2018 MLB Amateur Draft Preview for Dodgers By AC/DC

2018 MLB Amateur Draft Preview for Dodgers By Always Compete

The 2018 MLB Amateur Draft begins on Monday June 4, and continues through Wednesday June 6.  Rounds 1 and 2 will be completed on Monday; Rounds 3-10 will be completed on Tuesday; Rounds 11-40 will be completed on Wednesday.  If you believe the organization has multiple good but not great prospects, this year’s draft does not figure to turn things around. The Dodgers will select only twice in the top 100; #30 and #68.  They pick #104 in the third round and every 30 after that.  In addition to the poor draft slots, the Dodgers have the least amount of bonus pool money of all 30 teams, with $5,288,200.  Their first round slot is $2,275,800.  Because of where they are drafting and the reduced bonus, the Dodgers cannot whiff on many of their draft picks, and certainly not the first two.  I do not suspect they will draft for high ceiling, unless they also have a very high floor.  That is not only safe, but should keep players within their bonus slots.  The high ceiling guys are usually paid above slot.

 

Last year the discussions for the Dodgers pick centered on HS CF Bubba Thompson who also had a football scholarship offer to the University of Alabama as a QB.  They were hoping that 2B/OF Keston Hiura (hitting machine) would fall to them.  Unfortunately, Hiura was selected by the Brewers at #9.  But another player was dropping…Jeren Kendall.  Most draft pundits had Kendall going in the top 10, so when the Dodgers selected at 23, they jumped at Kendall.  Bubba Thompson went 3 picks later to the Rangers.  Jim Callis called the Kendall selection a great pick, but with risks.  Callis is unconcerned about the strikeouts, as he projects Kendall to be 15-20 HR, 30 steal guy, and a GG CF.

 

Before we get to the Dodgers prediction, 3 of the 1st 4 picks are beginning to generate a consensus prediction. It appears that most think that the Tigers will be selecting 6’ 0” 195 lbs RHP Casey Mize out of Auburn with the 1st pick.  For the 2nd overall pick, most are “guessing” that the Giants will be selecting 6’3” 225 lbs catcher out of Georgia Tech, Joey Bart. This makes huge sense as the Giants do not have any catching prospect in their organization. The other consensus pick appears to be 5’ 7” 2B/SS Nick Madrigal from Oregon State going to the Chisox with the #4 overall pick.  University of Florida RHP Brady Singer, Wichita State 3B Alec Bohm, and HS LHP Matt Liberatore, all figure to go within the top 10 picks.

 

So who will the Dodgers select?  Billy Gasparino is a college guy.  His 1st round selections have included Trea Turner (North Carolina St), Hunter Renfroe (Mississippi St), Walker Buehler (Vanderbilt), and Jeren Kendall (Vanderbilt).  Gavin Lux was out of his norm, but he was considered a very safe pick.  Guys like Carter Kieboom, Delvin Perez, and Bo Bichette had higher ceilings, but lower floors.  Most draft pundits think Gasparino sticks with a college OF bat or HS OF bat, but will select the best player available if they drop as did Kendall.  Here is how some of the more respected draft pundits have selected as potential 1st round selections for the Dodgers.

 

Baseball America – Steele Walker – OF Oklahoma

Keith Law – Nick Schnell – HS OF (Indianapolis); Alek Thomas CF HS; Connor Scott CF HS, Jordan Groshans 3B HS

Jonathan Mayo – Steele Walker – OF Oklahoma

Jim Callis – Jameson Hannah – OF Dallas Baptist

John Sickels – Jeremy Eierman – SS Missouri State

Minor League Ball – Jeremy Eierman – SS Missouri State

Sporting News – Sean Hjelle – RHP Kentucky

Bleacher Report – Anthony Siegler – C HS

Fangraphs – Parker Meadows – CF HS

MLB Daily Dish – Seth Beer – OF Clemson

CBS Sports – Noah Naylor – C/1B/3B St. Joan of Arc HS (Ontario)

 

David Hood’s Top 10 potentials:

  1. Jordyn Adams OF – HS
  2. Jeremy Eierman SS – Missouri State:
  3. Jordan Groshans 3B – HS
  4. Alek Thomas CF – HS
  5. Griffin Roberts RHP – Wake Forest

Not likely, but maybe:

  1. Logan Gilbert RHP – Stetson
  2. Ryan Rolison LHP – Ole Miss
  3. JT Ginn RHP – HS
  4. Parker Meadows OF – HS
  5. Anthony Siegler C – HS

 

I do not see much chance of Gasparino picking Anthony Siegler or Noah Naylor as they are already very heavy in catching and figure to get even deeper with the top international player, 16 year old catcher Diego Cartaya leaning very heavy to the Dodgers.  Although Naylor could be in play because he figures to get a long look at 3B.  Noah is the brother of Padres prospect Josh NaylorJordyn Adams could be top ten, but he is going to have to be paid over slot bonus to buy him out of his North Carolina football scholarship offer.  But if he drops to #30, Gasparino could be tempted.  While some do, I do not like the Hannah choice as IMO he is a poor man’s Jeren Kendall.

