Figures don’t lie, but liars figure… and sometimes they are not even liars – they are just using unreliable figures. There are several websites that keep track of teams salaries. In this instant case, I am speaking about the salary obligations of the Los Angeles Dodgers for the 2018 season. You would think stuff like this would be cut and dried, but it’s evidently not. Let’s look at a couple of Dodger players and what they will allegedly make in 2018:
- Baseball-Reference says Clayton Kershaw will make $35, 571,000.
- Cots Contracts says the same thing.
- True Blue LA has the number at $33,000,000.
- True Blue LA has Yasiel Puig at $7,500,000.
- Baseball-Reference has Puig making $9,214,000.
- Cots Contracts says the number is $9,214,000 as well.
There are several other discrepancies as to how much certain players make, but when I check Baseball-Reference and Cots Contracts and they are the same, then I go with that. Nothing against the guys at True Blue LA – they are pretty much right on about most things, but I prefer using the other two sources, unless they can show me who I am wrong. Maybe they know something I don’t…
One player all the sites agree upon is Matt Kemp, who is now the second highest paid player on the Dodgers (YOU HEARD ME RIGHT), and makes $21,500,000 for the next two years. He is a Dodger for sure in 2018, unless Jesus and Moses join the Dodgers front office and perform some amazing miracle.
I am not a CPA, but I have a couple who work for me and I am friends with several others (including AC who will likely audit what I post – hopefully he doesn’t turn me in). Anyway, I have calculated the Dodgers payroll for 2018 and it currently stands at $177,937,000 which includes guesses at arbitration salaries, but does not include the following:
- Andre Ethier’s $2.5 Million buyout (does it apply to 2018?).
- Kenta Maeda’s bonus payments which could be $10 million.
That puts the Dodgers right at $10 Million under the Luxury Tax Threshold. Kenta Maeda could lose his spot on the rotation and that might save $5 to $10 million, but he would certainly not be a happy camper and would likely demand a trade after 2018, but that could be a plan.
The Dodgers Will Be Under The Luxury Tax in 2018 – Bank on it (no pun intended)
So, the fact of the matter is, the Dodgers have very little wiggling room. They could trade Forsythe, Grandal and/or Maeda and possibly save $$25 to $30 Million in order to sign someone like Darvish, but would that make them better? They could trade Forsythe, Grandal and/or Maeda for prospects and flip those for Gerrit Cole, but would that make them better? By the way, McCutchen or Cain are not coming to LA.
- Can Taylor be an effective 2B? I am not so sure, but I do know this: Logan Forsythe is an elite 2B and he’s in a contract year. I also think Taylor will be a very good CF.
- Is Will Smith ready for the Show? Kyle Farmer is not the backup catcher. He’s just not! Will they miss Grandal?
- Would the Dodgers be better with this rotation:
- Darvish or Cole
What about this lineup?
- Taylor 2B
- Seager SS
- Turner 3B
- Bellinger 1B
- Puig RF
- Barnes C
- Toles CF
- Hernandez/Pederson LF
The Wild Card in all of this keeps coming back to the Second Highest Paid Player on the Dodgers. Someone posted that if FAZ were to read what we write, they would laugh because we are amateurs.
Yes We Are! Guilty as charged!