing 4 pitches the game before.  After getting PH Francisco Mejia to line out to CT3, Ona moved to 2nd on defensive interference.  That brought up Profar who got an RBI single.  The Padres were inching closer, and Trent Grisham was now representing the tying run to the plate.  On the first pitch, Grisham popped out in foul territory to 3B Max Muncy.  DODGERS WIN!!!

Dave Roberts is very well known as a players manager.  In what many considered to be critical games, Roberts allowed two pitchers that have not had the best track record for the past week to close out games against the Pads.  It took Jansen 28 pitches, but he left the winning run on base on Tuesday’s game. Baez, who is still not throwing with the velo that he had prior to his IL stint with a groin pull, was able to finish off the Pads in another unclean outing.

  • Very ironic that on a day that Bear wrote about a lost art of stealing bases, Mookie stole 3 bases for the second time in his career. 
  • AJ Pollock’s HR was the 100th of his career (11th in 2020).
  • Shortstops Fernando Tatis, Jr. is mired in a 2-27 slump, while Corey Seager is 0-11.
  • Will Smith is proving to be a very prolific offensive catcher. For the month of September, in 41 PA, Smith is batting .444/.512/.722/1.234.  He has 4 doubles, 2 HRs, and 7 RBIs with 5 walks and 5 Ks for the month.
  • Max Muncy and Cody Bellinger both hit line drive hits into LF today.  Belli has RBIs in back to back games after drawing the collar for the month of September before Tuesday’s game.
  • Victor Gonzalez is showing that his ascent up the organizational chart last season is no fluke. He has been outstanding this year.  In 11 games, Victor has accumulated a 3-0 record in 11 games and 17.0 IP.  He has a 1.59 ERA and a sparkling 0.59 WHIP.  He has 18 Ks against 2 walks. 
  • Victor is going to be needed, as one of my personal favorites, Caleb Ferguson, is probably done for the season.  He has a reported “significant tear” in the UCL of his left elbow.  No decision as to whether he plans for TJ surgery has been made.  If he does decide, it will be his second TJ surgery.  Since there is no decision, I do not want to speculate on what that decision will be.  We can let this all play out.
  • Josh Sborz has been recalled to replace Caleb.
  • LADT favorite Zach McKinstry made his ML debut today and was struck out by Emilio Pagan.  Playing in a pennant race against the 2nd best team in the NL, is not the same as ST.  Lux has been looking overmatched all year, and Zach did as well on his lone AB.  Hitting ML pitching is not easy.  I am not sure that either will be making the post season roster.  I think I would recall Matt Beaty to be a LH bat off the bench.  CT3 can play 2B, making Lux and McKinstry unnecessary luxuries. Beaty is much more proven LH bat.
  • On August 8, Jurickson Profar was batting an abysmal .098/.245/.171/.416.  Since then, Profar has hit .333/.388/.541/.929 in 124 PA.  He has hit the Dodgers very well.
  • The NL West still runs through LA.  The Dodgers are now 3.5 games up on the Padres with 10 games to play.  By winning the season series against the Padres, the Dodgers get the first tie break scenario.  If the Dodgers go 6-4 in their final 10 games, the Padres need to sweep their final 9 to tie the Dodgers with 41 victories and will be the #1 NL seed.
  • The Dodgers traveled to SD and appeared to be very vulnerable after the first game loss. But as all great teams do, they pull it together and win the next two and win another series. If they do meet in the NLDS, it should be a very fun series. I do not like fun series. I want blowout wins.

The Dodgers jump on their charter and are heading to Denver.  Weather projections for the four game series are:

  • Thursday – Sunny – 88/56 – 0% precipitation – winds NNE 7 MPH
  • Friday – Sunny – 87/62 – 0% precipitation – winds E 7 MPH
  • Saturday – Partly Cloudy – 10% precipitation – winds – SW 8 MPH
  • Sunday – Partly Cloudy – 20% precipitation – Winds W 8 MPH

Let’s hope the Dodger bats get hot in Colorado.  And let’s hope that the team plays better against the Rockies than they did in LA.  Julio Urias is scheduled to start Game 1, Clayton Kershaw Game 3, and Tony Gonsolin Game 4.  Game 2 is TBD.  Will Mitch White get a start, or will the Dodgers have yet another bullpen game?  If a bullpen game neither Gonsolin nor May will be available to pitch.  Will they let Victor Gonzalez or Brusdar Graterol pitch a little deeper?  I would prefer to see White get the start, but that is because IMO the team is doing too many bullpen games lately.  Walker Buehler is not projected to start until the Dodgers get back into LA. 