 

For those that see the Dodgers select the big hit no position player (Edwin Rios and Willie Calhoun), there is Clemson’s Seth Beer. I do not see this either, as the Dodgers need to make no mistake on their 1st rounder.

 

Gasparino could go for SS Jeremy Eierman whose draft status has dropped considerably since the start of the year.  This has a Billy Gasparino look all over it.  He does have enough power and a good enough arm to make the transition to 3B.

 

The most likely picks per the pundits seem to be either Oklahoma OF Steele Walker, Dallas Baptist OF Jameson Hannah, Wichita State OF Greyson Jenista, or Oregon State OF Trevor Larnach.  If signability is a significant concern, HS OF Parker Meadows figures to be a consideration.  Another factor is that Meadows, brother of Pirates former 1st round pick CF Austin Meadows, is from the Georgia, and Gasparino loves players from the south.  Other HS OF that figure to go around the 30 mark are Nick Schnell, Alek Thomas, and Connor Scott.  Any of these HS OF prospects figure to go around this spot if not higher.  As DC indicated, we know how much Gasparino loves the name Connor.  You got to look at all the angles.  Nick Schnell is from Indianapolis so maybe Mark has a local feel for the young OF.

 

If you are looking for a darkhorse and reach, the Dodgers could select 6’ 11’ RHP 2017 SEC Conference Pitcher of the Year, Sean Hjelle from Kentucky.  Two SEC programs Gasparino is partial to are Vandy and Kentucky.  Hjelle has been favorably compared to Chris Devinski.  Somewhat of a thin projection for a 1st rounder that has to stick.  If he is around for pick #68 (highly unlikely), Gasparino will look favorably on that.

Baseball America Scouting Reports for players that seem to have garnered the most attention by the draft pundits.

Steele Walker – OF

School: Oklahoma

Ht: 5-11 | Wt: 190 | B-T: L-L | Commit/Drafted: Never Drafted

Scouting Report: Walker is one of the better pure hitters in the draft class and is in the midst of a career-best season with Oklahoma this spring, hitting .373/.469/.634 through 41 games with 11 home runs and a 13 percent walk rate. Each of those numbers are career-highs for Walker and speak to his impressive hand-eye coordination and pitch recognition from the left side. The bat will get Walker drafted because he lacks a true standout plus tool—unless a club puts a 60 on his bat, which is tough to do but might make some sense in Walker’s case—as a corner outfielder without blazing speed or a big arm. At just 5-foot-11, 190 pounds, it is difficult to project much more than average power for Walker, though he has already hit double-digit home runs this spring and hit seven in 53 games with a wood bat in the Northwoods League during the summer of 2016. Speaking of his wood bat track record, Walker has that as well, hitting .406/.479/.557 in the aforementioned Northwoods League, .280/.330.400 in a brief eight-game stint in the Cape Cod League last summer and an even more impressive .333/.417/.514 with two home runs and a team-best five doubles in 20 games with Team USA. Walker might not have an immensely high ceiling thanks to his lack of tools and corner profile, but college hitters who perform well seemingly always go high and Walker is among the safer bets in the class to have some sort of major league impact.

 

Jameson Hannah

School: Dallas Baptist

Ht: 5-9 | Wt: 184 | B-T: L-L | Commit/Drafted: Never Drafted

Scouting Report: Hannah went undrafted out of Flower Mound (Texas) High in 2015, but was part of a Texas 5-A state championship team as a junior in 2014 and has hit at a high level in each of his three seasons at Dallas Baptist. Accounting for his first 41 games this spring, Hannah is a career .340/.420/.502 hitter with 16 home runs, 41 doubles and 28 stolen bases—caught stealing just twice in three seasons. A solid athlete who has gained strength since getting to college, Hannah profiles as a center fielder at the next level thanks to his 60-grade or better speed and a hit tool that grades out at 50 or better as well. Hannah is not overflowing with tools, but as a premium position defender with speed and a smooth swing, he has put himself in position to go on day one of the draft. He has also improved his plate discipline each year. After striking out 39 times (17.6 K%) and walking 20 times (9 BB%) in 2016, Hannah is now walking almost as much as he is striking out, with 25 walks (12.1 BB%) and 28 strikeouts (13.6 K%) as a junior. Hannah operates with a doubles-oriented approach but has the strength that could allow him to reach double-digit homers as a pro if a major league team wants to change his mentality in the batter’s box. Scouts also believe that Hannah could rack up more stolen bases with a more aggressive approach, as he has the speed and efficiency to do damage there as well. The knock on Hannah could be his performance in the Cape Cod League last summer, when he hit just .265/.331/.356 with the highest strikeout rate of his collegiate career, but his wood bat track record in the Coastal Plain League in 2016 was solid.

