And Then There Were Four

With the Yankees being TKO’ed by the Red Sox, the slate is set.  The Red Sox play the Astros while the Dodgers play the Brewers.  Many Dodger fans didn’t think the Dodgers would be one of the last four teams standing…. but here they are!  Think about this: The Dodgers are one of the TOP FOUR TEAMS IN BASEBALL! I think that the Dodgers will be one of the last two standing, but I am not smart enough to know if this series with the Brewers will got four, five, six or seven games.  I tend to lean to SIX, but in the end, I think the Dodgers depth will win out wherever and whenever the series ends.

It used to be that you could compare lineups and decide who had the best player at each position, but with the Dodgers, who do you put where?

1B – Bellinger, Muncy or Freese?

2B – Dozier or Hernandez?

3B and SS are easy

LF – Pederson, Kemp or Taylor?

CF – Bellinger, Hernandez or Taylor?

RF – Puig, Hernandez or Kemp?

Here’s the Verdict

I take the Dodgers at every position… but whatever two OF positions Cain and Yelich are playing. The Dodgers take Catcher, 1B, 2B, SS and 3B as well, but it’s closer than you think. One of the biggest issues is defense, and Moustakas, Schoop, Aguilar, and Shaw are all inferior defenders, while the Dodgers infield defense is above average… no matter who plays where.  Max Muncy has even been getting better at 1B incrementally to where I would rate him average to above average.

I Call Bull on the Pen

Of course, the Dodgers’ starting pitching is vastly better than Milwaukee’s, and while I know the Milwaukee bullpen is lauded, I really do not believe it is better than the Dodgers bullpen as it is now constructed… and the construction may change. Here’s a little known fact from Ken Gurnick:

“The Dodgers’ bullpen allowed fewer runs per game this year than the Brewers’ relief corps. Milwaukee relievers have allowed more inherited runs and a higher percentage of inherited runners to score than Los Angeles’ relievers.  The Brewers have only a slight advantage over the Dodgers in save percentage (66 percent to 64 percent). Milwaukee had 49 saves and 25 blown saves, Los Angeles 48 and 27. When leading after eight innings, the Brewers were 84-3, the Dodgers 80-4.”

That kind of blows up the narrative that everyone has been expounding about the Milwaukee bullpen. Yes, they are good, but they don’t have seven Game Over Gagne’s! I think the Dodger pen will be just as good. The Brewers and Dodgers bullpens finished ranked #1 and #2 in ERA in September, so both units enter the series as a strength of each team. There are rumors that Julio Urias, Ross Stripling and/or Josh Fields may be on the NLCS Roster.  Stripling was allegedly tipping his pitches after the All-Star Break, but has allegedly fixed that and Fields has been solid all year… when healthy.  Urias could be a secret weapon, but how much can he pitch?  I don’t think I would go that route, but I guess FAZ knows more about it than I do.

The final roster will be interesting. It’s possible Chase Utley could make the roster… at Dozier’s expense?  Man, there are some hard decisions here. Of course, the Dodgers took the best of seven series with the Brewers this year, 4-3, but this is an all new series. 

Arizona Fall League

The only three Dodger players to play were Jared Walker, Ben Holmes and  Jordan Sheffield.  Both pitchers fared well with Holmes starting the game and pitching three shutout innings and Sheffield pitching one shutout inning in relief. Walker was 1-3 and that hit was a home run! I have high hopes that Sheffield can soon be a “high-leverage reliever,” but Holmes being in the AFL was a mystery to me, however, FAZ may be onto something…. We shall see! Walker hit 25 home runs last year between Great Lakes and Rancho Cucamonga and he’s LH, so there’s that.  He can play 1B, 2B and 3B, but 1B is likely his best position.  That’s where he played yesterday.

Channel Your Inner Kirk Gibson

It’s been 30 years!  That’s enough! Time to make some more LA Dodger History!

Posted by Mark Timmons

We started LA Dodger Talk in 2001. This site is about giving another perspective outside of the average day-to-day reporting. We don't do game recaps or such things -- lots of sites do that well. I value sabermetrics, but don't think they are the "end-all-be-all.". This is where you should start your day as a Dodger Fan. Welcome! We'd like to hear your voice.

This article has 76 Comments

  1. Dozier really provides no great value to the NLCS roster. Kike has taken over his right handed bat/position. Dozier does play great defense, and could be an asset late in a game after all of our pinch hitting/double switches, but overall, a good left handed bat would be a better asset, or a good bullpen arm who could strike somebody out in the 6th.