Here is to LAD winning each of the final three series. 

This article has 111 Comments

  1. Thanks for the great summary, Jeff!
    Good to remind us also of the things that are going right. Do you think the Padres’ blogs have as many critical posts as we do? I suspect not. Expectations have everything to do with it. They are probably ecstatic with how well their team is doing, and overlook the flaws, because they are outperforming expectations. We came into the season as the favorites to win it all, but have been burned so often in the playoffs that we turn negative every time something goes wrong. That having been said, there are a lot of insightful comments on this blog, many of which are justifiably critical. I’ve learned a lot by reading regularly. Finally, I think we should dedicate this season to “Winning Ugly!” If we do win it all, it’s not necessarily going to be pretty along the way. We don’t need to be perfect, just better than the other teams at those moments when it counts.

  2. Great write up Jeff. Very good stuff. I see a lot of trolls on the Dodger stream on Twitter. Used to be a lot of Giant fans, but lately it has been Padre fans. And they consider Dodger fans crybaby’s. At least that is the way it sounds. We bitch too much when we lose, and Roberts gets a lot of flak on there. One had the audacity to say, hey, you can talk when you finally win a World Series. I replied by telling him the Dodgers have 6 on their resume, how many do the Padres have? Fans can get chippy.. And there are times when I get as chippy as the next guy. As for Grisham’s homer off of CK, well, he Cadillaced a little too much, and since Roberts was a bit perturbed about it, I would think most of the Dodgers felt it was disrespecting their ace. And it was not the first time it has happened this year. If I remember right, Tatis did it to some other pitcher a couple of weeks ago, and there was some push back then. Oh well, we are in the playoffs for the 8th straight season. And we get to play the first 3 games in Dodger Stadium.

  3. I too have no issue with what Grisham did. Plenty of Dodgers, including Mad Max have done it… Get over it already! Like Jeff said, “Let them have fun!”

    I think that some of you are bothered by decisions Doc makes with players, which are sometimes for reasons you are not privy too. For instance, in letting Baez pitch in high leverage situations is as much about building up a player’s confidence than anything… and confidence is one of the most important things (if not THE most important thing). Not everything works, and when it doesn’t, it’s easy to blame the person who made the move or moves.

    We have become a country of “Blame Culture” and that certainly carries over into sports. I give Doc a lot of credit for Dodger’s success and of course, he gets some of the blame when it fails. There is one goal this year and I fully support Doc in its pursuit. If the team fails, then it will be hard for me to understand how he can continue on – you can’t fire the players. So right now, I enjoy the ride and I will save the blame for later.

    It is a real shame about Caleb Ferguson. I know that there are treatments available, such as PRP injections and the like – I am not sure what the time-frame is on recovery, but I doubt it’s a couple of weeks. It seems like inevitably, he will undergo the knife again, but I hope not! We love you Caleb!

    Will Smith is now officially the best-hitting catcher in baseball. I like him in the 5th spot. What a revelation and testament to Dodger player development! Baseball America projected him as a backup and said he might hit 8-12 HR, but his hitting was questionable. He was drafted for his defense. What a turnaround!

      1. Second TJ surgery for Ferguson in six years. Hopefully he can be ready to pitch in spring training 2022

        1. I read an article from U of Wisconsin that suggested throwing submarine, or underhanded like fast pitch pitchers, will save that ligament. Maybe Ferguson can come back and throw like Kolarek.

          1. 2015 Henry Ford Hospital study on MLB pitchers with second TJ surgery: “Although a second surgery may not be career ending, it appears to be career-limiting by virtue of a decreased workload and pitching productivity,” says Vasilios (Bill) Moutzouros, M.D., a Henry Ford orthopedic surgeon and the study’s senior author.

            “And for those who return to the major league level, they experience a mixed bag of performance levels. In several categories their performance declines significantly.”

            • 65 percent returned to pitching at MLB level.

            • On average they lasted three years or less at the MLB level.

