The annual Top-30 Dodgers Prospect List is baseball’s version of opening a crate of fireworks. Some rockets soar, some spin sideways into the neighbor’s yard, and one explodes so gloriously that the entire league asks, “Where did that come from?”
Here is the completely rational, totally unbiased, mildly ridiculous, future forecast of Baseball America’s Dodgers Top 30 Prospect List.
1. Eduardo Quintero – OF
Eventually hits a ball so far in Great Lakes that it briefly appears on weather radar. Scouts begin using a new stat called “Estimated Landing County.”
2. Josue De Paula – OF
Walks so often that opposing pitchers start greeting him at first base before the at-bat even begins.
3. Mike Sirota – OF
He hits lasers to all fields while looking like he’s late for a business meeting. Quietly posts a .390 OBP while fans argue about someone else.
4. Zyhir Hope – OF
Adds another 20 pounds of muscle and turns batting practice into an air-raid drill for outfielders.
5. Jackson Ferris – LHP
Lefty with a fastball that climbs ladders and a curveball that falls through trapdoors. Opposing hitters describe facing him as “trying to swat mosquitoes during a tornado.”
6. Charles Davalan – OF
One of those players who suddenly hits .330 in Double-A and causes fans to say, “Wait… where did this guy come from?”
7. Alex Freeland – SS
Plays three infield positions, hits .275, and becomes the guy every Dodgers fan wants starting somewhere… they’re just not sure where.
8. Zach Root – LHP
A pitcher whose name sounds like a country singer but whose slider sounds like a guillotine dropping.
9. Emil Morales – SS
Smooth defender who makes difficult plays look routine and routine plays look like he’s bored and improvising.
10. Chase Harlan – 3B
Hits towering batting-practice bombs that cause minor league outfielders to stare upward like confused astronomers.
11. Kendall George – OF
Steals bases so frequently that catchers begin throwing to second before the pitch is delivered.
12. Christian Zazueta – RHP
Throws gas. Sometimes the gas is premium. Sometimes it’s gasoline spilled on the strike zone. Always exciting.
13. River Ryan – RHP
Slider so vicious that Statcast eventually labels it “emotionally damaging.”
14. Adam Serwinowski – LHP
Another Dodgers pitching lab project. Enters the lab throwing 92. Leaves throwing 96 with a sweeper that bends around buildings.
15. Joendry Vargas – SS
Young shortstop with tools everywhere. Scouts describe his ceiling using phrases like “intriguing” and “give him three more years.”
16. Kellon Lindsey – SS
Defender so smooth that ground balls look like they are politely delivered to him.
17. Ching-Hsien Ko – OF
Every year, he shows up stronger, faster, and somehow more dangerous. Opposing pitchers begin requesting a transfer to accounting.
18. Brendan Tunink – OF
Lefty bat that launches majestic opposite-field homers while broadcasters say things like “That ball had intentions.”
19. Aidan West – SS
One of those prospects who quietly becomes really good while the spotlight sits elsewhere.
20. Patrick Copen – RHP
Throws the kind of heavy fastball that makes hitters swear they heard a bowling ball rolling through the strike zone.
21. Zach Ehrhard – OF
Scrappy outfielder who becomes a fan favorite because he does everything except pay the parking attendants.
22. Kyle Hurt – RHP
Fastball: explosive.
Breaking ball: unfair.
Hitters: deeply uncomfortable.
23. Noah Miller – SS
Glove wizard. Makes highlight plays look so casual that announcers eventually run out of adjectives.
24. Marlon Nieves – RHP
Another pitcher in the Dodgers factory. Throws hard, spins nasty stuff, and appears suddenly in the big leagues like a surprise boss battle.
25. Cam Leiter – RHP
Baseball pedigree so strong that the last name alone adds two mph to the fastball.
26. James Tibbs – OF
Power hitter who can turn a hanging slider into a souvenir for someone in Row 37.
27. Landyn Vidourek – OF
Athletic chaos generator. Runs fast, hits rockets, and occasionally causes defensive alignments to panic.
28. Ronan Kopp – LHP
Tall lefty whose release point appears somewhere near the International Space Station.
29. Jose Rodriguez – RHP
Throws 98 and a slider that looks like it’s trying to escape the stadium.
30. Sterling Patick – LHP
Sleeper prospect who suddenly dominates in Tulsa and forces fans to ask the eternal Dodgers question:
“How did they find this guy?”
The Official Dodgers Prospect Prophecy
From every Dodgers Top-30 list:
• 4 become stars
• 10 become useful MLB players
• 5 become elite after being traded
• 6 vanish into baseball folklore
• and 5 random pitchers emerge from the Dodgers pitching lab, throwing 99 with a sweeper from another galaxy
That’s the magic trick the rest of baseball is still trying to figure out… and I 100% believe it all.