    I personally don’t know if I’d start Ryu game 2 or Buehler. Ryu piches similar to Kersh, so maybe splitting them up with a fireball rightie is a smart thing; plus Ryu has like a 1ERA at home. I wonder if we really even need to decide until after game 1 is over anyway. Keep them guessing.

    1. Dozier does one thing extremely well. He hits fastballs off of lefties. Especially middle-in. He’s a perfect match up for Hader especially if the Dodgers have burned all of their other righties flip-flopping their platoon players. I think Dozier should be on this roster and I’ve been nothing but a Dozier critic. With all of the mixing and matching the Brewers bullpen will do I would not shorten the Dodgers bench to add another pitcher. Game 4 isn’t until Tuesday. Hill could give you an inning of work if necessary out of the pen.
      ~
      Interesting comparison of the pens. It makes me wonder how many more innings the Brewers pen has thrown than the Dodgers pen though.

      1. I think the Dodgers know that Buehler is the game 2 starter, but they aren’t announcing because of the Brewers tactics of not announcing the pitchers until the last moment possible.

  2. This series almost feels too simple: get the Milwaukee starting pitchers out of the game and wear down their bullpen. Even lockdown relievers are only effective in small doses. Pitch counts, appearances, innings pitched . . . these stats will likely tell the story of the postseason. On paper we have a large advantage in our rotation. On offense, I think we need to make sure we don’t let their top guys beat us. I believe we have more depth and length in our lineup and bench.

  3. Also, I don’t see Utley making the roster [nor Verdugo], but I could see Stripling or Urias take over Wood’s spot. Madson had a solid NLDS so strangely his spot could be secure. I guess I’ll predict Stripling in & Wood out.

  4. It’d be almost too disrespectful to leave Utley off the roster for NLCS. It surely would be to leave him off for the World Series. Not only has he earned the consideration, he’d also be an asset with more experience than any active player. I fear the bad karma to not have him on the roster.

    1. With all due respect, Utley doesn’t belong anywhere near our NLCS roster. If we’re that desperate for a LH bat, give Verdugo the shot. Intense late-inning at-bat? Verdugo’s your guy. I think one of the subplots of the whole series will be watching to see how soon Roberts brings in Freese to pinch-hit. You just know that DF is DR’s Shiny New Toy and he intends to deploy him liberally. Maybe he’s this year’s Morrow 🙂

    2. Utley hasn’t had a hit since he came off the DL. He’s done nothing for them in the postseason. He doesn’t belong on the NLCS roster.

  5. Hey, I know we’re not supposed to be thinking about next year yet but there’s an eternity between games and I find myself mulling our rotation options for 2019. Here’s what I’ve come up with:

    1. Kershaw [I am assuming he returns–if not, trading Wood seems less likely]
    2. Buehler
    3. Hill
    4. Maeda [I have him assuming Jansen’s closer role in 2022]
    5. Wood [Prime trade bait with one year remaining on contract and others below him]
    *
    6. Stripling [We can’t forget his first half; he’s at least a viable candidate]
    7. Urias [Could slip into Wood’s spot]
    8. Santana
    9. Ferguson
    10. Stewart [Just to make it an even ten]

    1. As for position players, here goes nothing:

      C–[Free Agent/Trade–we could possibly swap Matt Kemp for Russell Martin; the numbers match; hard to see Barnes as the #1 option]
      1B–Muncy [Unless Muncy converts full-time to LF or 2B, then Bellinger]
      2B–Keekay/Taylor [I’d like to see an honest Spring battle for this job]
      SS–Seager
      3B–Turner
      LF–Kemp [Unless traded for Martin; Verdugo also fits here, but his arm is better suited to RF; Joc always an option but I think he’s better as a 4th OF; Muncy darkhorse; Taylor in mix]
      CF–Bellinger [Unless Muncy moved off 1B; Verdugo & Taylor options too]
      RF–Puig [Unless traded or nontendered; if so, Verdugo has the job]
      *
      Overall, it’s clear we need a starting catcher [or at least a solid job-share for Barnes] and possibly to move an outfielder to make room for Harper, I mean Verdugo.

    2. I think Ryu will be back. He seems extremely comfortable in LA with the big Korean population, etc. and he is lights out at Dodger Stadium. Plus the Dodgers brass loves to give contracts to talented yet injury prone pitchers.

  6. Urias will be one of the Top 3 Starters next year.

    I cannot ever see Stewart starting.

    Ferguson needs another plus pitch to be a starter.