          2. Those aren’t exactly promising numbers are they. Terrible news for Ferguson. Next man up for the Dodgers.

  4. Terrific summary of an important series with the Padres who have moved the needle up a few notches on the rivalry thermometer. I have no problem with players watching their home runs leave the park, but I cannot recall seeing a hitter turn his back on the pitcher while continuing to stand in the batter’s box, yelling into his own dugout, then taking almost 10 seconds to reach first base — I have never seen Muncy do that, not even Puig with his exaggerated bat flips. I do have a problem with that demonstration as did several of the Dodgers players and coaches.

    The Dodgers infield defense is significantly better with Cody Bellinger at first base; he deftly picked several throws that would have been questionable for Muncy to field. Put Chris Taylor in CF, Bellinger at first, Muncy/Hernandez at second (Turner and Seager handle the left side of the infield).

    Dodgers hitters not seeing Clevinger in this series will benefit the Padres when/if they play Dodgers in post season.

    Friday starter for Dodgers. If Ferguson goes on 45 IL would the Dodgers add Josiah Gray to the roster and give him his first ML start? More likely Bazooka pitches first inning followed by Alex Wood, et al.
    A nit – didn’t Ona move to 2nd on defensive indifference rather than interference?

  5. Nice write up and I love the blow out games too! SD Game two, was a sphincter tightener with Kenley flailing around. Did you notice his angst with Pollock in center when that bloop dropped? I was so happy for us all when he escaped!

    Did anyone else notice that it looks like Cody has eased back a hair in the box? Maybe 2-3 inches back?

    1. Yes, Jansen was noticeably ticked with Pollock’s misread of the fly ball that should have been an easy out. And yes, Cody is several inches further away from the plate. He is doing a much better job of staying closed — remains a work in progress, but headed in the right direction.

    2. I’ve already posted some numbers on Cody that strongly suggests this just isn’t his year. For whatever reason he sucks. His numbers across the board are down. That doesn’t mean he can’t put a good month together. We are good enough to compete with him OPS’ng .690.

      “Blame Culture”. Interesting take Mark. I look at it differently. I think we have a Lack of Accountability culture. We have a tendency to blame others. If we can’t stand up and admit we made a mistake, we will likely make that mistake again. Roberts is the leader of this team. Of course he makes mistakes. We all do. We as fans are quick to point them out when we believe we see them. But the team wins 61% of the time with him in charge. If only that 61% win rate would carry over into our society, we could at least then make a claim that we are an Accountability Culture.

    3. Yup OCD, As I mentioned, another 5 inches off the plate and less bucket foot and we may have something.

  6. I heard on MLB.Radio today that the Braves lost $200 Million Dollars in the second quarter. The Braves are the only publically traded company, so they have to report their financials. I would imagine that most other teams are also hurting. I think that this is very bad news for Free Agents and Minor Leaguers as well as lots of other MLB employees. It also gives the MLBPA a lot less leverage. This could be brutal.

    1. The Atlanta Braves have a team value of $1.8 billion. $200 million is about an 11% loss – in a Covid year. Do you have any idea how many businesses out there are doing a lot worse than that? They will be fine. Here’s something they can do – they could easily borrow the $200 million then file bankruptcy on it sometime in the future. I understand that happens all the time.

  7. Don’t look now, but Seager is in a mild slump. 5-30 over his last 7 games. No matter what, Fergie is not going to help this team any more this year no matter which treatment he decides on. Wish the guy the best. Grisham’s action was not the first time this season that a Padre hitter has done that to a pitcher. And I believe that it was Tatis. Being young and exuberant is one thing. Breaking baseball’s unwritten rules is another. And that one is do not show up the other teams pitcher. When Max and the Bum were going at it, Bum started it by yelling at Max to run. And Max did not stand at the plate and take 10 seconds to get to first base. I have seen some pretty good fights come out of that kind of stuff. As a player and a person I respect Dave Roberts a lot. He took what ability he had and made a career out of it, and he had a pretty good one. His claim to fame is a stolen base that helped propel his team to a improbable win. I think he is a great communicator. He lets his players know where they stand and what he expects. And it that sense, he is very much a players manager, just like Dusty Baker. But as an in game strategist, he leaves a lot to be desired. I do not know if AF and he talk about the lineups, or who should play when. And to tell the truth, it only matters to the players on the field. But, his constant shuffling, has to be just a wee bit nerve wracking on the players. Yep, he is going to get the blame when they lose, and especially if his decision has a direct effect on a close game. This series could very easily had been a sweep by the Padres. And very easily a sweep by the Dodgers. His decisions affect all aspects of the game. And pulling a pitcher too soon, or too late can have some bad consequences. I personally do not care if he was stroking Kenley’s ego or not, but not having some one up and warming behind a guy who had been struggling over his last few outings, to me is just not smart managing. It cost him in the Astro series, and it almost cost him in game 2. It almost seems to me like he is afraid to take that guy out of a game until, like he did in the Astro game, it is too late and the damage is done. But for the foreseeable future, we are stuck with him. But I agree with Mark. If they get to the series and lose again, it is going to be very hard for AF to have an argument for keeping him at the helm. Since I live in Colorado and am privy to this stuff, it should be noted that over the last 5 games, all in Denver, that their starters have been pitching very well, and only giving up around 2 runs a game. but, they are 2-3 in those games. Bad bullpen. Dodgers need to put it on the starters early.