 

Trevor Larnach – OF

School: Oregon State

Ht: 6-4 | Wt: 205 | B-T: L-R | Commit/Drafted: Padres ’15 (40)

Scouting Report: A big, 6-foot-4, 210-pound outfielder, Larnach has shot up draft boards this season after finally tapping into the big power that he has long possessed. Through 34 games in a Pac-12 environment that tends to temper the long ball, Larnach has hit 11 home runs and 11 doubles with a .336/.452/.680 slash line. He ranks in the top 20 nationally in home runs, home runs per game, RBIs per game and slugging percentage. All that comes after hitting just three home runs through 88 games during his first two seasons with Oregon State. Larnach has made a mechanical change this year, quieting his load and better utilizing the strength in his lower half and letting the ball travel. He’s using his natural strength more effectively this spring and avoiding his previous tendency of reaching out and getting jumpy on his front side. That has allowed him to hit with power to the pull side and to the left-center field gap. With what he’s shown this spring, some area scouts believe he could tap into 25-plus home runs as a pro. Defensively, he’s likely a corner outfielder with below-average speed but enough athleticism to make the routine plays. He has an average arm that is starting to get stronger after elbow surgery a few years back.

 

Connor Scott – OF

School: Plant HS, Tampa

Ht: 6-4 | Wt: 180 | B-T: L-L | Commit/Drafted: Florida

Scouting Report: Scott draws some comparisons to current top Astros outfield prospect Kyle Tucker, who attended the same Plant HS in Tampa that Scott currently attends. Scott and Tucker have comparable swing paths and similar 6-foot-4, 180-pound frames, as well as the speed and athleticism that allow them both to be strong defensive outfielders. Scott wasn’t seen as much as scouts would have like on the summer showcase circuit, however, as he had his appendix removed and was forced to watch a few of the bigger showcases rather than take part. He got back on the field in the fall and started getting into a rhythm before impressing scouts during the spring, as he grew into more power and performed in front of a front office personnel in Florida who didn’t need to travel far from spring training facilities to see him. A toolsy player, Scott is at least a plus runner, with many evaluators throwing a double-plus grade on his speed to go along with a plus arm. There are questions whether he’ll be able to stay in center field or need to move to a corner as he continues to add weight, but he has enough arm strength for any outfield position. In fact, some scouts prefer Scott on the mound, where he’s in the low 90s as a lefthanded pitcher who fills up the strike zone and also has feel to spin a curveball and throw a changeup. Most teams appear to prefer the upside he offers as a potential impact hitter, however, with his speed and developing power leading to an intriguing all-around package. But having a fallback option as a pitcher should only help Scott’s draft stock. Some teams look at Scott as a no-doubt first rounder, while others see him going in the supplemental first round or later, and his lack of summer track record likely plays into that division.

 

Nick Schnell – OF

School: Roncalli HS, Indianapolis

Ht: 6-2 | Wt: 180 | B-T: L-R | Commit/Drafted: Louisville

Scouting Report: Schnell has done more than perhaps any prep hitter to improve his draft stock since last summer, going from a player with a real shot to enroll at Louisville to now being one of the most interesting bats in the class. All he has done since the fall is hit, hit and then hit some more. After a few solid but unspectacular summer events, Schnell began to hit for extra bases with regularity to all fields, using extremely loose hands and a fantastic feel to barrel the baseball. He has continued to hit this spring and was one of the best players at Prep Baseball Report’s Midwest Select event where many crosscheckers and higher-level decision-makers were in attendance. Schnell might not be a true plus runner, but he comes close once he’s underway and also has above-average arm strength from the outfield. He has the chance to play center field at least initially, but scouts think he’s likely to move to a corner position in the future.

 

Parker Meadows

School: Grayson (Ga.) HS

Ht: 6-4 | Wt: 195 | B-T: L-R | Commit/Drafted: Clemson

Scouting Report: The younger brother of current Pirates prospect Austin Meadows, Parker doesn’t have the same hype coming out of Georgia that his older brother did as a high schooler in 2013, but as a 6-foot-4 outfielder with a bevy of tools he still has a lot of teams interested. Meadows is a plus runner out of the box and better underway in center field, with plus raw power and a plus arm. As a long-armed lefthanded hitter with a hitch in his swing, his contact and hit tool have been questioned in the past, although he has hit against solid Georgia competition this spring. Regardless, Meadows will likely need to iron out some timing issues that coincide with his long swing once he reaches the professional ranks. If a team believes in Meadows’ ability to hit, then they are dreaming on a potential All-Star with tools across the board and the ability to stick in center field.