    Chicken Strip is very viable. Wood and Maeda could be traded.

    Santana also needs another pitch

    1. Yeah, I think our bullpen will be bolstered by whichever arms don’t make the rotation. A full year of Santana/Ferguson in the pen, for example, could be amazing. I don’t see Maeda traded because of his strange contract. And we should probably trade Stewart to Seattle already.

    2. I agree. Urias will be in the rotation next year. He will probably be babied so it’s hard to pencil him in as a number 3 starter.
      ~
      If Ryu continues with a strong postseason I think he gets a QO. If Ryu isn’t back that leaves Wood, Stripling, Maeda battling it out for the #5 spot. I prefer Wood in that spot. All could be used in a trade.
      ~
      Joc, Toles, Verdugo. Something has to give. Especially if Bellinger is going to play a lot of CF. Dodgersdigest.com had a nice piece yesterday on the salaries of arb elgible players next season. Joc will be up to $4.5 million. Puig will be at $11 million which is still a bargain for a player producing a 3.0 WAR. Of course the Dodgers would jump at 50 cents on the dollar for Kemp who will turn 35 next September.
      A desired pursuit of Machado or Harper could force some salary off the roster.

      1. Geez, I forgot about Toles. You’re right–if Joc is going to be making $4-5mil as a 4th OF might as well give the job to Toles. The guys I truly consider to be on the trade block are Kemp/Wood/Puig/Joc/Stripling. And the last one simply because it could be considered selling high.

  7. Cubs blog [bleedcubbieblue] making a case for signing Bryce Harper. They estimate his deal could be 10y/$340-370mil].
    *
    Here’s the crazy part: That would only take him through his age 35 season!

  8. Joc Pederson’s 10-game postseason hitting streak is the 3rd-longest in Dodgers history, behind A.J. Ellis (12 games) & Carl Crawford (11).

    Pederson has exactly one hit in every game, the longest streak of consecutive 1-hit games in MLB postseason history–Bleacher Report.

    1. Puig will most likely pass Bill Russell this series for second most postseason games in Dodger history

        1. Actually it is Andre Eithier. Bill Russell has 49 all starts. Andre Ethier has 51 post-season games played as a Dodger. Puig currently sits at 46 post season games played. Obviously not all starts. He’s hit .277/.358/.404 in the post-season.

      1. If I could time-travel and read an article on “Yasiel Puig’s Post-Dodger Career” I would really enjoy knowing what happens. In some ways it is amazing he has lasted so long with us and yet the fundamental issues remain the same [Can we trust him? Is his head in the game? Will he ever figure it all out?]. I swear at this point I’m just resigned to letting him finish his tenure here next year and washing our hands of him. If he was going to be traded, we would’ve done it by now.

        1. If you put down Puig’s numbers and salary without attaching his name, teams would jump to have him. He hit well during last year’s playoffs and wound up .286 with some walks and stolen bases vs the Braves.

  9. Thinking about next year is the furthest thing from my mind. No way to know what trades/free agency moves will be made that will ultimately effect who’s on the team and who will play where. And what if Mark is right, and there is a DH in the NL? Lots of alternatives/variables. After all, who would have predicted Kemp last year. And while no one above has Machado on the Dodgers next year, that’s not something that I can rule out. In fact, if Machado comes back I could see a scenario where Seager ends up at 1B. Not predicting it, but I think it’s possible.

    Right now I’m focused on what the Dodgers do in the here and now. On paper the Dodgers are the better team. But as we all know, the games aren’t played on paper. It can simply come down to who’s hot, and who’s not.

    As for Utley, the final decision will not be made on sentiment, especially since Utley is beginning to show that father time is becoming part of his baggage. As for Dozier, he’s looked a little better at the plate lately, and at this stage he does have more power than Utley, and is certainly far better defensively.

    I don’t have a clue about Stripling, Urias, and Fields. That’s a decision that the Dodgers make based on information they have and we don’t. And any suggestion that Puig be kept off the roster leaves me scratching my head. His bat is capable, and he can turn a game on his defense alone. Even that delayed steal against Atlanta wasn’t as bad as it seems. If anything, it was a good play that was poorly timed. Puig simply should have stayed put until the catcher threw the ball back to the pitcher. I love Verdugo, but unless there’s another way to get him on the roster, there’s no way he’s going to replace Puig. And if he’s on the team next year (something I still have very deep in the recesses of my mind), I can see him in the same lineup with Puig. In fact, Verdugo, Bellinger and Puig in the outfield together would give the Dodgers three super cannons in the outfield. No one would ever run on Dodgers, and a lot of runners could end up stranded at 3rd.