  8. Great summary Jeff! It’s nice to win 2 out of 3 against, ostensibly, your main rival in their home park. I hope this gives the team a much need confidence boost and deflates the Padres for the balance of the season.

    Victor Gonzalez has looked very impressive and will be a nice fill-in for Caleb F. With McGee, Gonzalez and Kolerek (and Wood) we have some solid lefties in the pen that can be used in high leverage situations. I would be inclined to limit Alex Wood to low leverage situations.

    1. I have been an Alex Wood fan forever, but I agree with you. I would not look forward to him pitching in higher leverage situations.

  9. Again, thank you, AC, for your breakdown of the series between the Padres and the Dodgers. My thoughts this morning are with Caleb Ferguson who must decide what his best approach should be going forward and with Joc Pederson in a family emergency which does not sound good.

    I agree with some that Cody needs to play first, to shore up and sometimes save, a lot of errant throws from being errors and allowing base runners. I also think that CT3’s speed makes him the best replacement for Cody in CF.

    I think that Grisham showed disrespect for Clayton on that homerun and, to me, seemed like a hotdogging scene rather than kid’s play. Just my opinion for what it is worth.

    That said, congrats to the Dodgers for a hard-fought series win. Now to Colorado.

      1. Good. Let him DH. He is not doing very well with the leather. if Dave likes him so much, just let him hit. Drop him to 8th in the order. Put the best defensive team on the field. And they are better on the infield with Belli at first. Pollock is a lot better in CF than he was last year, and made some nice plays yesterday.

        1. I agree with someone yesterday who said CT3 should be in CF, and Pollock in LF. I also agree that at this time, especially with the poor throws from Lux and Seager, that Belly is needed at 1b to prevent errors and potential big innings.

          At this point, CT3 needs to be in there every day, somewhere.

        2. I agree with you Bear. Defense can make a huge difference in the playoffs. You usually have lights out starters and a team can’t afford to play sloppy defense. Maybe, a lineup such as:

          Betts RF
          Seager SS
          Turner 3B
          Smith C
          Pollack CF
          Bellinger 1B
          Taylor 2B
          Muncy DH
          Kiki / Beatty LF

      2. According to Fangraphs advanced fielding stats, Muncy’s best defensive position (by far) is second base. He did well at first base last season, but that is the only season he was above average defensively. And, in his career he is a below average third baseman.

        1. I could read Fangraphs Advanced Fielding Stats until the cows come home about Muncy’s adroitness at 2nd but my eyes tell me otherwise. He’s fine with balls hit right at him but he has no range, no turn and no footwork on challenging chances.

          I think tedraymond’s line up above is perfect! Put CT3 at 2nd and leave him there. No Lux, no Mookie at 2nd, no Joc. Have pinch hit bats available for the post season roster.

          If memory serves, the big reason Bellinger was moved from 1st originally was to avoid him diving in the infield and hurting his shoulder therefore giving a reason for Joc to play first. I’m glad that Belli’s shoulder is healed enough to put the best first base glove man in the game, back at first.

          1. Did not intend to imply that he was a great defensive second baseman, only that he is much better there than either third base, or first base. DH seems to be his best defensive position 🙂

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  11. I think that this will be the roster of position players:

    1. Smith
    2. Barnes
    3. Bellinger
    4. Muncy
    5. Seager
    6. Turner
    7. Rios
    8. Pollock
    9. Beaty
    10. Taylor
    11. Hernandez
    12. Betts
    13. Pederson, Lux, McKinstry – Pick one

    15 Pitchers:
    1. Kershaw
    2. Buehler
    3. Urias
    4. May
    5. Gonsolin
    6. Kelly
    7. Baez
    8. Gonzalez
    9. Floro
    10. Trienen
    11. Jansen
    12. Graterol
    13. Kolarek
    14. McGee
    15. Wood

    Alexander is left off.