 

Jeremy Eierman – SS – Missouri Valley St.

Ht: 6-1 | Wt: 205 | B-T: R-R | Commit/Drafted: Never Drafted

Scouting Report: The son of former Red Sox minor league outfielder John Eierman and the younger brother of former Rays minor league outfielder Johnny Eierman, Jeremy Eierman has one of the longest track records of success of any college player in this year’s draft class. He hit .296/.336/.504 as Missouri State’s everyday shortstop as a freshman, and was even better as a sophomore, when he hit .313/.431/.675 with 23 home runs, which was fifth best in Division I. Eierman’s solid but less spectacular junior year has paled in comparison, as he’s not hitting for the same power. Scouts also have to factor in the fact he hasn’t hit with wood. He hit .125/.182/.225 with strikeouts in 25 percent of his at-bats for USA Baseball last summer and .185/.258/.277 in two summers in the Cape Cod League. But Eierman is still the best college shortstop in the class with plus speed, a plus arm (some scouts throw a 70 on it) and plus power potential. Eierman has excellent bat speed, but he generates that with a significant load that requires him to get started in his swing a little earlier. He modified his stance this year with a deeper squat, but it’s made him more vulnerable to being pitched inside. On the basepaths, Eierman uses his speed well—as of late April he had been successful on 18 of 20 stolen base attempts. Defensively, Eierman has the tools to stick at shortstop thanks to his arm and his ability to throw from multiple angles. His range is average, but his hands work well. He also could be a plus defender at second or third base with the bat to handle a position switch.

 

While the above are what the draft pundits believe the likely pick MIGHT be, it is also just as likely that it will be someone not even mentioned above.  Me – I like Connor Scott if he is there, but I do see a Steele Walker as a good possible selection.

2018 MLB Amateur Draft Preview for Dodgers By Dodger Chatter

Dodger Chatter: 2018 First-Year Player Draft

What  we know:

 

The 2018 MLB Draft takes place from June 4-6 in Secaucus, N.J. The Detroit Tigers, who finished 2017 with a league-worst record of 64-98, will make the first selection in this year’s draft. The Dodgers pick dead last in every round with their first selection at No. 30.

 

The draft starts at 7:00 p.m. ET on Monday with the Tigers perhaps taking right-hander Casey Mize out of Auburn or Florida ace, right-hander Brady Singer. Georgia Tech catcher Joey Bart or Oregon State second baseman Nick Madrigal are also possible first overall picks.

 

Through the first 10 rounds the Dodgers have just less than $5.3 million with which to woo draftees.  They will have to be a bit creative and daring as that is the smallest  bonus pool in MLB – the fruits of the best seasonal record in 2017. Perhaps they can again sign players towards the end of the 10th round in the same manner as they did last year. Right-hander Connor Strain and outfielder Zach Reks signed in the ninth and 10th rounds respectively each signing for $1,500. That allowed the Dodgers to sign high school shortstop Jacob Amaya in the 11th round for $247,500.

 

We know that the Dodgers have established a bit of a pattern by signing a high school prospect in the 11th round having done so with Amaya in 2017, right-hander A.J. Alexy in 2016 and right-hander Imani Abdullah in  2015.

 

We also know that the Dodgers are not adverse to selecting players who recently have had TJ surgery or are on a possible track to elbow surgery. Right-hander Walker Buehler and left-hander Caleb Ferguson would be but two of several TJ survivors signed by the Dodgers over the past few  years. Does right-hander Ethan Hankins, a senior from Forsythe Central High School, fit that bill in 2018. He fell down the charts after suffering a shoulder injury earlier in the season and is now not projected to go in the top half of the current draft.

 

What we don’t know:

 

We have no idea what the drafting plan is for the Dodgers. That is, is there a plan set in stone or one that will simply unfold as the draft progresses. Will the usual line of drafting the “best player” possible at the time continue to be the Dodgers mantra? The “best player” available of course is in the eyes of the evaluation team? Were shortstop Gavin Lux (20), catcher Will Smith (32), pitchers Jordan Sheffield (36) and Mitchell White (65) all better than shortstop Bo Bichette (66) at the time in the 2016 draft?  The drafting team must have thought that  was the case and it may be too early to judge otherwise at this time.

 

The 2018 drafting class at both the college and high school level is reputed to be a relatively strong one when compared to the 2017 class. The 2018 crop is strong at the prep level especially for arms. Will the Dodgers go stronger on prep players rather than the usual plan to draft players more closely ready for MLB. With the depth the team has built there is time for more high school players to develop before being needed at the MLB level. Or will signability be an issue on which they will not take big chances because of their relatively small bonus pool?