    1. I like Puig, but that is assuming Puig was trying to do a delayed steal, on purpose.

      It sure didn’t look that way, with the way Roberts went out of his way to talk to Puig, after he was thrown out.

      1. It was obviously a delayed steal. If you watch the replay, Suzuki was dropping to his knees and lobbing it back to the pitcher. On that play Suzuki dropped to his knees pulled his arm back and Puig took off a split second too early. They had a great overhead replay of it.

          1. I thought I just explained it. A delay steal is timing. He f’d it up. I don’t think it was a called delay steal. He thought he could catch Suzuki and the pitcher napping. He left a tad bit too early. I don’t know if you DVR’d the games, but you can see it from the overhead view what he was trying to do, but failed.

          2. LOL. It sure looked like a brain dead move. Most delay steals do when they fail. You generally get a WTF is he doing response.

  10. I expect that the Dodgers will win the NLCS and agree that they generally have a better roster, but really, comparing bullpens and concluding that the Brewers’ ‘pen is not really any better than the Dodgers – it’s not intellectually honest.

    Brewers’ bullpen
    Jeffress (closer) – 8 – 1, 1.29 ERA, .991 WHIP, 89 K in 73 IP, 5 HR allowed
    Hader – 6 – 1, 2.43 ERA, .811 WHIP, 143 K (!) in 81 IP, 9 HR
    Knebel – 4 – 3, 3.58 ERA, 1.084 WHIP, 7 HR in 55 IP

    Dodgers don’t have anyone who pitched as well this year as either Jeffress or Hader. The Kenley Jansen of seasons past is their equal, but this year’s version was 1 – 5, 3.01 ERA, .991 WHIP, 82 K in 71 IP, 13 (!) HR allowed, and the Dodgers don’t have any set-up guys as good as Hader or Knebel.

    The thing that will be fascinating about this series is that the Dodgers will grind out at bats and do what they can to get the starters out of the game early. This actually plays to the Brewers’ strength, as their relievers are better than their starters. So – strength vs. strength – Dodger HR hitters vs. Brewers’ ‘pen.

    And does bullpen fatigue enter into the analysis? They will be playing 5 games in 6 days, and the Brewers got fewer innings from their starters than any team in the post-season. Will their bullpen wilt? The Athletic had an interesting analysis of bullpen fatigue here:
    https://theathletic.com/581214/2018/10/11/dodgers-vs-brewers-determining-the-nlcs-winner-could-be-as-easy-as-one-two-three-numbers/

    The key passage:
    “So, maybe it’s no surprise that the top seven relievers on the Brewers were third in fatigue units, a measure that Dr. Mike Sonne created to reflect pitches thrown, days of rest, velocity and time between pitches. You can read more about it here and see how the Brewers ranked among postseason teams here.

    Fatigue units were created for an insight into how overuse can lead to injury, but it stands to reason that a fatigued reliever is also at risk for losing velocity and effectiveness.”

    The chart that accompanies the article showed that Dodger relievers got a “post-season bump” in velocity (due to adrenaline, no doubt) but that some of the Brewers’ relievers had velocity decreases in the post-season due to overuse and fatigue. As the series progress, I think that this is where the Dodgers will be able to press their advantage. Their superior starting pitching will keep them in games, they will grind out at bats and the Brewers’ ‘pen will wilt due to overuse.

  11. I see this series as very tough, the Brewers are a very good team, and they will be ready to play. Kershaw in another big game. Let’s see what happens.

  12. We can pitch around Cain and Christian Y
    They cannot pitch around all our good hitters
    The longest line up wins.

  13. The Brewers are starting Gio on Friday, and Miley on Saturday, like AC said.

    And we haven’t done much against both these pitchers, so I don’t see the Brewers going to their pen early, so Roberts can bring in our leftie hitters, or they wouldn’t be starting these two pitchers.

    1. Miley hasn’t gone 5 innings in a long time. That’s why they are throwing him before the day off.

      1. bring both of them on. it’s funny–i actually like milwaukee. it’s hard to muster up hatred right now. counsel is a bit weasly. maybe i’ll go with that.

      2. Hawkeye

        Only Kemp has hit a HR off Gio, and that was last year.

        And non of our players have hit one out against Miley, this year.

        But Gio has that post season problem that Price has, too.

        But as you know, we have never did as well as we should, against Gio, in the post season.