    1. It pains me to do this but I agree with your list 100% Mark.
      I do think that if Wood has a couple of poor outings between now and the end of the season, he could potentially be replaced by Alexander.
      Also agree with Mushers that Lux has played himself off the post season roster, ZacMac won’t have enough time to play himself on, so that leaves Joc by default.
      We are skating on somewhat thin ice here on any series after the first one. We are now down to five starters plus Wood, who has been ineffective since he returned. We have no clue how Buehler’s blister will react to multiple starts. The only other starters we could turn to would be White or Gray. I’d like to see both of them get a few innings this coming week, just in case.

    2. MT, I looked at the current roster again and I agree with with your roster here 100% too. While Alexander has a better ERA (means little), appearances, WHIP, and innings, the stat that bothers me about him is his K’s to BB. 9K’s and 9 walks in 12 innings doesn’t cut it for me. Walks are the bane of relief pitchers. Wood wins by default.
      The last position roster spot for me is like you; Lux, McKinstry or Joc.
      McKinstry has one ML at bat and shouldn’t get many more. There’s no way you thrust him into a playoff situation at his stage of development. So, he will be a good player in the years to come after Kike walks.
      For me, I don’t need to see Lux play and more until spring training. He and Joc are no help vs left hand pitching obviously, each with 7 AB’s all season. So Joc wins by default as a pinch hitter versus a righty. He might accidentally run into one where Lux won’t. No platooning at a position either, please.
      So I think your playoff roster is spot on.

    3. Since Mark predicted what our bullpen will look like in the playoffs and I pretty much agree. Here is the thing with the bullpen. I’m not saying the bullpen sucks and I’m not saying the bullpen is spectacular. But looking at career stats this is what I see for the playoffs:

      Kelly I would avoid at all costs.

      Baez good overall stats and dominate against left handed batters. I read his velocity is down since he’s been back from the IL, I’m assuming he will get his velocity back.

      Gonzalez been pitching fantastic, but inexperienced.

      Floro lopsided splits. I hate the 3 batter minimum rule.

      Treinen lopsided splits but dominate against right handed batters. I hate the 3 batter minimum rule.

      Jansen we all know what’s up here, past his prime, no longer dominate.

      Graterol inexperienced, lopsided splits but dominate against right handed batters. I hate the 3 batter minimum rule.

      Kolarek lopsided splits but dominate against left handed batters. I hate the 3 batter minimum rule.

      McGee good overall stats if you take out his time in Colorado in that thin air.

      Wood lopsided splits. I hate the 3 batter minimum rule.

      Again I’m not saying the bullpen sucks or is spectacular. I’m just saying what I see in their career stats. And if you didn’t notice, I hate the 3 batter minimum rule because I believe our bullpen would be better (assuming Doc manages right) if that rule was not in effect.

  12. Unless th8ngs change very soon, Lux has played himself off the team (both offensive and defense). McKinstry will not get enough at bats (to bad). Pederson will be the 13th.

  13. The ninth inning of the second game in that series may have been the most important of the season. Roberts put Jansen in to hold a two-run lead, after two awful efforts before, and then the one clean inning with a seven-run lead. And misplay or not, the bases were loaded with one out, four batters later. One well-placed hit between the outfielders, and three runs score, and we are a half game up, and Jansen would not be closing any more games. But Kenley reached back and got the two strikeouts, and now we are three and a half games up, and should have the best record in the league at playoff time, though it does mean less than in most years. If Jansen goes on to pitch well in the postseason, that one effort will have been crucial.

    Great to win that series from behind, though there are obviously still concerns. Buehler’s ability to pitch even close to last year’s form, is definitely in question. It was heartening to see May back in there, and he did pitch pretty well, but gave up two home runs and three runs in four-plus innings. Baez is not particularly reliable, but Roberts will use him a lot, he always does. Unless we explode with many runs, we are going to be seeing a lot of very tense 7th to 9th innings, trying to hold on to small leads. But for right now, we can bask in the big wins in the last two games.