MLBs Top 30 Dodger Prospects
MLB.com differs from Baseball America. Here’s how they rank the Dodgers Prospects:
But, Seriously Folks!
- Natural progression: Andy Pages becomes the NL All-Star CF’er.
- Dalton Rushing is showing his power bat. This is what I expected.
- Sheehan had a rough first outing – Nothing to see here. Check out the next one.
- Tyler Glasnow? Bad start. It happens….
- Espinol? Maybe… Maybe not!
- Sasaki is fixable (probably) … at OKC.
- Things will become clearer the week after next. Stay tuned.
Sterling Patick! I believe!
Approximately 10% to 18% of all players drafted and signed by Major League Baseball (MLB) teams eventually reach the major league level.Historically, long-term data shows that roughly 17.6% of drafted and signed players between 1981 and 2010 reached “The Show”. However, more recent estimates and tighter definitions of “making it” (such as playing more than just a few games) often place the number closer to 10%.
Success Rate by Draft Round
The likelihood of reaching the majors is heavily tied to how early a player is selected:
Draft Round Success Rate (Approx.)
1st Round 66% – 76% High expectations; most are expected to debut.
2nd Round 49% – 51% Roughly a coin flip’s chance.
3rd – 5th Round 30% – 40% The odds begin a steep decline.
6th – 10th Round 16% – 20% Solid prospects, but many stall in the minors.
11th – 20th Round 8% – 11% Often considered “organizational filler” or projects.
21st Round+ 4% – 7% Rare “diamonds in the rough” (e.g., Mike Piazza).
Key Factors for Success
Signability: Only players who actually sign a professional contract are included in these success metrics. In the 2025 MLB Draft, a record 93.7% of drafted players signed with their respective teams.
Player Type: College players, particularly college pitchers and shortstops, historically reach the majors at higher rates and faster than high school players due to their advanced physical and tactical maturity.
Star Potential: While ~15% may debut, only about 3% of all drafted players go on to contribute significantly (defined as more than 5 career WAR) at the major league level.
The Five Phenoms all have different skill sets, strengths & weaknesses:
JDP has the elite hit tool, makes great swing decisions, and has enough raw power to dream on. His defense can be shoddy and he might lose another step. Seems like a sure bet to bat in a major league lineup, but there’s a wide range between starting LF for 4x Defending WS Champs and DH/Batting 7th for the Cincinnati Reds.
Hope hits the ball hard. Very hard. Despite his bulky frame he’s a good athlete. He can hit HR but he needs to watch his body. Again, is he an impact OF or a bench bat?
Quintero is the overall package but he’s young and hasn’t played at higher levels yet. The sky’s the limit but the floor is bust. Most likely is something in between.
Sirota ya gotta like. Pure CF profile with no one standout tool but no glaring weakness either. Injuries have already slowed his once. If he stays on the field, he looks pretty safe to make it to the show.
Morales is the one you dream on. Machado without the small dick syndrome.
Opening day is just around the corner! A few questions left to answer. The pitching is one. Is Gavin just a temporary delay or will he be lost for a long period of the season? Is River Ryan set to become a starter in this stout but brittle rotation? How long will Blake Snell “ rest” before he joins the rotation? Is Sasaki bound for AAA? Will Glasnow throw 150 innings? Does Wrobleski get a shot to prove he belongs? Will Yamamoto be in the final 3 for a Cy Young award? And how many innings will Ohtani log this season? All are legitimate questions that have no clear answers.
As far as the position players, will Alex Call survive the spring? Will Andy Pages take the next step to become an all star? Will Dalton Rushing become a “dangerous “ backup for Will Smith and Freddie at first? If not Call, then does one of the young outfielders get a spot on the roster? Does Kim evolve into a “lethal “ weapon off the bench? Does Max have a healthy and productive season ? Does Mookie rebound and get back to the top of his game? ( yes he does!). Will Freddie relent and rest more giving Dalton more chances to shine? Does Teo show us he is still a force at the plate? (Absolutely!) . And does Kyle Tucker prove he is worthy of his massive contract? Look for MVP numbers from him! Bottom line? The Dodgers have a few questions to answer, but they have more than enough choices to satisfy any questions that may pop up during the season! There were never any guarantees they would win the last 2 World Series. There’s no guarantee they will win the 26 World Series. But don’t bet against them!
Espinal is hitting .571. Freeland .200, Kim .471, but he went 0-3 in Korea’s win yesterday, Rojas .375. I think Freeland gets a ticket to OKC. LA pledged 3 million dollars for lifetime care for Andrew Toles. Dodgers are the classiest organization in sports.