          1. Hawkeye

            I bet you are not surprised!

            Although with Gio’s Post season history, it might go either way.

            Freeze might be the key here.

          2. I thought they would go Chacin, but the ass whooping the Dodgers put on him last time might be in their minds too. I’m not shocked I guess though. This might set up Chacin for Game 7. I wouldn’t let Gio near a big game.

        1. Kemp, Machado, Freese with the best numbers off of Gio. I think you see our normal platoon vs lefties against Gio with Bellinger in CF. Puig, Freese, Machado, Turner have the best numbers vs Miley. Considering Kemp has a couple of dingers off of Miley too, I would play both Puig and Kemp vs Miley.

          1. I saw them talking about Chacin on the MLB. Channel.

            And they were talking about Muncy’s and Joc’s weakness’s, with sliders.

            But this team has seen Chacin way to much, not to mention, that ass whopping, you already mentioned.

          2. I was thinking Taylor will be in LF with Kemp in RF. It comes down to Bellinger, Muncy, or Dozier in the lineup. Taylor is in there whether it be LF or 2B. Lately, it has been LF against lefties.

          3. Taylor usually plays LF against lefties. So it comes down to whether or not you want Dozier in the lineup or Bellinger. .

  14. This is in response to Dodgerrick who said:

    “I expect that the Dodgers will win the NLCS and agree that they generally have a better roster, but really, comparing bullpens and concluding that the Brewers’ ‘pen is not really any better than the Dodgers – it’s not intellectually honest.

    Brewers’ bullpen
    Jeffress (closer) – 8 – 1, 1.29 ERA, .991 WHIP, 89 K in 73 IP, 5 HR allowed
    Hader – 6 – 1, 2.43 ERA, .811 WHIP, 143 K (!) in 81 IP, 9 HR
    Knebel – 4 – 3, 3.58 ERA, 1.084 WHIP, 7 HR in 55 IP

    Dodgers don’t have anyone who pitched as well this year as either Jeffress or Hader. The Kenley Jansen of seasons past is their equal, but this year’s version was 1 – 5, 3.01 ERA, .991 WHIP, 82 K in 71 IP, 13 (!) HR allowed, and the Dodgers don’t have any set-up guys as good as Hader or Knebel.”


    If you go back and read what I said, here it is: “while I know the Milwaukee bullpen is lauded, I really do not believe it is better than the Dodgers bullpen as it is now constructed.”

    If you look at the overall bullpen stats, the two teams are close, but as Rick said Jeffress, Hader and Knebel have been lights out… but that’s not entirely true. While Jeffress has been pretty good and consistent all year, the same is not true with Knebel and Hader. Knebel is up and down:
    27.00 ERA in April
    3.38 ERA in June
    5.25 ERA in July
    8.64 ERA in August
    0.00 ERA in September and October

    Anone want to make book how he might pitch in October?

    Then there is Hader, whose ERA before August was about 1.50. In August it was 4.73 and in September it was 5.11. Look at how many games their bullpen has pitched:
    Jeffress – 73
    Jennings – 72
    Knebel – 57
    Williams -56
    Hader – 55

    In all their cases, except Knebel, the innings they have pitched this year are career highs and while Knebel pitched more innings last year, his ERA has doubled this year.

    Now look at the Dodgers. After struggling for over half the season, Pedro Baez finally figured it out and in his last 30 Games, his ERA is 2.27 with a 0.92 WHIP. As a reliever, Caleb Ferguson has a 2.35 ERA. Dylan Floro has a 1.63 ERA as a Dodger.

    Scott Alexander is inconsistent, but I believe the vets like Maeda, Wood and Madson will pitch out their wazzzzooo for this opportunity.

    Finally, factor in how much the Brewers will have to use their pen and in all liklihood, the Dodgers pen will be less exposed. Finally, Jansen started out the season badly after an injury slowed his work. Then he had a heart scare, medicine that slowed him down and a new baby. That was then. THis is October and he looked to be his old self in his last outing. I think the Dodgers bullpen is not nearly as bad as some may think… AND the Brewers pen may not be what they think. Watch and see!

  15. And here I thought Mark’s blog was the only one relevant. After reading your bombastic rant, Scott, now I’m sure Mark’s blog is the only one worth following. You really need to get a life young man.

    1. Sorry about that. I thought Scott Andes had more class than that. He didn’t write that, a troll who I won’t name did. Scott copied and pasted it (at least whoever answered Scott’s e-mail said he did). I just kicked them both off the board. That’s why I left his board in the first place. I don’t have time for stupid drama. I barely have time for the Dodgers.