    One general question for anybody: Do you think that Smith is really as good as he looks right now? I know that Mark has now compared him to Buster Posey, wouldn’t that be great? Is he another Posey or Bench or Fisk? Of course we don’t know. I was expecting him to go back down to around the .260s, which would still make him very valuable, but is it possible that he somehow has quickly developed into a legitimate hitting star? If so, then we have reached another level in terms of the strength of our lineup, even with the disappointing years which Bellinger and Muncy have had.

    1. I remember when Smith came up and was predicted on this site to be a .240 hitter. I’m not gloating but I strongly disagreed. I predicted much better then that based on his swing, bat to ball skills and the ability to shorten it up and get the ball in play. That has proved to be the case. I’m happy for him. I have no idea how good he will be. Who knows. Who cares. Just let the kid play and see where he goes. He’s gone from a suspected back up to a questionable starter to a star in 50 games. Enjoy the ride.

      1. I detect a little gloating. But rightfully so.
        It turns out this shortened season is pretty meaningful. It’d of been a long cold winter without baseball. I’m not real comfortable how they designed the playoffs. I’ve never been a fan of the wildcard and making it even more of a crapshoot makes me more against wildcards the chance to get hot with the nothing to lose thing. I should redo that last sentence but…..

  14. After a doctor’s appointment I came home yesterday to watch the game and a Spring Training game broke out. 14 pitchers used in one game. It is a new day.
    Congrats to the Dodgers on clinching and winning that important series with the Padres
    Great recap and analysis Jeff D. You covered all the bases.
    Some thoughts on yesterday:
    * Adrian Marejon throws 2 different change ups. One is very unusual. He throws a true knuckle ball, with the usual 3 fingertips on the ball but throws it hard. The grip scrapes the speed. He doesn’t try to make it flutter and dance like a regular, soft toss, K-Ball. He doesn’t push the pitch or short stride like a normal K-Ball either. I’ve seen knuckle curves, spike knuckle curves, splitters that come out dead but I’m not sure I’ve ever seen a true knuckle ball grip, thrown with fastball arm speed, used for a change up. Pretty unique.
    * I missed Nola and his ultra cool target chest protector, yesterday. Castro’s not very good and lacks the equipment as well.
    * I’m sick about Fergie. You just never know.
    * Dear Santa – for Christmas this year please bring me the Automated Balls and Strikes System to MLB next spring.

    1. I saw that knuckle pitch only on a replay and it looked to be slowly spinning down. My first thought with that was the spin would be easy to see. It is an unusual pitch, but I think I could hit it.

      Am all in on ABS. If Santa can deliver then I’ll be back in good graces with him. Frankly the fat bastard has not been that kind to me over the years. Maybe because I call him a fat bastard in public. Whatever. It’s past time to have a consistent strike zone.

      Is Smith as good as he looks? Yes. For now. Is he Buster Posey? I wouldn’t count on it but if so, wow, lucky him and lucky us.

      In the Athletic there is an article on the Opener strategy we employed and Roberts made it sound like the algorithms say it could work for us. But I ask you, can we trust math? I know I usta could but it feels like we are in a parallel universe and I don’t know how arithmetic works here. I defer to the those in the parallel geek zone.

      Last 10. I’m thinking 9-1 works. It worked for the Nats last year. Let’s follow that lead.

    1. Excellent point DBM. Congrats to AJ on that milestone and also for having a very nice comeback year.

  15. The Dodgers signed another college pitcher for their development staff. Yes another 6’5” 220 pound RHP out of UC Riverside…Cole Percival. If that name sounds familiar, it might be because he is the son of former AS closer Troy Percival. Cole was a 31st round draft pick of the DBacks in the 2017 draft but decided to honor his commitment to play for UC Riverside and his father…UCR Head Coach.

    Cole does not project to be his father’s clone, but with the LAD development team, who knows. Here are a couple of scouting reports for Cole:

    Perfect Game Scouting Report
    Cole Percival, RHP, UC Riverside (R-So.)

    Coming off a lost year to injury, Percival looks healthy and figures to anchor the UCR rotation as the Friday starter. Listed at 6-foot-5, 220-pounds, Percival has added a bit of mass since high school and still has some room to add weight. The son of former long-time Angels closer, and UCR head coach, Troy Percival, Cole has some similarities in the delivery and profile. With a big leg kick, Percival generates pretty easy velocity, working at 91-94 and touching 95 mph in two looks this fall. He’s shown feel for both secondaries, a 78-80 mph slider that gets swings and misses and an 80-83 mph change with sink and fade. Percival is one of the top college arms in So Cal for the 2020 draft.