 

Will they look for more mature prospective relief pitchers from the college ranks and fill some early spots with relief pitchers of the Zach Pop and Marshall Kasowski mold from the 2017 draft? Or will they fill relief spots in the middle rounds and later rounds with relief arms as they did in 2017 with Justin Hoyt (22) Mark Washington (25), Devin Hermmerick (26), Justin Lewis (28) and Dan Jagiello (34). Is there a Paco Rodriguez out there?  Rodriguez, drafted in June of 2012, made his Dodger debut three months later on September 9th against the San Francisco Giants.

 

Will the Dodgers look to strengthen their infield especially at the second and third base levels? Will they select a player like 6’4”/180-pound shortstop Jordan Groshans out of Magnolia High School who projects more as a third baseman? Is Missouri State shortstop Jeremy Eierman and his cannon arm in the running for the Dodgers first selection?  He has the grinder make-up that any team would love. Witchita’s Alex Bohm would be a very good option but will most likely go within the first 4-7 selections..

 

Will their decision be influenced more by analytics or by athleticism, character and versatility?  Will they look more carefully at players who have tumbled a bit during the season yet at one time ranked high up on the leader boards? That is, pitchers such as left-hander Ryan Rolison out of Mississippi and high school right- handers Mason Denaburg (Merritt Island High School) and Kumar Rocker (North Oconee High School).

 

The mock drafts are all over the place after the first 20 selections or so. Several names have been connected to the Dodgers. Perhaps the most frequent connection has been Oklahoma outfielder Steele Walker.  One report has Walker as the steal (no pun intended) of the first round.

 

    “Oklahoma’s center fielder is probably the closest thing this draft has to a 5-tool batter. The 5-11/190

    -pound Steele Walker may not be as big as MLB teams would like him to be, but that doesn’t change

    the fact that he’s a top 10 talent on my board. He leads Oklahoma with a .358 batting average at

    center fielder, and he also leads Oklahoma with 11 home runs, 49 RBI’s, 120 total bases, and a .597

    slugging percentage. “

 

Other names connected to the Dodgers have oddly enough been mostly outfielders:

  •    Parker Meadows – OF Grayson High School
  •    Trevor Larnach – OF Oregon State
  •    Josh Stowers – OF Louisville
  •    Alex Thomas – OF Mount Carmel High School
  •    Cole Winn – RHP Orange Lutheran High School
  •    Cole Wilcox – RHP Heritage High School

 

Another choice may be 6’11”/215-pound right-hander Sean Hjelle out of the University of Kentucky. His success will depend somewhat on filling out that huge frame. He has just turned 21.

 

MLB Pipeline Scouting Report:

 

Hjelle’s best pitch is his low-80s knuckle-curve, which has impressive depth. His fastball velocity has improved from the upper 80s as a high school senior to the low 90s at Kentucky, and he intrigued scouts by hitting 96 mph during fall practice heading into 2018. He has good feel for a changeup, mixes in a slider/cutter and throws all four of his pitches for strikes.

 

Hjelle has remarkable coordination for such a tall pitcher and consistently repeats his delivery and throws strikes. While he’s not overpowering, his huge size adds plane and angle to his pitches that make them difficult to hit. His stuff has gotten better as he has gotten stronger, and his frame still has room to carry much more than his current 215 pounds.

 

Correctly predicting  who the Dodgers will select with the No. 30 overall selection is akin to winning the  lottery. However, it is much more fun as the results are rewarding for the next several years.

 

Let the games begin.

 

Posted by Always Compete

This article has 52 Comments

  1. Looking forward to watching the draft tonight, have no idea who the Dodgers will select with the 30th pick, should be interesting.

  2. AC/DC – Alot of work and appreciated…
    I’ve always like the MLB draft to see who the Blue picks and then I look at my local (SoCal) players signed…
    It’s a science I haven’t quite figured out, but I know Gasparino and his staff put countless hours into it…
    I have even drug my wife over to Utah (one of the best kept secrets of the West) to check out some of our kids in Ogden R ball…
    Damn, retirement is good!!!

    1. For me it’s sensational! Too damn sensational. Nowadays my favorite drug of choice is flo-max as nothing worse than the sensation you got to go as you’re exiting the bathroom. Never before knew it’d turn out that happiness is an empty bladder. Had I known I’d be alive at this age I’d taken better care of myself! So much for the odds. lol.
      Speaking of odds, what pick was Muncy drafted? It sort of seems he just suddenly appeared.Kinda like those boxers who shine when the TV cameras come into the picture. Eh, but it’s easy them things getting by me as life is just too damn sensational!

    1. That is an interesting one. I’m not sure if the Dodgers would take a chance on him. He had a really excellent year at Oregon. The stigma might just be too much for a team to handle. The young man made a terrible mistake but i expect he has paid all he could except to devote his extra time to helping others. If not for that issue he would easily be a highpick.