      1. Yeah, who the hell was that Mark? Must have been before my time on here. Geez, sounds like the boy needs a beer or a walk around the block, a shot of Vodka, or a Valium. I think we are all gettin’ kind of old to hear that BS, sounds like something straight out of high school. Damn, get that crap out of here.

    2. Rudy,

      Scott’s reply:

      Rudy,

      It’s not a rant, but more of an accurate description of events that have taken place over the last year. I’m not trying to cause trouble, but would like to present the other side of the story as my site has been falsely labeled over here. All I ask is that you read it, and look at both sides of the story. If Mark is so worried, than why delete the posts? Why ban me? If what Is say is false, then there is no reason to delete the posts…correct?


      Have we falsely labeled Scott’s site over here?

      1. I must’ve missed the post that started this whole debate. I dont always agree with mark but he always comes across as the bigger man.

  16. I agree Mark. All I have been hearing and reading the past few days are how incredible the Brewers bullpen is. Thing is, they haven’t faced a team like ours for a full seven game series, 3 of those games which will be played on consecutive nights. How many times over this season have we ragged on Doc for his bulllpen management, but when you hear him in interviews, he said that alot of his moves were because he used a certain guy two nights in a row, or for multiple innings. The Brewers bullpen are going to have a hard time holding this lineup down over 7 games. Another thing to consider, which I hear J Hair and Nomar talk about from time to time is the number of times you see a certain reliever. He might get you the first couple of times, but the hitter(Nomar was big time good at this)will get his own book on the pitcher the next time he faces him. If they use the bullpen as much as everybody talks about, most of our hitters are going to see the Brewers stud relievers multiple times. And you know they will slip up a time or two, and that’s what the Dodger hitters are always looking for. A huge thing is that Doc has so much depth on his bench, he can force the Brewers to burn some of their relievers by playing match up. That is going to be a critical thing for Counsel, can he hang with our long lineup and bench? I don’t think so, but of course that’s why we play the games. If we play the way we have been lately, this thing is over in 5. That’s right, 5. Don’t believe all the hype. We’re good too.

  17. I’m predicting the Dodgers in 3

    I know it’s a 7 game series, but that’s just how confident I am in our guys.

    1. I predict Milwaukee will walk onto the field with a white flag and surrender before game 1. That’s how confident I am!

      1. I like what Spokane Bob said, they will find a way to pitch around Yelich and Cain. By the way, Cain wasnt’ exactly on fire in the Rockie series. Both of those guys will not see a whole lot of pitches to hit. Make Braun and Moustakis beat us.

      2. Oh yeah… well, I’m now predicting that the Brewers team is just too scared to even enter the stadium.

        So instead, they’re going to pay Henry Winkler to reprise the role of Milwaukee’s favorite hometown hero Arthur Fonzarelli to ride his motorcycle to home plate at the start of tomorrow’s game and deliver the white flag to Dave Roberts himself… thus ending the series before it even starts and crowning the Dodgers National League Champions!

          1. You got that right. I played the Brickyard in Indy the last time I golfed and put up a 159! Yikes! I can drive and I can putt, but my “in-between-game” is like croquet!

  18. Mark , i think that we are not disagreeing about the final outcome.

    I wrote above:
    “The chart that accompanies the article showed that Dodger relievers got a “post-season bump” in velocity (due to adrenaline, no doubt) but that some of the Brewers’ relievers had velocity decreases in the post-season due to overuse and fatigue. As the series progress, I think that this is where the Dodgers will be able to press their advantage. Their superior starting pitching will keep them in games, they will grind out at bats and the Brewers’ ‘pen will wilt due to overuse.”

    You wrote:
    “Finally, factor in how much the Brewers will have to use their pen and in all liklihood, the Dodgers pen will be less exposed. ”

    I think that we agree on this point. I just have a different view of how this occurs. Not all aspects of the Dodgers are a strength. Not all areas of their opponents are weaknesses. The Brewers have had a better ‘pen than the Dodgers all season but the Blue’s superior starting pitching and their ability to grind out at bats will ultimately wear down the advantage that the Brewers have in the ‘pen resulting in a Dodgers victory.

  19. Interesting to note that Joc’s partner is expecting their first child next week, and he may miss time due to Paternity Leave.

    I would’ve gone with Walker pitching game 2, and letting Ryu pitch at home.


    I cannot see Wood making the 25.
    I just don’t see Doc trusting him in a pressure situation.

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