I agree re: Freeland
3:05 PM ET
Dodgers (93-69)
Reds (83-79)
SP Cole Irvin L
0-0 .00 ERA
SP Julian Aguiar R
0-0 .00 ERA
Confirmed Lineup
LF Alex Call R
2B A. Freeland S
3B Max Muncy L
1B S. Espinal R
DH Ryan Ward L
RF Zach Ehrhard R
SS Noah Miller S
CF M. Siani L
C E. Alfonzo S
78° Wind 14 mph R-L
“The Rangers are bringing veteran outfielder Andrew McCutchen aboard on a minor league contract with an invitation to big league camp, reports Evan Grant of the Dallas Morning News. The Aegis Sports client’s deal is still pending a physical”.
Barring injury, these players are a lock:
Ohtani
Smith
Freeman
Betts
Muncy
Rojas
Teoscar
Pages
Tucker
Rushing
That leaves 3 spots for Call, Freeland, Espinal, Ward, Tibbs, Miller, Senzel, Kim, Ehrhard and others. I do not look at BA as much as I do OPS. I won’t attempt to guess right now!
To early to say for certain, but based on current play, I’d go with Kim, Call, Espinal/ Ehrhard
So proud of what the team has done for Andrew Toles for many years now.
There is ZERO chance Call isn’t on the team to start the year barring an injury.
Roberts: “Hard To Imagine” Espinal Not Making Dodgers’ Roster
“Veteran infielder Santiago Espinal is in Dodgers camp as a non-roster invitee, but it seems he’s already positioned himself as a favorite to break camp with the club. Manager Dave Roberts said this morning that it’s “hard to imagine [Espinal] not being on the team” (via Jack Harris of the California Post). Plenty can change over the final few weeks of camp, but it’s still notable that Espinal already has caught the attention of his new skipper. Roberts spoke highly of Espinal when players reported to camp, and the veteran infielder has since gone 8-for-14 with a pair of doubles and a stolen base in his first handful of Cactus League plate appearances”.
“Breaking camp with Espinal on the roster would allow the Dodgers to more easily get Freeland everyday at-bats back in Triple-A. The switch-hitting 24-year-old was L.A.’s third-round pick in 2022 and is a year removed from ranking among baseball’s top-100 prospects at Baseball America and MLB.com. He turned in a nice .263/.384/.451 batting line in Triple-A last season (115 wRC+) but hit .190/.292/.310 with 35 strikeouts in 97 MLB plate appearances”.
This probably means Kim makes the Opening Day roster at second base until Edman returns. Rojas and Espinal platoon at second and Rojas and Muncy platoon at third.
If Espinal makes the opening day roster I think he’s more likely to be Muncy’s platoon partner than Rojas. He’s played a fair amount of third base and done very well there.
When is Spring Breakout?
The Dodgers’ prospects will face the Chicago White Sox prospects at 3:30 p.m. Pacific Time on March 21 at the teams’ shared facility of Camelback Ranch.
Who Makes Up the Roster?
The full list of players and their ranking on the Top 30 prospects list is below.
PITCHERS (16)
Maddux Bruns, LHP, NR
Patrick Copen, RHP, No. 30
Cam Day, RHP, NR
Jackson Ferris, LHP, No. 7
Carson Hobbs, RHP, NR
Kyle Hurt, RHP, No. 24
Cam Leiter, RHP, No. 22
Payton Martin, RHP, No. 25
Cody Morse, LHP, NR
Marlon Nieves, RHP, No. 19
Sterling Patick, LHP, No. 23
Zachary Root, LHP, No. 13
River Ryan, RHP, No. 6
Adam Serwinowski, LHP, No. 12
Lucas Wepf, RHP, NR
Christian Zazueta, RHP, No. 10
CATCHERS (3)
Gio Cueto, C, NR
Francisco Espinoza, C, NR
Victor Rodrigues, C, NR
INFIELDERS (9)
Moises Bolivar, INF, NR
Alex Freeland, INF, No. 8
Chase Harlan, 3B, No. 17
Elijah Hainline, INF, No. 26
Kellon Lindsey, SS, No. 16
Noah Miller, SS, No. 29
Emil Morales, SS, No. 5/MLB No. 92
Joendry Vargas, SS, No. 21
Logan Wagner, INF, NR
OUTFIELDERS (12)
Charles Davalan, OF, No. 9
Josue De Paula, OF, No. 1/MLB No. 15
Zach Ehrhard, OF, No. 18
Kendall George, OF, No. 14
Zyhir Hope, OF, No. 2/MLB No. 27
Ching-Hsien Ko, OF, No. 15
Eduardo Quintero, OF, No. 3/MLB No. 30
Mike Sirota, OF, No. 4/MLB No. 60
James Tibbs III, OF/1B, No. 11
Brendan Tunink, OF, No. 28
Landyn Vidourek, OF, No. 27
Ryan Ward, OF/1B, No. 20
23. Noah Miller. Jumps into top 3 faster than a speeding bullet