  3. Lost in all of the weekend Colorado fun and the start of the draft, was that the two Dodgers DSL teams started their 2018 seasons on June 2. Game 1 on 72 was victorious for both DSL teams against the two DSL Red Sox Teams. The two DSL Teams are now known as DSL Dodgers Guerrero and DSL Dodgers Robinson. DSL Dodgers Guerrero beat the DSL Red Sox 2 by a score of 3-2. DSL Dodgers Robinson beat the DSL Red Sox 1 by a score of 5-2.
    .
    For those who may not remember, DSL Dodgers 2 beat DSL Dodgers 1 by a score of 6-4 in the championship game last year. That was the first championship a DSL Dodgers team won since 2000. Since 1988 (first year teams were affiliated with a single organization), DSL Dodgers teams have won 8 championships. DSL Giants and DSL Pirates are next with 3.
    .
    I do not spend a lot of time with the DSL teams, but I will monitor them and share names that we may be seeing on future USA affiliates of the Dodgers. The first DSL player I latched on to was Cristian Santana as an 18 year old in 2015.

    1. AC
      I don’t know how you are able to make the time to do all of this, but you always do it so well, because anything you present to us, is always exemplary work.

      I think you should be at that table tonight, with Tommy.

      1. MJ, thanks. You are too kind. I am afraid my heart would get in the way of logic. I know I am a much better fan than I would be a baseball exec.

  4. Revisiting the Rich Hill trade. Holmes injured shoulder. Cotton TJ surgery. Montas currently in Oaklands rotation. 2 starts with mixed results, but numbers not bad. Rich Hill as of right now I’m labeling a bust. If he comes back and has 10 or 12 quality starts this year or next that would change. Reddick for the Dodgers was an all time BUST. If Cotton and Holmes come back from their injuries and Montas makes good with his starter role…. for me still to early to tell if it was a boom or a bust. Right now slightly favoring Oakland. Gonna take another year or 2 or even 3 to render the final judgement of this trade. As of right now it really hasn’t helped the Dodgers much, if at all.

    1. if we win it all last year though it’s a win, so hard to render a judgment. I was shocked to see montas’ line yesterday.

    2. Hill has been fine (better than fine), how in the world is he construed by anyone as a bust.

      Isn’t Zach Lee in the Chris Taylor trade the definition of a bust?

      How can a bust be someone who has contributed?

      I am quite confused.

  5. Well the 21 year old LHSP that I have been religiously talking up since his 2016 AZL days is rumored to be promoted to LAD for a Thursday start against the Pirates. Very few (and I mean very few) took me seriously when I started pushing the name Caleb Ferguson. I am so proud of Caleb, and unfortunately for me I was hoping to get to meet him in Sacramento this week when OKC comes in to play the River Cats. I hope this happens as nothing is official until it is.

      1. DC, I know you have because you and I had some good dialogue in the 2016 Great Lakes Midwest League Championship run.

    1. great news and possibly a small shift in our organizational philosophy. don’t worry so much about “the right time” or a player’s personal timetable–just throw the best options you have. what do we have to lose? there is no later. this is later.

  6. Someone asked yesterday who would go Wednesday and I said Hill, Ferguson, Banuleous.

  7. I wonder if Banuelos is feeling a tad slighted. He’s been very good all year in AAA, and 2 kids who basically zipped thru from AA to AAA to LA in a couple weeks are getting their shots

    1. I understood Santana because he was already on the 40 man. But when Mark stated yesterday Hill, Ferguson, Banuelos, I replied Banuelos because he has ML experience and has pitched well all season at AAA. Both Banuelos and Ferguson would need to be added to the 40 man to get called up. I am happy as can be for Ferguson, but yes I would think that Banuelos would feel a little bit slighted. He has earned the chance.

    2. I hate to say it, but Banuelos is organizational “depth”… maybe he deserves a shot, but Freguson is a real prospect. Before 2011, Keith Law ranked him the 12th best prospect in baseball, Baseball America ranked him at number 41, and during Spring Training, Mariano Rivera called him the greatest pitching prospect he has ever seen.

      He used to hit 98 MPH. Now he is in the low 90’s. At 27, bone spurs and other injuries have slowed him down, but he has been decent most of this year…

  8. Terrible positioning , not much real chance to get anyone who will make a difference. The Dodgers and pretty much all the teams prefer college kids these days so the best chance to get a very talented player might be taking chances on a high schooler. FAZ gonna have to use their cleverness to trade decent more MLB ready prospects for younger prospects with high ceilings. Or something like that IDK.

    1. That article is quite the tribute to the organization.

      How many people wanted Muncy gone?

  9. Draft time! Granted this is nothing like the NFL or NBA drafts as I have no idea who any of these draftees are!

    Either way, let’s hope we get a steal with that 30th pick.