    Ranking 25 College Baseball Players To Watch In 2020 Summer Ball (Baseball America)

    23. Cole Percival, RHP, UC Riverside
    Sharks (San Diego League)

    Percival has a powerful arm like his father Troy Percival, the former all-star closer and current UC Riverside coach. Cole was off to a solid start in 2020 at 1-0, 3.38 and will look to build on that this summer. He’s one of a handful of players in the San Diego League that’s the son of a former big leaguer, including Quinn and Wyatt Hoffman, the sons of Hall of Famer Trevor Hoffman.

    Baseball America 2020 draft
    Ranked #373 prospect in 2020 draft

    A top draft prospect in high school, Percival fell to the D-backs in the 31st round because of his strong commitment to UC Riverside to play for his dad, Highlanders coach and former all-star closer Troy Percival. The younger Percival missed all of 2019 after a freak injury where he suffered a stress fracture in his elbow falling down a flight of stairs, but he returned at full strength this spring before the season shut down. Percival throws his fastball 92-94 mph with angle and sink from his long-limbed, 6-foot-5 frame. It’s a plus fastball when he stays on top of it, but he occasionally gets around the ball and it loses its effectiveness. Percival complements his fastball with a 78-82 mph slider that shows average potential and a usable, if inconsistent, 79-81 mph changeup. Percival pitches from the stretch full time and has below-average control because he struggles to repeat his delivery. As such, most evaluators project him to the bullpen. Percival has added velocity every year and stands to gain more with a move to the bullpen. While not considered a potentially elite closer like his dad, Percival’s body and stuff project well as a big league reliever.

    Welcome to The Los Angeles Dodgers, Cole Percival.

    1. Riverside boy! He’s not his father’s clone, but he’s projected to be a late bloomer. Will be rooting for him, if for nothing other than the hometown connection.

  16. Does any player have more walks than K’s than Will Smith(min 100 PA)? Just wondering because I can’t find anyone in either League.

    1. Only 72 other players have more walks than Will Smith. He is tied for #73 with 18. 😉

      Carlos Santana has 41.

      1. He means (I think) does anyone else have more walks than strikeouts, like Will Smith does.

        I looked and found several players with more walks than strikeouts, but I didn’t check how many at bats.

        1. Thank you Eric:
          That’s EXACTLY what I meant. Sorry if I wasn’t clear enough. I also mentioned at least 100 PA.
          Where did you find the info?

          1. I found it at espn.com MLB Player batting stats 2020 and then I clicked on walks to organize players by total walks. It’s hard to explain exactly how I got there but good luck.

    1. That’s unfortunate for him. His career was starting to get untracked and he looked like he would have a nice career being a reliever, with some starting potential. It’s not easy coming back a second time from TJ but, I sincerely hope he does!

      1. So, hopefully, we will see him in the Spring of 2022. Don’t rush it. He was really looking good too!

  17. Today’s game in Colorado:

    Mookie
    Seager
    JT (DH)
    Muncy (1b)
    Smith
    Belly
    CT3 (2b)
    Kike (LF)
    Rios (3b)
    Urias

  18. I feel so bad for Caleb Ferguson. As a huge fan of Caleb’s, my opinion was that last year he was great, but I felt, a wee bit overused and he ran out of gas at the end of the season. This year I had very high hopes for him as he developed another pitch and was one of the best relievers in the Bullpen and now this misfortune. Prayers for him for a successful surgery. We will miss you Caleb.

    1. Because Muncy has reverse splits. He actually hits lefties better and has a .373 OB% against them.

      1. .390 OPS in the last 7 days. 11 Ks in 21 at bats. Give me a -5 DeMarini CF Zen Paraflex Plus Triple Wall Titanium Composite bat and I could do that.

    1. I’d rather have Pollock in there instead of Hernandez. Pollock had a hamstring cramp yesterday and Doc took him out of the game. Might be that.

    2. I’m letting all of you question Doc’s moves. I have said all I’m going to say about Doc’s line ups and his management of the pitchers. I’m just NOT going to complain or stew about it anymore. I’ve said all I have to say about it.
      I don’t get it and I never will. I have hoped in vane that things would change and I convinced this is how it will be as long as he’s the skipper. I’m going with Mark’s contention that the braintrust has more information and insight than I do. It’s a waste of time second guessing it. I’m done. I will be in front of my TV hoping it all works out.

  19. I’d like to see Urias go 6 plus today. Pollock will a post season regular probably rest day. A keep Kike fresh game. Hopefully Big Mac will find some playing time the next 10 games.

  20. Okay folks, blisters! Why isn’t WB using what was learned about blisters from Rich Hill??

    I thought Hill developed a methodology that was successful for blisters? How come we have to relearn what has already been learned?

    1. It should be on SNLA. I assume you can get normal Dodger broadcasts. They’re doing pre-game right now.

    2. I have to watch it on altitude sports and listen to the dreadful Drew Goodman and his sidekicks

  21. With his three hits today Alex Verdugo is up to .326/.381/.511 .
    We were very lucky to trade for Mookie and then be able to extend him, but the Sox didn’t exactly give him away for nothing. Yes, we do that trade every day and twice on Sunday, but they got themselves a very good ballplayer.

  22. Doc has announced that tomorrow is going to be another bullpen game. Most games in Colorado turn out to be bullpen games and we’re about to play four games there, not even using a regular starter for one of them.
    It seems to me that our bullpen could be pretty much wiped out during this series. How about bringing up guys like White and Gray and seeing how many innings they could give us? It might help save the bullpen a little bit. I’d rather see how many innings I could get out of White/Gray than to use Sborz for an inning here or there.

  23. Painful watching Urias with absolutely no rhythm at the start of games — it is a concerning pattern

      1. That’s a good idea. In fact, wait until the third, then he can do his first inning scuds against the bottom of the order.

      2. If he scuffles so much in the first inning how can he be better in the bullpen? How can a guy with his stuff have so few strikeouts? Maybe him an may both need somebody to start ahead of them for a couple of innings. Then, they can get into the seventh and close with treinen and Jansen. Both of them are 5 inning pitchers.

        1. haha I wonder: is it THE first inning of the game, or HIS first inning of the game? Then we’ll know if he needs an opener or not

        2. Lots of really good pitchers have had first-inning issues: Strasburg, Wainwright, Paxton, Kershaw (5.62 first inning ERA his 3rd year)… and a whole lot more. Yes, it is probably mental… and no, I do not want to throw the baby out with the bathwater. In half of his starts, he has pitched at least 6 innings! This guy is really good!

  24. Urias did a really nice job of recovering! Why didn’t Doc let him finish the 6th? He had plenty left in the tank. I will be miffed if Floro does not retire Arenado… Got him! Boy, Arenado is having a year similar to Muncy and Bellinger.

  25. M V P

    As I said a month ago: this is the best player I’ve ever seen in a Dodger uniform (I became a fan in 1983)

    1. I think he will get better too.

      He’s in the conversation, but to win it, he is going to have to go off the next 10 days… and he is capable!

      1. Me too.

        Smith has only played 84 games in bigs and he’s a .273 hitter. I think I’ll give him a few more games. So far so good. .950 OPS which is the stat that matters. For the record, Posey only OPS’d .950 once, but is a career .300 hitter, which usta mean something.

        1. I’m riding shotgun on Eric’s Smith Bandwagon.

          I wonder if Boston would have taken Lux and Ruiz instead of Verdugo?

          That is something I may never get over…

  26. In response to Bluto’s question, my answer is that I would rather have Verdugo and Betts than Lux, Ruiz and Betts… but’s that just me!

    I like Bellinger at 1B and Betts and Verdugo would make nice corner outfielders.

    Of course, the horse is outta the barn…

  27. 1. Betts RF
    2. Verdugo LF
    3. Seager SS
    4. Turner DH
    5. Bellinger 1B
    6. Taylor CF
    7. Muncy 2B
    8. Smith C
    9. Rios 3B

    I can only dream!

  28. One out left. Sborz doing a good job in a mop up role. Game over 9-3. Lead is 4 since SD did not play tonight. SD’s series against the Mariners will be played in SD instead of Seattle due to air quality concerns. Mariners will be the home team. Boston gets beat again by Miami. Down 2-0.

  29. Well Mark you didn’t think much of Smith last year. Let’s give a Lux a chance to see what he can do next year. I’m not giving up on him just yet. This is just a weird year for a lot of good players!

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