  10. I would like to see him get some looks at 2nd base. I don’t of anyone who wants him gone.

      1. This McClanahan wouldn’t mind seeing a McClanahan drafted by the Dodgers. The kid seems to be falling as rumored.

  11. I was one who wanted Muncy optioned, the first two to three weeks he was meddling around .200 with a couple homers. Again in my front office he would have been sent down and someone like Solano would have been called up. And why I am only fan lol. I don’t love how this front office operates but they have been mostly successful in their work. They have hit with their reclamation projects, no arguing that .

    Who goes down for Ferguson, Yimi or does Hudson get DFA. I don’t see Stewart going down think they want to give him a go in middle relief, still wonderinf why his velocity is so down??
    In my front office Baez or Fields would be optioned, again probably why I am not an executive. They will be hopefully be gone after this year, don’t like their stuff and makeup, too stressful as a fan.

    1. Venditte goes off the 40-man…. beyond that, I am not sure who goes back to AAA.

      1. I think Hudson has been rendered useless by the success of Goeddel. I could see him Hudson being released for Ferguson

  12. Give me a shot of Ginn? The kid has a cannon.

    This is potentially a great pick!

    Now, if they can get Seth Beer in the second round, they will have Beer and Gin.

    1. This is actually a smart pick. You cannot teach 99. He also shows a plus power curve. He is just trying to learn a changeup, but he has not had to use it in HS as his fastball get HS batters out. If he can develop the change, he could be mid-rotation starter. If not, he can take that fastball/power curve and close games. There is very little risk in this pick. That is what they were looking for. They cannot miss with the 1st two picks. He has a ceiling as a mid-rotation starter, and a floor of a high leverage reliever/closer. The game is changing, and as we have observed, relief is critical is winning for the Dodger organization. There will be doubters, and people who will hate this pick, but he fits how this team is being built, and how they needed to draft. I do not get the impression that he will be a big above slot guy.
      .
      Gasparino did not disappoint…he selected a southern kid.
      .
      If Vandy SS Connor Kaiser is around for the 5th pick, I would think he would be a major consideration. He is a good defensive shortstop built along the lines of Corey Seager, but that is where the comparisons stop. He has not flashed any notion of being a good offensive player, but he had a monster game in the Regionals on Sunday, 3 HRS and 10 RBI’s. He shows potential, it just has not panned out on the field yet.

  13. Can’t wait for AC/DC to give their takes on JT Ginn.
    Now it’s time to root for SF vs AZ tonight!

  14. PRESS RELEASE:
    DODGERS SELECT RIGHT-HANDED PITCHER J.T. GINN WITH 30th OVERALL SELECTION OF 2018 FIRST-YEAR PLAYER DRAFT

    LOS ANGELES – The Los Angeles Dodgers today selected right-handed pitcher J.T. Ginn with their first pick (30th overall) in the 2018 First-Year Player Draft out of Brandon High School (MS).
    .
    This season, he appeared in eight games (seven starts), going 5-1 with a 0.36 ERA (2 ER/39.1 IP) and striking out 78 batters against just nine walks, while holding the opposition to a .073 average. In seven starts, he fired three complete games and two shutouts including a no-hitter. Ginn, who was also a two-way player, batted .419 (31-for-74) with six doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 27 RBI for Brandon High School this year. Following the 2018 campaign, he was voted the Gatorade Player of the Year out of Mississippi.
    .
    “We were very excited to be able to select J.T.,” said Dodger Director, Amateur Scouting Billy Gasparino. “He is a pitcher that we identified last summer and is an extremely athletic right-hander with plus life to his fastball, has a plus slider and a developing changeup. We think he has all the ingredients to be a front-line starter and we are super excited about the progress he made this spring. Hopefully he can continue that with the Dodger organization.”
    .
    In his last three years of high school, the 6-2, 200-pound right-handed pitcher combined for a 15-2 record with a 1.02 ERA (16 ER/110.0 IP) and threw three complete games. The 19-year-old also batted .415 (112-for-270) with 28 home runs, 22 doubles, three triples and 120 RBI in four seasons for the Bulldogs and finished second nationally among high school players with 16 home runs in 2017.
    .
    This marks the first time the Dodgers have selected a pitcher with their first overall pick since 2015, when they selected right-handed pitcher Walker Buehler out of Vanderbilt University (24th overall). Los Angeles has drafted a pitcher with their first overall selection of the draft in seven of the last 10 picks.
    .
    Ginn was scouted by Dodger area scout Benny Latino.
    .
    The Dodgers have one more pick tonight with the 68th overall pick (second round).
    .
    Below are the Dodgers’ first-round selections since the start of the draft in 1965:
    .
    1965 John Wyatt (INF)
    1966 Larry Hutton (RHP)
    1967 Don Denbow (INF)
    1968 Bobby Valentine (OF)
    1969 Terry McDermott (C)
    1970 Jim Haller (RHP)
    1971 Rick Rhoden (RHP)
    1972 John Harbin (INF)
    1973 Ted Farr (C)
    1974 Rick Sutcliffe (RHP)
    1975 Mark Bradley (INF)
    1976 Mike Scioscia (C)
    1977 Bob Welch (RHP)
    1978 None
    1979 Steve Howe (LHP)
    Steve Perry (RHP)
    1980 Ross Jones (INF)
    1981 Dave Anderson (INF)
    1982 Franklin Stubbs (1B)
    1983 Erik Sonberg (LHP)
    1984 Dennis Livingston (RHP)
    1985 Chris Gwynn (OF)
    1986 Mike White (OF)
    1987 Dan Opperman (RHP)
    1988 Bill Bene (RHP)
    1989 Kiki Jones (RHP)
    Tom Goodwin (OF)
    Jamie McAndrew* (RHP)
    1990 Ronnie Walden (LHP)
    1991 None
    1992 Ryan Luzinski* (C)
    Michael Moore* (OF)
    1993 Darren Dreifort (RHP)
    1994 Paul Konerko (C)
    1995 David Yocum (LHP)
    1996 Damian Rolls (INF)
    1997 Glenn Davis (1B)
    1998 Bubba Crosby (OF)
    1999 Jason Repko* (INF)
    2000 Ben Diggins (RHP)
    2001 None
    2002 James Loney (1B)
    Greg Miller* (LHP)
    2003 Chad Billingsley (RHP)

    2004 Scott Elbert (LHP)
    Blake DeWitt (3B)
    Justin Orenduff* (RHP)
    2005 Luke Hochevar* (RHP)
    2006 Clayton Kershaw (LHP)
    Bryan Morris* (RHP)
    Preston Mattingly* (INF)
    2007 Chris Withrow (RHP)
    James Adkins* (LHP)
    2008 Ethan Martin (RHP)
    2009 Aaron Miller* (LHP)
    2010 Zach Lee (RHP)
    2011 Chris Reed (LHP)
    2012 Corey Seager (SS)
    Jesmuel Valentin* (SS)
    2013 Chris Anderson (RHP)
    2014 Grant Holmes (RHP)
    2015 Walker Buehler (RHP)
    2016 Gavin Lux (SS)
    2017 Jeren Kendall (OF)
    2018 J.T. Ginn (RHP)
    * First-round supplemental pick

  15. I am not sure I understand the 2nd round pick of West Virginia RHP Michael Grove. He had TJ surgery last May, and knowing how the Dodgers protect arms after surgery, I would not expect to see him pitch competitively this summer. The reason I am concerned is that the first two picks were supposed to be very safe picks. Michael Grove may very well have a 1st round arm, but he is a big gamble for a team that was not supposed to gamble with #1 or #2. I am guessing that Gasparino and FAZ have seen the medicals and are betting on a full recovery. If he comes out of this as a mid-rotation arm, good gamble. If not, it is going to be hard to catch up in this draft.
    .
    I am also not sure if signability is a concern. He may choose to go back to college and try to get 1st round money next year. The Dodgers 2nd round slot is $917K. Maybe that is enough to get him to sign.

    1. when I saw him chosen, I assumed they were going for the home run like they did with Walker Buehler. He had the surgery a year ago, so he’ll definitely get some work in this summer and be ready to go full board in 2019.

    2. La dodger report taking credit for discovering Max Muncy. I must say the first I ever heard of him is when you said he was a guy to watch. I was skeptical but he has been a key figure in the dodger recovery. How old is grove? He may think the dodgers will take care of his arm better than West Virginia. I don’t know when he had surgery but he should be ready to advance his recovery at this point.

  16. 2 out of 3 in Pittsburgh would be huge, they have 2 good and one average pitcher going, we have one good and 2 rooks. Teams seem pretty even on offense, should be a telling series for us moving forward as will Atlanta over the weekend.

    I keep circling back to the fact we are going to either need another bat sooner rather then later, and another late inning bullpen arm.

    The bat could be delayed if somehow Bellinger takes a turn but I am not feel My great that will occur soon. In fact I think it is more likely he does not and gets optioned for a few weeks for Toles or Verdugo.

    The bullpen arm will be sooner rather then later. The pen has been taxed recently and that will only continue moving forward with our current startIng staff. Also, with close games ahead we need another proven high leverage arm, Cingrani and Jansen is not enough.
    Is there any chance we acquire one soon? Or maybe Santana to the pen or a miracle from AA, and Hernadez becomes that guy. I gave up on Ariel a few weeks ago but Mark and AC told me to wait a minute??

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